UFC 288: Belal Muhammad vs. Gilbert Burns odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 288 odds and lines between Belal Muhammad and Gilbert Burns, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a welterweight bout on the main card, Belal Muhammad and Gilbert Burns meet Saturday at UFC 288 at Prudential Center in Newark, N.J. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 288: Muhammad vs. Burns odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 6:30 p.m. ET, with prelims on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET. The main card can be viewed on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Muhammad takes the walk with an 8-0-1 record across his past 9 fights dating back to April 2019. That lone blemish was an unfortunate No Contest against Leon Edwards in March 2021 due to an unintentional eye poke.

“Remember the Name” has gone the distance 3 times in his last 4 fights and in 11 of his previous 14 bouts, too.

Burns has picked up a pair of wins over Neil Magny (UFC 283, January) and Jorge  Masvidal (UFC 287, April) after his unanimous-decision setback against Khamzat Chimaev at UFC 273 in April 2022. He is just 3-2 in the past 5 fights, but losses to Chimaev and Kamaru Usman are nothing to be ashamed about. Like Muhammed, Burns goes the distance frequently and has had just 3 stoppages in the past 9 bouts.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC 288: Muhammad vs. Burns odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:24 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Muhammad +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Burns -135 (bet $135 to win $100)
  • Over/Under: 3.5 rounds (Over -200 | Under +150)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -135 | No +100)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC 288: Muhammad vs. Burns picks and predictions

Records: Muhammad (22-3-0) | Burns (22-5-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

I’ll roll with the 34-year-old MUHAMMAD (+110) for the win. The slight underdog has won 8 of his past 9 fights with a lone No Contest during the span. He seems to understand how to do enough to wow the judges.

Burns is certainly no slouch and this should be an absolute war with Fight of the Night potential. However, Muhammad holds a 4.47-to-3.38 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, although Burns is more accurate at 56.59% to 50.63% for Muhammad. The ground game is fairly equal, too.

Over/Under (O/U)

Playing YES: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (-135) is a solid play, and I am actually stunned that this isn’t way more expensive given the penchant for both fighters to go to the judge’s cards.

I also like the slight underdog to win, so playing MUHAMMAD ON POINTS (+200) is worth scooping up for a chance to double your initial wager.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]

UFC 288: Jessica Andrade vs. Yan Xiaonan odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s UFC 288 odds and lines between Jessica Andrade and Yan Xiaonan, with MMA picks, tips and predictions.

In a women’s strawweight bout on the main card, Jessica Andrade and Yan Xiaonan meet Saturday at UFC 288 at Prudential Center in Newark, N.J. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the UFC 288: Andrade vs. Yan odds, and make our expert picks and predictions.

The early prelims are on ESPN+ at 6:30 p.m. ET, with prelims on ESPN/ESPN+ at 8 p.m. ET. The main card can be viewed on Pay-Per-View at 10 p.m. ET.

Andrade is likely hungry to get back in to the octagon after a shocking Round 2 submission loss to Erin Blanchfield last time out in the main event in mid-February on a fight night card. “Bate Estaca” is just 4-4 across the past 8 bouts, although she had won 3 in a row prior to the Blanchfield setback.

In addition, Andrade has had just a single fight go the distance in the past 6, and 8 stoppages across the previous 10 bouts.

Yan slapped the brakes on a 2-bout losing skid with a majority-decision win over Mackenzie Dern last time out in the main event of a fight night card in early October. Since arriving at the UFC level, Yan has ended up going the distance in 8 of her 9 fights.

Andrade holds a 6.84-to-5.45 significant strikes landed per minute advantage, and she is much more accurate, too, at 57.20% to just 49.54% for Yan. Andrade is also more likely to record a takedown, posting a 2.64-to-0.87 takedown average margin, although Yan is more accurate in the category.

Watch  this card with ESPN+ by signing up here.

UFC 288: Andrade vs. Yan odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

  • Fight result (2-way line): Andrade -185 (bet $185 to win $100) | Yan +150 (bet $100 to win $150)
  • Over/Under: 1.5 rounds (Over -300 | Under +210)
  • Will the fight go the distance? (Yes -135 | No +100)

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3011″ ]

[gambcom-standard rankid=”3012″ ]

UFC 288: Andrade vs. Yan picks and predictions

Records: Andrade (24-10-0) | Yan (16-3-0)

Fight result (2-way line or moneyline)

Look for Andrade (-185) to get well against Yan (+150) in his main card offering, although I’m not willing to risk nearly 2 times my potential return. My personal limit for a standalone wager is -180, and this is just a little too pricey for my liking.

Instead, PASS on the 2-way line, and look to the method of victory instead. ANDRADE ON POINTS (+200) for a chance to double up is much more appealing.

Over/Under (O/U)

Take YES: FIGHT TO GO THE DISTANCE (-135), as Yan has had 8 of her 9 bouts at the UFC level decided by the judges, with only a KO/TKO against Carla Esparza as the lone stoppage on May 22, 2021.

There is risk here, however, as Andrade has had the judges involved just once in the past 6 outings, so proceed with caution and go lightly.

Visit MMA Junkie for more fight news and analysis.

[gambcom-standard rankid=”5″ ]

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

[lawrence-newsletter]

[lawrence-auto-related count=3 category=2559]