Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Dodgers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Dodgers odds and lines, with MLB expert picks and predictions.

The Minnesota Twins (57-52) are at Dodger Stadium Wednesday to finish an interleague back-to-back with the red-hot Los Angeles Dodgers (76-33).  The 1st pitch is set for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Twins vs. Dodgers odds with MLB picks and predictions.

The Dodgers rolled the Twins 10-3 Tuesday, scoring in 6 of their 8 innings at the plate. Every batter in L.A.’s lineup got a hit.

Season series: L.A. leads 3-0 and has outscored Minnesota 24-5 this season

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Twins at Dodgers projected starters

RHP Sonny Gray vs. RHP Ryan Pepiot  

Gray is 6-3 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, 2.7 BB/9 and 8.4 K/9 in 79 IP over 16 starts.

  • Last start: No-decision in Minnesota’s 9-3 home loss to the Toronto Blue Jays Thursday with 5 scoreless IP, 1 H, 5 BB and 5 K
  • 2021 vs. the Dodgers: 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA (11 2/3 IP, 5 ER), 8 H, 1 HR, 5 BB and 16 K in 2 starts pitching for the Cincinnati Reds

Pepiot is 1-0 with a 2.76 ERA (16 1/3 IP, 5 ER), 10 H, 1 HR, 12 BB and 19 K across 4 starts in his rookie season.

  • Last start: Won 5-2 at home vs. the Colorado Rockies July 5 with 5 IP, 1 ER, 4 H, 1 BB and 6 K
  • Pepiot is L.A.’s 5th-ranked prospect according to FanGraphs and got called up after Clayton Kershaw went on the IL.

Twins at Dodgers odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:21 p.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Twins +155 (bet $100 to win $155) | Dodgers -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
  • Run line (RL)/Against the spread (ATS): Twins +1.5 (-140) | Dodgers -1.5 (+115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 9.5 (O: -135 | U: +110)

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Twins at Dodgers picks and predictions

Prediction

Dodgers 6, Twins 3

Money line

LEAN on “flat-betting” the DODGERS (-190) because I’d rather L.A.’s RL at a plus-money payout.

But, the Dodgers are MLB’s best team and have won 26 of their last 30 games. Also, L.A. has one of the better farm systems in baseball so Pepiot being one of the Dodgers’ top prospects inspires confidence.

I’d endorse a half-unit bet on the BET DODGERS (-190) or a bigger wager on their RL.

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Run line/Against the spread

BET DODGERS -1.5 (+115) since they’ve rolled the Twins +1.5 (-140) in all 3 meetings this season and L.A. is 34-20 RL as home favorites. Also, all 9 of the Dodgers’ victories on their current win streak have been by at least 2 runs.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 9.5 (+110) because Gray has bounced back nicely this season after a couple of down-years in Cincy and Pepiot has elite stuff.

But, the Twins are 10-6 O/U in Gray starts and 17-7-1 O/U as road underdogs and L.A.’s lineup has the 2nd-best WAR and wRC+ over the past 14 days, per FanGraphs.

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