UFC on ESPN 15: Ovince Saint Preux vs. Alonzo Menifield odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 15 fight between Ovince Saint Preux and Alonzo Menifield, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

UFC action returns with Ovince Saint Preux and Alonzo Menifield square off in a light heavyweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN 15 Saturday at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 8:30 p.m. ET.

Saint Preux (24-14), the former defensive lineman and linebacker at the University of Tennessee, stands three inches taller with a four-inch reach advantage over his opponent. He has developed into a tremendous fighter, and this will be his 21st fight, second only behind Jon Jones all time in the light heavyweight division. Saint Preux is tied with Jones and three other fighters with five submission wins, most in the class. He enters this one just 1-3 over the past four, and 5-7 across the past 12. Four of those victories have been by submission and one by knockout, while eight of the past 12 have finished inside the distance. Win or lose, it’s always exciting with OSP.

Menifield (9-1) looks for redemption after a unanimous decision loss to Devin Clark last time out at UFC 250. He is still 2-1 at the UFC level, and eight of his nine pro victories have come by knockout with one by way of submission. While all of that is impressive, this matchup with Saint Preux is easily the biggest of his career, and most challenging opponent yet. We’ll see how he fares in the co-main event against one of the division’s best.

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Ovince Saint Preux vs. Alonzo Menifield betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6 p.m. ET.

SAINT PREUX (+110) might be coming in on a bit of a cool streak, dropping three of the past four fights. However, he’ll be up to the task against Menifield. Saint Preux is a nice value as a short dog here.

In addition to taking OSP straight up, you’ll want to get specific, too. Take SAINT PREUX BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+175) on the 5-way line for a little better price than just betting him straight up. Also, bet UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-189), as win or lose, what Saint Preux doesn’t like to do is go very long into the night.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Also see:

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN 15: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Dwight Grant odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 15 fight between Daniel Rodriguez and Dwight Grant, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

UFC action is back on tap, as Daniel Rodriguez and Dwight Grant mix it up in a welterweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN 15 Saturday at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 9 p.m. ET.

Rodriguez (12-1) has two fights on his ledger since arriving at the UFC level, and he has had the fists flying. He has posted 8.60 significant strikes landed per minute with a 48.26 significant strike-accuracy percentage. The sample size isn’t great, however, as it is just two fights. Rodriguez has ripped off eight straight victories since his only career setback Dec. 1, 2017 on Combate Americas 19: Queen Warriors, a split-decision loss to Victor Reyna. Six of Rodriguez’s past eight fights have finished inside the distance, too, including a submission win over Tim Means in his UFC debut on Feb. 15, 2020, in Rio Rancho, N.M.

Grant (10-2) steps in at the last minute for Takashi Sato, who was not cleared to compete by the Nevada Athletic Commission at Friday’s weigh-in. Jared Gooden was originally supposed to fight Grant on this card but pulled out due to an undisclosed injury. Calen Born stepped in, but he did not make weight in Friday, so Grant was without an opponent until Rodriguez also needed a dance partner.

Physically, Grant is a much more even fighter, as he is an identical 6-foot-1 and 170 pounds like Rodriguez, and he even has a two-inch reach advantage over his counterpart. The biggest disparity is in significant strikes landed per minute, as he has just 2.87 to 8.60 for Rodriguez. Grant – nicknamed “The Body Snatcher” – enters with a lot of confidence after a split-decision win over Alan Jouban on the UFC 236 card on April 13, 2019.

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Daniel Rodriguez vs. Dwight Grant betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 4:40 a.m. ET.

RODRIGUEZ (-223) is a heavy favorite to top Grant (+180), and you can expect this fight to go nowhere near the distance. Rodriguez landed 8.60 significant strikes per minute, and he’ll fire out of the chute looking to floor his opponent early. Grant is 7-0 via KO/TKO in his career in 12 professional fights, including a first-round KO/TKO of Carlo Pedersoli on Feb. 23, 2019. But this fight with Rodriguez is a huge step up, and he will be overwhelmed. It’s unlikely this fight even sees the third round.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Also see:

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN 15: Mariya Agapova vs. Shana Dobson odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 15 fight between Mariya Agapova and Shana Dobson, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

UFC action returns Saturday, as Mariya Agapova and Shana Dobson lock horns in a women’s flyweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN 15 at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 8:30 p.m. ET.

Kazakhstan’s Agapova (9-1) burst onto the scene in her UFC debut, submitting Hannah Cifers at 2:42 of the first round on the Eye-Calvillo card on June 13. She has won nine of her 10 fights as a professional, only falling to Tracy Cortez by unanimous decision at Dana White’s Contender Series in Season 3, Week 6 (July, 2019). She rebounded with three consecutive Round 1 victories, and now she faces Dobson, looking for a fourth straight finish inside the distance.

Dobson (3-4) made her UFC debut on April 14, 2018, falling by unanimous decision to Lauren Mueller. It’s gone from bad to worse, as she also lost by unanimous decision to Sabina Mazo on the UFC 241 card before getting knocked out in 40 seconds against Priscila Cachoeira on Feb. 22. Dobson might be in danger of falling out of the UFC with another loss, and she is well expected to suffer a fourth consecutive setback.

Want to place a bet on UFC on ESPN 15? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NJ and WV! Bet now!

Mariya Agapova vs. Shana Dobson betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7:25 p.m. ET.

Agapova (-1429) is an overwhelming favorite, perhaps the heaviest in recent memory on the women’s side of the ledger. You cannot justify wagering such a giant amount for such a potential tiny return. Dobson (+800) isn’t the play, either, as she is coming off a three-bout losing streak.

You’ll have to get creative to make a little money in this one. Target AGAPOVA TO WIN VIA SUBMISSION (+300) on the 7-way line, as that pays nicely if it comes through. Maybe, roll with AGAPOVA BY KO/TKO or DQ (-130), too, as a hedge. If you’re willing to pay the juice, definitely go with UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-278). Dobson doesn’t stand a chance, and it will be over quickly.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Also see:

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN 15: Marcin Prachnio vs. Mike Rodriguez odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 15 fight between Marcin Prachnio and Mike Rodriguez, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

Saturday night, Marcin Prachnio and Mike Rodriguez mix it up in the octagon in a light heavyweight bout at UFC on ESPN 15 at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 8:30 p.m. ET.

Prachnio (13-4) has not had a very good time so far at the UFC level. He was knocked out Feb. 24, 2018 by “Smilin” Sam Alvey at 4:23 of Round 1, and he was again knocked out at 3:09 of Round 1 against Magomed Ankalaev. Prachnio faces another tough customer in Rodriguez (10-4), who enters with 4.30 significant strikes landed per minute and a 52.53 significant strike-accuracy percentage. The southpaw Rodriguez also heads into this one with an 8½-inch reach advantage.

Rodriguez hasn’t exactly been killing it at the UFC level either, going 1-2 with a no contest, including a KO/TKO loss in just 64 seconds against Da-Un Jung on Dec. 21, 2019. Win or lose, he’ll be looking to keep this fight upright and use that tremendous reach advantage for the early knockout. In 14 career professional fights, nine have ended via KO/TKO, with eight victories. In addition, 12 of his 14 fights have finished inside the distance.

Want to place a bet on UFC on ESPN 15? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NJ and WV! Bet now!

Prachnio vs. Rodriguez betting odds, picks and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 7 p.m. ET.

Rodriguez (-228) is heavily favored to top Prachnio (+185) in this one, and there is very little evidence to suggest the Polish fighter is going to turn it around. However, betting the favorite on the 2-way fight result line isn’t a good idea, as that’s too much risk for not much reward.

Instead, pinpoint Rodriguez and the method of victory, chopping down the risk a little bit. We can rule out a submission for Rodriguez, as he hasn’t tapped anyone in nearly four years. Target RODRIGUEZ TO WIN BY KO/TKO or DQ (+125) on the 7-way line.

Betting No (-304): Will the fight go the distance? is too expensive. Instead, bet on the fight ending in ROUND 2 (+275) and ROUND 3 (+550). Yes, you cannot win both, but as long as the fight doesn’t end in Round 1, or go the distance, you will come out ahead.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Also see:

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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UFC on ESPN 15: Pedro Munhoz vs. Frankie Edgar odds, picks and best bets

Previewing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 15 fight between Pedro Munhoz and Frankie Edgar, with MMA betting odds, picks, tips and bets.

Pedro Munhoz and Frankie Edgar lock horns in the main event in a bantamweight bout on the main card at UFC on ESPN 15 Saturday at the UFC’s APEX Facility in Las Vegas. The prelims kick off at 6 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 8:30 p.m. ET.

Want to place a bet on UFC on ESPN 15? Place bets at BetMGM online in CO, IN, NJ and WV! Bet now!

Munhoz (18-4) will be looking to rebound after a unanimous decision setback to Aljamain Sterling on the UFC 238 card back on June 8, 2019. He has an impressive resume, which includes a KO/TKO of Cody Garbrandt at UFC 235, while also tapping Rob Font back on Oct. 28, 2017. Munhoz is a punching machine, too, posting 5.29 strikes landed per minute, ninth among the bantamweights. He also ranks eighth in takedown defense at 81.8 percent. Munhoz could put another feather in his cap with a victory over Edgar, positioning himself for a march for a strap fight. But, first things first.

Edgar (22-8-1) might be a little long in the tooth at 38, but he is still a dangerous fighting. While he lost the strap to Max Holloway on July 27, 2019 at UFC 240, and followed that up with a disappointing Round 1 KO/TKO loss to Chan Sung Jung, a.k.a. The Korean Zombie, Edgar remains a formidable foe for anyone. Edgar will want to be mindful of the knockout, as Munhoz registered three KO/TKO wins, eighth most among the bantamweight division.

Pedro Munhoz vs. Frankie Edgar betting odds

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 11:27 p.m. ET.

Munhoz (-264) is heavily favored to put Edgar (+220) away, but you cannot risk more than two times your potential return. It’s just too risky against a veteran like Edgar. So, get specific instead.

Taking MUNHOZ by KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (-122) on the 5-way line, but you lose if the fight goes to a decision. I don’t like Edgar in this one, as Munhoz is the more polished fighter who can do it so many ways.

In addition, roll with UNDER 4.5 ROUNDS (-167), or you can play NO (-182): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? It’s ‘s a little more than I am comfortable with on a singular play, but it is a good bet to come through.

To watch the full card, sign up for ESPN+ now.

Also see:

If you want some action on this MMA bout, place your wagers at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and analysis, visit SportsbookWire.com.

Follow @JoeWilliamsVI on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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