In a lightweight bout on the main card, Paddy Pimblett and Jordan Leavitt meet Saturday at UFC Fight Night 208 at O2 Arena in London. Below, we analyze the UFC Fight Night 208 Pimblett vs. Leavitt odds and lines, with picks and predictions.
The card can be viewed on ESPN+ with the prelims starting at noon ET, followed by the main card at 3 p.m ET.
Pimblett has gone from prospect to up-and-coming star at the UFC level. His first 2 fights at the UFC have resulted in a 1st-round KO/TKO victory over Luigi Vendramini and a 1st-round submission win over Kazula Vargas last time out in mid-March.
Leavitt is coming off a split-decision victory over Trey Ogden in mid-April in his most recent fight. He’s recorded stoppage victories in 2 of his 4 fights in the UFC, including a submission win and a KO/TKO. Leavitt, a.k.a. “The Monkey King”, has gone the distance 4 times in 11 career bouts, going 1-0 via KO/TKO and 6-0 via submission.
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UFC Fight Night 208 Pimblett vs. Leavitt odds and lines
Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 2:27 p.m. ET.
- Fight result (2-way line): Pimblett -270 (bet $270 to win $100) | Leavitt +200 (bet $100 to win $200)
- Total rounds: Over 2.5 (+135) | Under 2.5 (-190)
- Will the fight go the distance? Yes (+210) | No (-320)
[tipico]
UFC Fight Night 208 Pimblett vs. Leavitt picks and predictions
Records: Pimblett (18-3-0) | Leavitt (10-1-0)
Fight result (2-way line or money line)
Pimblett (-270) will cost you over two and a half times your potential return, which is not a good long-term betting strategy. So let’s get a little more specific.
Pimblett will be fighting in front of a pro-Pimblett crowd in his native England. He also sports a 2-inch reach advantage and a 6.07-to-2.49 significant strikes landed per minute advantage.
I can easily see PIMBLETT BY KO/TKO (+225), and that’s too hard to pass up for a chance to more than double up.
Over/Under (O/U)
No (-320): Fight to go the distance is not a recommended play, even though I think Pimblett easily gets the finish.
Instead, do a 2-round block on Pimblett. If you take PIMBLETT TO WIN IN ROUND 2 (+380) and PIMBLETT TO WIN IN ROUND 3 (+800), you’ll lose one end if he wins in Rounds 2-3, but you’ll still be quite a bit ahead.
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