In a middleweight bout, Dequan Townsend and Dusko Todorovic square off at UFC on ESPN 16 Saturday at the UFC’s Fight Island facility in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. The prelims kick off at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+, followed by the main card set for 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.
Townsend (21-11) will enter the octagon standing two inches taller than Todorovic (9-0), and he has a five-inch reach advantage. That’s all well and good, but he enters this one with three losses in three bouts since arriving at the UFC level, including a pair of unanimous decision setbacks and a KO/TKO loss to Dalcha Lungiambula on June 29, 2019. He has managed just 1.15 significant strikes landed per minute and a 35.88 significant strike-accuracy percentage.
Todorovic makes his UFC debut after posting a unanimous decision victory over Teddy Ash in Dana White’s Contender Series: Season 3, Week 10. That was the only fight in nine career bouts to go the distance, as he has won by KO/TKO five times and via submission in three others. Six of his nine professional fights have ended in Round 1, so it will be interesting to see if the struggling Townsend can put up a little resistance.
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Dequan Townsend vs. Dusko Todorovic betting odds
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:15 a.m. ET.
Todorovic (-334) is heavily favored, and you must risk over three times your potential return. That’s not worth the risk, so be a little more specific with your wagers. TODOROVIC BY KO/TKO, DQ or SUBMISSION (+110) is a solid play at plus-money, although this prop doesn’t cash if he ends up winning by decision, or, of course, if he loses outright.
I like Todorovic to end this one before the distance, so take UNDER 2.5 ROUNDS (-118). Plus, look for the fight to end in ROUND 2 (+410) or ROUND 3 (+700). Yes, you’ll lose one end of this wager, but if the fight ends in either Round 2 or 3 you will be ahead considerably.
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Also see:
- UFC on ESPN 16 predictions (MMA Junkie)
- Townsend has battled various levels of adversity (MMA Junkie)
- MMA Junkie – The latest UFC/MMA coverage
Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
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