Tag: UFC Abu Dhabi betting odds lines picks and predictions best bets

UFC on ABC 7: Mackenzie Dern vs. Loopy Godinez odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ABC 7 odds between Mackenzie Dern vs. Loopy Godinez, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round women’s strawweight bout on the main card, Mackenzie Dern and Loopy Godinez meet Saturday at UFC on ABC 7 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ABC 7: Dern vs. Godinez odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin noon ET, on ESPN2/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 3 p.m. ET, on ABC/ESPN.

Records: Dern (13-5-0) | Godinez (12-4-0)

Dern has lost the past 2 fights while going just 2-4 in the past 6 bouts. She suffered a unanimous-decision loss to Amanda Lemos at UFC 298 in her most recent fight. Prior to that, she suffered a Round 2 KO/TKO loss at UFC 295 against Jessica Andrade.

The fight against Andrade was a rarity, as Dern has gone the distance in 5 of the previous 6 outings.

Mexico’s Godinez suffered a unanimous-decision loss to Virna Jandiroba last time out March 30, snapping a 4-bout win streak. Like Dern, she often needs the judges to determine a winner. Since Oct. 16, 2021, Godinez has ended up going the distance 8 times in the past 9 outings.

Dern has a 2-inch reach advantage, and she is also 2 inches taller. Godinez has a 4.13-to-3.31 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and the Mexican fighter is slightly more accurate with those strikes at 53.97% to 52.97%. Godinez also has a 3.04 takedown average, while Dern has a 1.31-to-1.01 submission average advantage.

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UFC on ABC 7: Dern vs. Godinez odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Dern -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Godinez +102 (bet $100 to win $102)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -260 | Under +192)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -215 | No +162)

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UFC on ABC 7: Dern vs. Godinez picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

GODINEZ (+102) is worth a look as the slight underdog. The Team RVCA fighter Dern (-120) has dropped 2 straight fights and 4 of the past 6.

Godinez throws a few more significant strikes per minute, and she is a little more accurate. In addition, she has tremendous takedown average numbers, while Dern’s only slight advantage is in the submission department.

GODINEZ BY POINTS (+135) is a little better of a value in the Method of Victory department, too, as this fight is more than likely to go the distance.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-215): Will the fight go the distance? will cost you more than 2 times your return. That’s way too much risk despite the tremendous frequency of going the distance for both of these fighters at the UFC level.

There is also no way to justify playing Over 2.5 Rounds (-260), which is even more expensive. Just focus on the 2-way line and method of victory.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ABC 7: Marlon Vera vs. Deiveson Figueiredo odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ABC 7 odds between Marlon Vera vs. Deiveson Figueiredo, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 3-round bantamweight bout on the main card, Marlon Vera and Deiveson Figueiredo meet Saturday at UFC on ABC 7 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ABC 7: Vera vs. Figueiredo odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin noon ET, on ESPN2/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 3 p.m. ET, on ABC/ESPN.

Records: Vera (23-9-1) | Figueiredo (23-3-1)

Vera last fought at UFC 299, losing a unanimous-decision championship fight against Sean O’Malley March 9. He is now 1-2 in his past 3 bouts, also falling to Cory Sandhagen via split decision in a main event fight March 25, 2023.

Each of Vera’s past 3 bouts have ended up going the distance, while he has had just 2 finishes in the past 8 bouts.

Figueiredo is a former champ who won the strap Feb. 29, 2020, against Joseph Benavidez, before defending against the same fighter July 18, 2020. He also stopped Alex Perez in a title defense at UFC 255. He fought to a draw in a title fight with Brandon Moreno at UFC 256, before losing via submission at UFC 263, also to Moreno.

He fought Moreno 4 straight times, winning via unanimous decision at UFC 270, before falling via TKO – Doctor’s Stoppage at UFC 283. Since, he picked up a unanimous-decision win over Rob Font while posting a 2nd-round submission win over Cody Garbrandt, positioning himself for another title shot.

Vera has a 2.5-inch reach advantage, and the switch-stance fighter has a 4.31-to-3.01 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Figueiredo is a little more accurate at 60.05% on those significant strikes, to just 52.20% for Vera. Figueiredo is much better in the submission average category, too, posting a 1.73 mark to just 0.87 for the Ecuadoran.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC on ABC 7: Vera vs. Figueiredo odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:45 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Vera +120 (bet $100 to win $120) | Figueiredo -142 (bet $142 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -280 | Under +205)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -225 | No +174)

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UFC on ABC 7: Vera vs. Figueiredo picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

FIGUEIREDO (-142) is worth a look as a moderate favorite to win straight up on the 2-way line.

The former champ has looked good in his past 2 fights, topping Font via unanimous decision while making quick work of Sandhagen at UFC 300 with a Round 2 submission.

Vera (+120) has never been submitted or knocked out. It’s more than likely that if the Brazilian gets the job done, the judges will be involved. As such, FIGUEIREDO BY POINTS (+105) at plus-money is an attractive play.

Over/Under (O/U)

Yes (-225): Will the fight go the distance? will set you back more than 2 times your potential return, and that’s just too risky for not nearly enough of a reward.

In addition, Over 2.5 Rounds (-280) will cost you nearly 3 times your potential return, and there is no value in that, either. Even as part of a multi-leg parlay, including the Over/Under props makes little to no sense.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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UFC on ABC 7: Cory Sandhagen vs. Umar Nurmagomedov odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC on ABC 7 odds between Cory Sandhagen vs. Umar Nurmagomedov, with MMA picks and predictions.

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In a 5-round bantamweight bout in the main event, Cory Sandhagen and Umar Nurmagomedov meet Saturday at UFC on ABC 7 at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Let’s analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC on ABC 7: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The prelims begin noon ET, on ESPN2/ESPN+, while the main card starts at 3 p.m. ET, on ABC/ESPN.

Records: Sandhagen (17-4-0) | Nurmagomedov (17-0-0)

Sandhagen lost in his first and only UFC title fight against Petr Yan at UFC 267, but he has bounced back with 3 straight victories over Song Yadong, Marlon Vera and Rob Font, with the past 2 wins coming via decision.

For Nurmagomedov, he is unbeaten in 5 fights at the UFC level. In fact, he has never lost in 17 career pro bouts since Dec. 16, 2016. He picked up a unanimous-decision win March 2 against Bekzat Almakhan, coming on the heels of a Round 1 KO/TKO of Raoni Barcelos in Jan. 2023.

In 17 fights for Nurmagomedov, he has won 2 times via KO/TKO, and 7 times via submission. For Sandhagen, he has never been knocked out, going 7-0 via the method. He is 3-1 by way of submission, too.

Sandhagen holds a slight 1-inch reach advantage, and the switch-stance fighter has a 5.33-to-4.75 significant strikes landed per minute advantage.

Nurmagomedov is much more accurate at 74.49% on those strikes, while Sandhagen checks in at just 50.04%. Nurmagomedov is strong in the takedown game, too, posting a 4.51 takedown average and 56.00% takedown accuracy percentage.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC on ABC 7: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov odds

Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:30 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Sandhagen +280 (bet $100 to win $280) | Nurmagomedov -350 (bet $350 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 4.5 rounds (Over -150 | Under +205)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -134 | No +106)

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UFC on ABC 7: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

There is no value playing the unbeaten Nurmagomedov (-350), as he will cost you 3½ times your potential return. There is just no value playing such a heavy favorite. Let’s get more specific instead.

When Sandhagen has been beaten since Oct. 30, 2021, he has made the opposition work. He lost via split decision to TJ Dillashaw, and he lost via unanimous decision to Yan in the title fight.

If Sandhagen goes down, it will be because the unbeaten Dagestani fighter wowed the judges. Play NURMAGOMEDOV BY POINTS (+115) for a much better value.

Over/Under (O/U)

YES (-134): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? isn’t a bad play, and it isn’t priced out line.

Sandhagen has gone the distance in 2 straight, and 4 of the past 5 bouts, against top competition.

For Nurmagomedov, he has needed the judges in 2 of his past 3 outings. OVER 4.5 ROUNDS (-150) is a suggested play if you’d like a little wiggle room in the event of a 5th-round finish.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and us on Facebook.

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