Tag: UFC on ESPN+ 104 betting odds lines picks and predictions best bets

UFC Fight Night 246: Erin Blanchfield vs. Rose Namajunas odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 246 odds between Erin Blanchfield vs. Rose Namajunas, with MMA picks and predictions.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”4141″ ]

In a 5-round women’s flyweight bout in the co-main event, Erin Blanchfield and Rose Namajunas meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 246 — also known as UFC on ESPN+ 104 — at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 246: Blanchfield vs. Namajunas odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, while the main card begins at 8 p.m. ET.

Records: Blanchfield (12-2-0) | Namajunas (14-6-0)

Blanchfield suffered a unanimous-decision loss against Manon Fiorot March 30 in a Fight Night main event. It was her first loss at the UFC level after winning her first 6 fights with the company. She has ended up going the distance in 4 of her 7 UFC fights, while recording 3 submission victories.

Namajunas has recorded 2 straight unanimous-decisions wins over Amanda Ribas and Tracy Cortez, and she has ended up going the distance in 5 consecutive fights.

Blanchfield has a slight 1-inch reach advantage over “Thug,” and she has a 5.47-to-3.70 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Blanchfield is much more accurate with those strikes, too, hitting at a 54.04% clip, while Namajunas lands just 46.66% of those significant strikes.

In the takedown average, Blanchfield has managed a 2.05 mark, while Namajunas checks in at 1.55. Namajunas is much more accurate in takedown accuracy, posting an impressive 53.19% mark, while Blanchfield has a solid 1.02 submission average.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 246: Blanchfield vs. Namajunas odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of UFC odds. Lines last updated at 12:20 p.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Blanchfield -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Namajunas +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -250 | No +175)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”4132″ ]

UFC Fight Night 246: Blanchfield vs. Namajunas picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

BLANCHFIELD (-140) is an outstanding play straight up. As long as she can avoid going to the mat with Namajunas (+115) — where the former 2-time strawweight champ is at her best — Blanchfield will get the job done.

This is a fight that should be able to go the distance. Backing BLANCHFIELD BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+125) at plus-money to win on points has good value, too, if you want to get specific. However, playing the moderate favorite straight isn’t terrible and gives you a win if she gets a KO/TKO or submission, too. It really depends on how conservative of a bettor you are.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes: Fight to go the distance (-250) will cost you 2½ times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive straight up. However, as part of a multi-leg parlay, it can be excused tossing it in.

However, AVOID playing this prop by itself.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”6305″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC Fight Night 246: Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Dustin Stoltzfus odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 246 odds between Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Dustin Stoltzfus, with MMA picks and predictions.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”4141″ ]

In a 3-round middleweight bout on the main card, Marc-Andre Barriault and Dustin Stoltzfus meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 246 – also known as UFC on ESPN+ 104 – at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 246: Barriault vs. Stoltzfus odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, and the main card begins at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Records: Barriault (16-8-0) | Stoltzfus (15-6-0)

The Canadian Barriault fights in his native country looking to snap a 2-bout skid. He suffered a first-round KO/TKO last time out against Joe Pyfer at UFC 303 last time out in late June. Before that, he suffered a split-decision loss against Chris Curtis at UFC 297. His most recent win was against Eryk Anders on UFC 289 in a unanimous-decision victory.

For Stoltzfus, he was knocked out at the end of Round 1 against Brunno Ferreira in early June, and he is just 2-5 in his past 7 fights. He has tapped out twice, while losing via KO/TKO twice, and once via unanimous decision.

Stoltzfus holds a 1-inch reach advantage, although Barriault is well ahead with a 6.12-to-3.51 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Stoltzfus is slightly more accurate at 56.61%, and he is well ahead in takedown average at 2.45-to-0.21. As such, Barriault will want to avoid going to the mat, where Stoltzfus has a 1.02 submission average.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 246: Barriault vs. Stoltzfus odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of UFC odds. Lines last updated at 12:10 p.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Barriault -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Stoltzfus +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
  • Total Rounds: 2.5 Rounds (Over -145 | Under +110)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -110 | No -120)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”4132″ ]

UFC Fight Night 246: Barriault vs. Stoltzfus picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Barriault (-200) will set you back 2 times your potential return if you were to play him straight up on the 2-way line. That’s too expensive straight up, so let’s get specific.

Barriault will be trying to stay upright, as Stoltzfus (+165) is at his best on the mat, and that’s where he could get the job done against the Canadian fighter.

The favorite will likely be very careful, and this could be a fight where the crowd gets a little impatient with the slow pace. BARRIAULT BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+150) is the best way to go.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (-110): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE? is a safe play, especially if you want a little action on the fight, and you don’t necessarily want to declare a winner.

Barriault has gone the distance in 2 of the past 3 fights, but be careful. Stoltzfus hasn’t gone the distance since July 16, 2022 against Dwight Grant, finishing inside the distance in each of his past 3 bouts.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”6305″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC Fight Night 246: Brandon Moreno vs. Amir Albazi odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 246 odds between Brandon Moreno vs. Amir Albazi, with MMA picks and predictions.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”4141″ ]

In a 5-round flyweight bout in the main event, Brandon Moreno and Amir Albazi meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 246 – also known as UFC on ESPN+ 104 – at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s UFC odds around the UFC Fight Night 246: Moreno vs. Albazi odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET on ESPN+, and the main card begins at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

Records: Moreno (21-8-2) | Albazi (17-1-0)

Moreno is looking to bounce back after a split-decision loss to Brandon Royval last time out in the main event on Feb. 24. That setback came on the heels of a championship bout loss to Alexandre Pantoja at UFC 290 in July 2023. His last victory came in a TKO – Doctor’s Stoppage against Deiveson Figueiredo at UFC 283 Jan. 21, 2023.

Albazi picked up a split-decision win against Kai Kara-France June 3, 2023, in his most recent appearance in a fight night main event. Since making his UFC debut on July 18, 2020, he has picked up 5 victories, including 2 submission victories, a KO/TKO win over Alessandro Costa, and 2 decision victories.

Moreno holds a 2-inch reach advantage, and he has a 3.87-to-2.80 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, too. Moreno is more accurate at 50.29%, while Albazi has managed a 48.57% mark. The takedown average difference is negligible, while Moreno is more accurate in that category, too, going 46.88%.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 246: Moreno vs. Albazi odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of UFC odds. Lines last updated at 12:05 p.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Moreno -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Albazi +140 (bet $100 to win $140)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -200 | No +150)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”4132″ ]

UFC Fight Night 246: Moreno vs. Albazi picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

MORENO (-165) is worth a look as a moderate favorite over the Iraqi challenger. He is just 2 fights removed from fighting for a championship at this weight class, and he is looking to bounce back and position himself for another run at the strap.

Albazi (+140) has won each of his fights at the UFC level, but outside of Kara-France, he hasn’t faced a great level of talent.

We’ll roll the dice on MORENO BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+125) at plus-money. He has gone the distance in each of the past 2 outings, and 4 of the previous 7 fights.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (-200) is a little on the expensive side, costing you 2 times your potential return. Straight up, it isn’t a great wager, but if you fold it into a multi-leg parlay, it can be excused.

Albazi went the distance last time out, and he has needed the judges to determine a winner in 2 of his past 4 fights.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”6305″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]