The Minnesota Twins (32-22, 2nd in AL Central) and Chicago Cubs (31-21, 1st in NL Central) wrap up a three-game series at Wrigley Field Sunday. First pitch is at 7:08 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Twins-Cubs betting odds and lines, with MLB picks and best bets.
Twins at Cubs: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Jose Berrios vs. RHP Yu Darvish
Berrios: 4-3, 10 starts, 4.15 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 9.9 K/9, 4.0 BB/9, 52 IP
- Hasn’t completed more than 6 innings in a single start this season.
- Allowed a single run over 5 innings against the Chicago White Sox his last time out.
Darvish: 7-2, 10 starts, 1.86 ERA, 0.94 WHIP, 11.3 K/9, 1.7 BB/9, 63 IP
- Has completed 7 innings in five of his 10 starts this season, including his last outing in which he allowed 3 runs (2 earned) against the Cleveland Indians.
- Has a 2.16 ERA at Wrigley Field through 8 starts compared to a 0.69 mark in two road outings.
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Twins at Cubs: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Twins
- 2B Luis Arraez (knee) out
- DH Nelson Cruz (knee) questionable
Twins at Cubs: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:20 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Twins 3, Cubs 2
Money line (ML)
The TWINS (+135) are worth chasing in what should be a low-scoring game in the battle of the aces. Darvish is likely to pitch deeper into the game than Berrios, but the Twins have a significantly better relief corps.
Minnesota also fares better against right-handed pitchers with a .780 team OPS compared to the Cubs’ 15th-ranked .746 mark.
The Twins won Game 1 of this series 1-0 before losing 8-1 Saturday but will take Sunday’s rubber match.
Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
There’s still adequate value on the TWINS’ +1.5 (-167) side of the run line. Both teams are .500 against the run line this season but the Twins are 7-5 as underdogs and the Cubs are just 14-21 as favorites.
Over/Under (O/U)
Take the UNDER 7.5 (-110) in what should be a tightly-contested pitchers’ duel. Both offenses can score against right-handed pitchers, but we have two top starters toeing the rubber Sunday.
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