Tag: UFC Fight Night 225 odds lines picks and predictions best bets

UFC Fight Night 225: Giga Chikadze vs. Alex Caceres odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 225 odds between Giga Chikadze vs. Alex Caceres with MMA picks and predictions.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

In a 3-round featherweight bout on the main card, Giga Chikadze and Alex Caceres meet at UFC Fight Night 225 — also known as UFC Singapore — at Singapore Indoor Stadium in Kallang, Singapore, on Saturday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 225: Chikadze vs. Caceres odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

Records: Chikadze (14-3-0) | Caceres (21-13-0)

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 5 a.m. ET, while the main card starts at 8 a.m. ET on ESPN+.

Chikadze suffered his first loss in 8 UFC fights last time out, falling to Calvin Kattar via unanimous decision in the main event of a fight night in mid-January 2022. He entered that bout with 3 consecutive KO/TKO wins, including a 3rd-round knockout of Edson Barboza in August 2021.

Caceres, a.k.a. “Bruce Leeroy”, has picked up wins in his past 2 bouts. He recorded a unanimous-decision victory over Daniel Pineda last time out in early June and dropped Julian Erosa in the 1st round in Dec. 2022, washing off the stink of a unanimous-decision loss to Sodiq Yusuff in mid-March 2022.

Chikadze holds a slight half-inch reach advantage, while Caceres owns a 4.16-to-4.05 significant strikes landed per minute edge. Caceres is also much more accurate with his strikes, landing 55.42% to just 43.96% for the favorite.

Caceres is also well ahead in the takedown categories, holding a 0.59-to-0.26 takedown average lead, while his takedown average percentage is 68.42% to just 33.33% for the Georgian. Bruce Leeroy also has a 0.73 submission average, while Chikadze comes in at 0.26.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 225: Chikadze vs. Caceres odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:08 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Chikadze -250 (bet $250 to win $100) | Caceres +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -210 | Under +160)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -175 | No +130)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC Fight Night 225: Chikadze vs. Caceres picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

CACERES (+200) is a tremendous value for the opportunity to double up with a victory.

Chikadze is an amazing competitor but he’s in for a difficult night against the very energetic and motivated Caceres. The challenger lands more strikes per minute, is much more accurate with said strikes and is slightly better in the ground game.

While the Georgian Chikadze does everything well and is more of an orthodox fighter, Caceres is a ball of energy and a little wild — but that also could help to catch the eye of the judges. As long as Caceres can weather an early storm and can get plenty of takedowns, I think he does enough to wow the judges in his favor.

METHOD OF VICTORY – 7-WAY: CACERES BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+450) is a huge value play for a chance to multiply up by 4 1/2 times, too.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (-175): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? is a little on the expensive side, but not a bad play if you want some action and do not want to declare a winner in the bout.

This play comes with risk, as Chikadze has 3 stoppages in the past 4 bouts, although 5 of his 8 fights at the UFC have resulted in decisions.

As far as Caceres is concerned, he has 3 decisions in the past 5 bouts and 10 across his previous 16 outings.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC Fight Night 225: Anthony Smith vs. Ryan Spann odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 225 odds between Anthony Smith vs. Ryan Spann with MMA picks and predictions.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

In a 3-round light heavyweight bout on the main card, Anthony Smith and Ryan Spann meet at UFC Fight Night 225 — also known as UFC Singapore — at Singapore Indoor Stadium in Kallang, Singapore, on Saturday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 225: Smith vs. Spann odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

Records: Smith (36-18-0) | Spann (21-8-0)

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 5 a.m. ET, while the main card starts at 8 a.m. ET on ESPN+.

Smith takes the walk to the octagon looking to pull out of a nosedive. He has dropped his last 2 fights, a unanimous-decision loss to Johnny Walker last time out in May, and a 2nd-round KO/TKO setback against Magomed Ankalaev at UFC 277 in July 2022.

It’s been a roller coaster ride for Smith since his title shot loss to Jon Jones at UFC 235 in 2019, as he has won 4 bouts and he has lost 4 fights. He has been knocked out twice during the span and has recorded 3 submission victories and a TKO – Doctor’s Stoppage against Jimmy Crute.

As far as Spann is concerned, he might as well be strapped in the roller coaster right next to Smith. He has posted 3 wins and 3 losses across his past 6 outings, including a 1st-round submission loss to Nikita Krylov last time out in mid-March.

Spann is a versatile fighter who has recorded a KO/TKO in the 1st round over Dominick Reyes at UFC 281 and a 1st-round submission victory over Ion Cutelaba on May 14, 2022, while also taking care of “Smilin” Sam Alvey via decision at UFC 249 back on May 9, 2020. He can do it a number of ways, and that’s likely why he is installed as a slight favorite.

Spann has the arm span, pardon the pun. He has a 3-inch reach advantage, which will serve him well in keeping his opponent at a distance, allowing him to pick and choose his spots to get close in. He also has a 3.28-to-2.96 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, an overwhelming 1.64-to-0.48 takedown average advantage and a 1.91-to-0.69 submission average.

Smith is slightly ahead in significant strikes landed per minute advantage, posting a 50.51% mark, while Spann checks in at 45.99%.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 225: Smith vs. Spann odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:40 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Smith +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Spann -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +140 | Under -185)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +375 | No -650)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC Fight Night 255: Smith vs. Spann picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Win or lose, SPANN (-125) doesn’t clown around. His past 6 bouts have not made it out of the 1st round and I think he is able to get this one down by quickly pouncing on Smith.

Smith has been effective in the ground game, so it might not be in Spann’s best interest to get into the wrestling match. However, I think Spann has enough punching power to end this one with a KO/TKO instead.

If you’re a little cautious, you can go METHOD OF VICTORY – 5-WAY: SPANN BY KO/TKO, DQ OR SUBMISSION (-110) at near even-money to get both potential results.

I also like METHOD OF VICTORY – 7-WAY: SPANN BY KO/TKO OR DQ (+175) for a chance to nearly double up. Of course, if you go this route, and there is a submission win, you obviously do not cash.

Over/Under (O/U)

No (-650): Will the fight go the distance? is obviously way too expensive, costing you 6 1/2 times your potential return. Spann hasn’t made it out of the 1st round since May 9, 2020, a fight that went the distance.

Smith isn’t terribly keen to get the judges involved either, and he has made it to Round 2 just twice in the past 5 outings.

UNDER 1.5 ROUNDS (-185) is worth playing lightly, but even that’s a little too expensive for my liking.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC Fight Night 225: Max Holloway vs. Chan Sung Jung odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC Fight Night 225 odds between Max Holloway vs. Chan Sung Jung with MMA picks and predictions.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

In a 5-round featherweight bout in the main event, Max Holloway and Chan Sung Jung meet at UFC Fight Night 225 — also known as UFC Singapore — at Singapore Indoor Stadium in Kallang, Singapore, on Saturday. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC Fight Night 225: Holloway vs. Sung Jung odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

Records: Holloway (24-7-0) | Sung Jung (17-7-0)

The prelims can be viewed on ESPN+ at 5 a.m. ET, while the main card starts at 8 a.m. ET on ESPN+.

Holloway bounced back from a title shot loss at UFC 276 to stop Arnold Allen by unanimous decision last time out in mid-April. That’s 8 consecutive decisions for “Blessed”, with 4 wins and 4 losses along the way. To be fair, 3 of those setbacks were against Alexander Volkanovski, one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the game.

Sung Jung, better known as “The Korean Zombie”, also met a similar fate against Volkanovski last time out, suffering a 4th-round KO/TKO setback at UFC 273 in April. He has also been stuck in neutral across his past 8 bouts, winning 4 and losing 4, with 3 of the setbacks via knockout.

Holloway stands 4 inches taller than the Zombie, while Sung Jung holds a 3-inch reach advantage. Holloway enters the octagon with a tremendous 7.16 significant strikes landed per minute (LPM), while Sung Jung checks in with a paltry 3.97 LPM, However, Zombie is slightly more accurate at 49.39% than Holloway at 49.07%.

As far as the ground game is concerned, Sung Jung scores a few more takedowns at 0.74 on average compared to a 0.28 takedown average for Holloway, and he also has a slight 0.65-to-0.31 submission average advantage over Blessed.

Holloway’s last stoppage came 9 fights ago in a TKO – Doctor’s Stoppage win for the title at UFC 231 over Brian Ortega on Dec. 8, 2018.

The Korean Zombie has gone the distance in 2 of his past 3 bouts, losing to Ortega in mid-October 2020 and topping Dan Ige in June 2021.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC Fight Night 225: Holloway vs. Sung Jung odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 5:11 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Holloway -800 (bet $800 to win $100) | Sung Jung +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -225 | Under +165)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +130 | No -175)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC Fight Night 255: Holloway vs. Sung Jung picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Holloway (-800) will cost you 8 times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive for a straight-up bet. Even as part of a multi-fighter parlay, that’s just too much risk and not enough reward.

However, if you like the heavy favorite you should look to the METHOD OF VICTORy – 7-WAY: HOLLOWAY BY DECISION/TECHNICAL DECISION (+150) for a chance to multiply your initial wager by 1 1/2 times. Holloway has gone the distance in 8 consecutive fights, so it’s a good bet that when he wins, the judges will be involved.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (+130): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? seems like a tremendous value given the fact Holloway has gone the distance in each of his past 8 fights. Generally, you don’t see plus-money odds with streaks like that. It’s even more surprising considering the fact The Korean Zombie has gone the distance in 2 of the past 3 bouts.

That’s a tremendous value, but Over 2.5 Rounds (-225) is not worth playing, costing you more than 2 times your potential return.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]