UCF vs Memphis Prediction Game Preview

UCF vs Memphis game preview, prediction, and breakdown for the Week 10 game on Saturday, November 5

UCF vs Memphis prediction, game preview, how to watch. Week 10, Saturday, November 5


UCF vs Memphis How To Watch

Date: Saturday, November 5
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium, Memphis, TN
How To Watch: ESPN2
Record: UCF (6-2), Memphis (4-4)
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UCF vs Memphis Game Preview

Why UCF Will Win

Now we get to find out if UCF can have nice things.

The Knights had the one win they absolutely needed to come up with – taking down Cincinnati 25-21 last week – to help put them at 25 in the first College Football Playoff rankings. Tulane might be ranked higher, but that’s next week.

First they have to get by Memphis. To do that they need to get the ground game rolling right away, the pass defense has to lock down, and they need to stop turning the ball over after giving it up six times in the last two weeks.

They’re 5-0 when they run for 250 yards or more, but they might not have to against Memphis if the passing game works, too. However …

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Why Memphis Will Win

Memphis has only allowed more than 200 rushing yards once, and that was in the win over Navy.

Back to the UCF turnovers, they aren’t a big problem but there were only two road games so far this year and the O turned it over seven times.

The four in the loss to East Carolina were part of the problem, but allowing 311 passing yards and a season-most three touchdowns were bigger. The Knight secondary can be picked apart, and Memphis should be able to throw for 300 yards.

However …

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What’s Going To Happen

Yeah, the Tiger defense has only been gouged against the run once, but that’s partly because everyone throws at will on the secondary that gives up 284 yards per game.

Both teams have a few turnover issues, both offenses work, and both will have moments when they seem ready to take control of the game.

When absolutely needed, UCF will get the third down conversions Memphis won’t.

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UCF vs Memphis Prediction, Line

UCF 38, Memphis 34
Line: Memphis -3.5, o/u: 58.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 2
UCF vs Memphis Must See Rating (out of 5): 3.5
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UCF vs Memphis Prediction, Game Preview

UCF Knights vs Memphis Tigers prediction and game preview.

UCF vs Memphis prediction and game preview.


UCF vs Memphis Broadcast

Date: Saturday, October 17
Game Time: 3:30 ET
Venue: Liberty Bowl, Memphis, TN
Network: ABC

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UCF (2-1) vs Memphis (1-1) Game Preview

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Why UCF Will Win

And here comes the UCF passing game.

It worked just fine in the loss to Tulsa – Dillon Gabriel threw for 330 yards, but he only came up with one touchdown after throwing for four scores in each of the first two games – and now it’s about to hit a Memphis secondary that had no prayer against the SMU air show and had issues against Arkansas State, too.

This is still as explosive and as dangerous as any offense in the country when it gets into a groove. The home run hitters are there in the backfield, the deep ball plays are in place, and despite the issues on defense that give up around 450 yards per game, the takeaways are there.

However …

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Why Memphis Will Win

UCF has been weird.

The offense is doing what the offense normally does, but the team has been in firefights in all three games that seemed like they could’ve gone either way.

They went the UCF way in the wins over Georgia Tech and East Carolina, and the other way in the stunning loss to Tulsa.

Turnovers were a bit part of that, too.

The Knights were helped out of a shaky overall performance against Georgia Tech with five takeaways at key times, turning the tight game into a blowout. They generated four turnovers against ECU to take over that game, and against Tulsa …

Even in turnover margin, but the three giveaways mattered.

Memphis has been decent against the run over the first two games, and that’s part of the key here – make UCF one-dimensional. Make the offense press and home to generate a few takeaways.

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What’s Going To Happen

It’s supposed to be the American Athletic Conference game of the year, but instead of this being a battle of titanic unbeatens, it’s a question of survival.

That doesn’t mean it won’t be fun.

Both teams are near-locks to run and throw for 200 yards – Memphis is averaging just over 500 yards per game, UCF is averaging 582 – so it’ll likely come down to turnovers.

UCF has yet to play a fully even 60 minute game, and Memphis is still trying to get its legs.

UCF is a wee bit better at taking the ball away than Memphis is.

UCF vs Memphis Prediction, Line

UCF 41, Memphis 37
Bet on UCF vs Memphis with BetMGM
UCF -3.5, o/u: 73.5
ATS Confidence out of 5: 1.5

Must See Rating: 4

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1: The Right Stuff (2020 TV version)

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