The Minnesota Twins (63-80) and New York Yankees (79-64) tangle in a matinee Monday at Yankee Stadium. The 2:05 p.m. ET contest is a makeup of an Aug. 22 postponement. Let’s analyze the lines around the Twins vs. Yankees odds with MLB picks and predictions.
Also see: 2021 World Series odds for all teams
RHP John Gant is the projected starting pitcher for the Twins. He is 5-9 with a 3.78 ERA, 1.47 WHIP, 7.7 K/9, and 5.8 BB/9 over 102 1/3 IP across 18 starts and 18 relief appearances.
- New York got to Gant Aug. 19 for 4 ER in 3 1/3 IP.
- Current Yankee batters own an aggregate .980 OPS against him, albeit in a small sample.
- Has benefited from a .264 batting average on balls in play.
RHP Luis Gil is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees. Gil is making his fifth start of the season. He is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 1.26 WHIP with 3 ER, 10 H, 14 BB and 24 K through 19 IP.
- Is coming off a shaky Wednesday outing vs. the Toronto Blue Jays that saw him walk 7 batters in 3 1/3 IP.
Twins at Yankees odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 9:14 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Twins +175 (bet $100 to win $175) | Yankees -220 (bet $220 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Twins +1.5 (-112) | Yankees -1.5 (-108)
- Over/Under: 9.5 (O: -130 | U: +105)
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Prediction
Yankees 6, Twins 5
Money line (ML)
Minnesota is coming off losing two of three games at home to the Kansas City Royals over the weekend. However, the Twins are 5-3 over their last eight games and have been competitive in the losses. Minnesota was 4-10 with a slew of lopsided games in its 14 games prior from Aug. 19 to Sept. 4.
The Yankees are coming off losing two of three games to the Mets at Citi Field. New York is 3-12 with a .659 OPS over its last 15 games.
The Yanks have dominated the Twins over recent years. New York is 5-1 against Minnesota this season and has clocked a 46-25 scoring advantage over the series.
Both starting pitchers are fade-worthy and they knock the sides … well, sideways. Minnesota is a slight lean on what is the fairer price here, but the Yanks have the Twins’ number and a partial-unit play on the run line paired with an Over makes for the most leverage.
PASS.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
BACK THE TWINS +1.5 (-112) against a fatigued and injury-riddled Yankee bullpen. Dialing back the scale of this play is recommended as neither of these starters warrants much confidence.
Over/Under (O/U)
The fade in the pitching here is to the degree the total couldn’t be high enough. Add in a warm afternoon game at home-run-friendly Yankee Stadium – with a significant breeze blowing out to the short porch in right field – and the OVER 9.5 (-130) has value.
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