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UFC 291: Alex Pereira vs. Jan Blachowicz odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 291 odds and lines between Alex Pereira vs. Jan Blachowicz with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a light heavyweight bout on the main card, Alex Pereira and Jan Blachowicz meet Saturday at UFC 291 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 291: Pereira vs. Blachowicz odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET, with the prelims are on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET and the main card is on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Records: Pereira (7-2-0) | Blachowicz (29-9-1)

Pereira suffered a loss in the 2nd round against Israel Adesanya in a title fight at UFC 287 last time out in April. It was his 1st setback in 5 fights at the UFC level as he gave back the strap he took from “The Last Stylebender” in November 2022. Only 1 of Pereira’s 5 fights at the UFC level has gone the distance, and 3 of his 5 fights haven’t made it out of the 2nd round.

Blachowicz was involved in a draw at UFC 282 in a title bout with Magomed Ankalaev. He’ll have to bide his time for another title shot, after losing his belt to Glover Teixeira back at UFC 267 in October 2021. Just 2 of the past 6 fights for the Polish-born fighter have gone the distance.

Pereira holds a 1-inch advantage over the 40-year-old Blachowicz and has a 5.23-to-3.41 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. He lands 66.12% of those strikes, to 57.70% for Pereira.

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UFC 291: Pereira vs. Blachowicz odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:32 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Pereira -110 (bet $110 to win $100) | Blachowicz -110 (bet $110 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -150 | Under +115)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +200 | No -275)

UFC 291: Pereira vs. Blachowicz picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

PEREIRA (-110) has been dominant since joining the company, winning 4 of his 5 fights with 3 victories via KO/TKO.

Blachowicz has also been a title holder but the 40-year-old is just 1-1-1 across his last 3 fights. Since Feb. 2019, he’s had a loss via submission to Teixeira in a title fight and a KO/TKO setback to Thiago Santos.

Over/Under (O/U)

While Pereira has had plenty of finishes, he’ll get all he can handle from Blachowicz. Do not expect a quick finish. Take OVER 1.5 ROUNDS (-150), as that should be a rather safe play.

If you don’t want to declare a winner, but still want some action on the fight finish, roll with KO/TKO/DQ (-160) as the method of victory, regardless of the winner.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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UFC 291: Dustin Poirier vs. Justin Gaethje odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 291 odds and lines between Dustin Poirier vs. Justin Gaethje with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a lightweight bout in the main event, Dustin Poirier and Justin Gaethje meet Saturday at UFC 291 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET, with the prelims are on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET and the main card is on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Records: Poirier (29-7-0) | Gaethje (24-4-0)

Poirier posted a 3rd-round submission victory over Michael Chandler last time out in November at UFC 281 as he bounced back from a submission loss to Charles Oliveira in a title fight at UFC 269 in December 2021. He has had 4 consecutive finishes since last going the distance against Dan Hooker in June 2020.

Gaethje has alternated wins and losses in his past 5 fights. He lost a title bout to Oliveira at UFC 274 before bouncing back with a majority-decision win over Rafael Fiziev at UFC 286 in March. He has gone the distance in 2 of the past 3 bouts. However, those are the only 2 times he has gone the distance in his 10 fights at the UFC level.

These 2 fighters met in the main event in a UFC Fight Night in mid-April 2018, with Poirier picking up the KO/TKO win in the 4th round.

Poirier holds a 2-inch reach advantage but Gaethje has a 7.38-to-5.51 significant strikes landed per minute advantage. Gaethje is also slightly more accurate with his strikes, landing 60.57% to 54.94% for Poirier. However, Poirier has an edge with a 1.39-to-0.13 takedown average advantage and he has a 1.24 submission average, too.

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UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:05 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Poirier -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Gaethje +125 (bet $100 to win $125)
  • Over/Under: 2.5 rounds (Over -135 | Under +105)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +180 | No -250)

UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

The play is POIRIER (-150) straight up as the moderate favorite. While he has 2 losses in the past 6 fights those setbacks are both in title fights against Oliveira and Khabib Nurmagomedov, neither of whom are slouches.

The former champ has shown he can do it a number of ways, winning twice via KO/TKO, once by way of submission and another by unanimous decision across the past 5 fights. His versatility will help him in this rematch.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-135) is a strong play as Gaethje has gone the distance in 2 of his last 3 outings. While I don’t think he gets the job done, I think he will make Poirier work very hard for the victory.

I believe this will be Poirier’s first fight to go the distance since he got by Hooker at UFC Fight Night in June 2020. I believe YES (+180): FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE? is a huge value.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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UFC 291: Derrick Lewis vs. Marcos Rogerio de Lima odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 291 odds and lines between Derrick Lewis vs. Marcos Rogerio de Lima with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a heavyweight bout on the main card, Derrick Lewis and Marcos Rogerio de Lima meet Saturday at UFC 291 at Delta Center in Salt Lake City, Utah. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 291: Lewis vs. Rogerio de Lima odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 7 p.m. ET, with the prelims are on ABC/ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET and the main card is on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Watch this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

Records: Lewis (26-11-0) | Rogerio de Lima (21-9-1)

Lewis takes the walk on a 3-bout losing skid. That includes a pair of 1st-round setbacks against Serghei Spivac in February and Sergei Pavlovich last July. Win or lose, “The Black Beast” has had 7 consecutive fights finish inside the distance, with 3 wins via KO/TKO, 3 losses via KO/TKO and a loss by way of submission.

Rogerio de Lima has picked up victories in each of the past 2 outings, including a unanimous-decision win over Waldo Cortes-Acosta last time out in late April. He has gone the distance in 3 of his previous 5 outings.

Lewis has a 4-inch reach advantage, but Rogerio de Lima holds a 3.62-to-2.54 significant strikes landed per minute edge and is much more accurate on those strikes at 66.78% to just 52.57% for Lewis. In addition, Rogerio de Lima has managed a 1.35 takedown average to just 0.59 for Lewis, and he has a 47.62% takedown accuracy percentage to only 28.13%.

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UFC 291: Lewis vs. Rogerio de Lima odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:36 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Lewis +185 (bet $100 to win $185) | Rogerio de Lima -225 (bet $225 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over +150 | Under -200)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes +400 | No -700)

UFC 291: Lewis vs. Rogerio de Lima picks and predictions

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Rogerio de Lima (-225) should add to the woes of Lewis (+185), who has suffered a pair of setbacks in the 1st round while losing 3 fights in a row.

The Brazilian fighter has been much more dependable lately, picking up 4 wins in the past 5 outings. However, you can’t risk more than 2 times your potential return.

Take ROGERIO DE LIMA IN ROUND 1 (+100) at even money instead of the outright play on him to just record the victory. You can also play ROGERIO DE LIMA BY KO/TKO/DQ IN ROUND 1 (+125) for a little more value.

Over/Under (O/U)

Under 1.5 Rounds (-200) will cost you 2 times your potential return, and that’s quite expensive, and you can’t play No (-700): Fight to go the distance, as that’s way more costly.

AVOID, and simply focus on the round betting and method instead.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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