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UFC on ESPN 57: Dominick Reyes vs. Dustin Jacoby odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 57 odds between Dominick Reyes and Dustin Jacoby, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round light heavyweight bout on the main card, Dominick Reyes and Dustin Jacoby meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 57 — also known as UFC Louisville — at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 57: Reyes vs. Jacoby odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.

Records: Reyes (12-4-0) | Jacoby (19-8-1)

These 2 fighters are both skidding hard and in need of a victory. Reyes enters with 3 consecutive KO/TKO losses since a unanimous-decision setback to Jon Jones at UFC 247 in Feb. 2020. His last win came Oct. 18, 2019, against Chris Weidman in a Fight Night main event, so, yeah, it’s been a minute.

Reyes has ended up going the distance just once in the past 5 fights, and he hasn’t been out of the 2nd round in 3 straight outings.

Jacoby hasn’t been much better, as he has lost 3 of his past 4 fights, with only an 82-second KO/TKO of Kennedy Nzechukwu to show for his efforts. He has ended up going the distance in 3 of his past 4 fights and 5 of his previous 7 outings.

Reyes has a slight 1-inch height advantage and a 1-inch reach advantage. The southpaw Reyes has a 51.49% mark in significant strikes accuracy percentage, but Jacoby has 5.53 significant strikes landed per minute to just 4.75 for the veteran Reyes.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC on ESPN 57: Reyes vs. Jacoby odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:36 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Reyes +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Jacoby -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -175 | Under +130)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +160 | No -225)

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UFC on ESPN 57: Reyes vs. Jacoby picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Both of these fighters need a win to get back on track. Jacoby (-250) is a good bet to get it done, but not if you have to risk 2½ times your potential return. Let’s get a little more specific.

Reyes (+200) can’t be trusted. He has lost 4 straight fights, including 3 via KO/TKO. A spinning backfist against Jiri Prochazka earned Reyes a 6-month medical suspension. He just hasn’t been the same since his loss to Bones.

With 3 straight KO/TKO losses, JACOBY BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+100) at even-money on the 7-way Method of Victory is your best bet.

Over/Under (O/U)

Over 1.5 Rounds (-175) isn’t necessarily priced out of line, but Reyes made it just 80 seconds last time out, and that raises a red flag. And Jacoby has had a pair of 1st-round KO/TKO wins in his previous 5 outings, so it could easily finish well ahead of the middle of Round 2.

No (-225): Will the fight go the distance? is too much risk for not enough reward, either.

If you want to take a chance on a big pay day, JACOBY TO WIN IN 60 SECONDS OR LESS (+1100) is worth a look. Heck, just put $5 or $10 on it, and it is still a nice little chunk of change.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ESPN 57: Jared Cannonier vs. Nassourdine Imavov odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ESPN 57 odds between Jared Cannonier vs. Nassourdine Imavov, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 5-round middleweight bout in the main event, Jared Cannonier and Nassourdine Imavov meet Saturday at UFC on ESPN 57 — also known as UFC Louisville — at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Ky. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ESPN 57: Cannonier vs. Imavov odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin at 5 p.m. ET and can be viewed on ESPN+, while the main card starts at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN/ESPN+.

Records: Cannonier (17-6-0) | Imavov (13-4-0)

The 40-year-old Cannonier isn’t going quietly out to pasture. Since losing via unanimous decision to Israel Adesanya for the title at UFC 276, he stopped Sean Strickland via split-decision in a mid-December main event, and he posted a unanimous-decision win over Marvin Vettori in another main event in mid-June. If “The Killa Gorilla” can get the win here, he might position himself for one final title shot before he rides off into the sunset.

Imavov might have other plans, though. He posted a majority-decision win over Roman Dolidze last time out in a main event, making up for a no contest against Chris Curtis at UFC 289, and a unanimous-decision loss to Sean Strickland in his first-ever main event Jan. 14, 2023.

Imavov stands 4 inches taller than the underdog, while Cannonier has a 2.5-inch reach advantage. The difference in significant strikes landed per minute is rather negligible, as Cannonier holds a slight 4.68-to-4.53 advantage. Imavov is a little more accurate at 57.84%, to 55.31% for the veteran.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC on ESPN 57: Cannonier vs. Imavov odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Cannonier +100 (bet $100 to win $100) | Imavov -120 (bet $120 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -200 | Under +150)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -135 | No +100)

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UFC on ESPN 57: Cannonier vs. Imavov picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

CANNONIER (+100) is not quite done yet. He heads into this one on a roll, showing he can still take down the top talent in the division.

Imavov (-120) was topped by Strickland, losing via unanimous decision, while Cannonier picked up the split-decision victory against him. That’s a recent common opponent, and it’s important.

Cannonier has ended up going the distance in each of his past 3 fights, too, while needing the judges in 5 of the past 6. Imavov has had just the no contest to Curtis at UFC 289 surrounded by 3 decisions.

If you agree, and like the slight underdog to win, you should also like CANNONIER BY DECISION (+225) for a chance to more than double up.

Over/Under (O/U)

Over 3.5 Rounds (-200) is a little on the pricey side, costing you twice as much as your potential return. If you toss that into a multi-leg parlay, it isn’t so bad, but as a standalone wager, it isn’t recommended.

Instead, simply play YES: WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? (-135) for a much better price.

Again, Cannonier has ended up going the distance in 5 of his past 6 fights, while Imavov has gone the distance 3 times in the past 4 outings.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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