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Netherlands battles Turkey Saturday in a quarterfinal match of Euro 2024 from Olympiastadion in Berlin, Germany. Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze FanDuel Sportsbook’s lines around the Netherlands vs. Turkey odds, and make our best Euro 2024 bets, picks and predictions.
Netherlands, which sits 7th in the FIFA World Rankings, throttled Romania 3-0 in the Round of 16. It ended with 18 more shots, 5 more shots on frame, and 65% of the possession. Netherlands finished the group stage with a 1-1-1 record, beating Poland 2-1, drawing France 0-0 and losing to Austria 3-2. It finished 3-0-1 in its 4 friendlies leading up to Euro as well. It has the 5th-best odds (+650) to win the tournament heading into the quarterfinal.
Turkey has the longest odds at +3600 and is the only nation with +1500 odds. The No. 42 team in FIFA’s rankings beat Austria, which won the Netherlands group, 2-1 in the Round of 16 Tuesday. It ended with 15 fewer shots and 2 fewer on frame. It finished 2nd in Group F, beating Georgia 3-1 and Czechia 2-1 while losing 3-0 to Portugal. Turkey doesn’t necessarily have a go-to offensive option but MF Hakan Calhanoglu has been a key weapon.
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Netherlands vs. Turkey odds
Provided by FanDuel Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:29 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline: Netherlands -175 (bet $175 to win $100) | Turkey +500 (bet $100 to win $500) | Draw +300 (bet $100 to win $300)
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: -130 | U: +108)
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Netherlands vs. Turkey picks and predictions
Prediction
Netherlands 3, Turkey 1
Moneyline (ML)
BET NETHERLANDS (-175).
Netherlands is a side with numerous experienced players, and that should bode well as it continues in the tournament. It has high-level scoring in F Cody Gapko and also has one of the best defenders in the world in D Virgil van Djik. While it drew France and lost to Austria, it had more shots on target in the former match and more shots in total in the latter.
Turkey is void of that type of leadership, like Austria was. Turkey lost in pre-Euro friendlies to Hungary (1-0), Austria (6-1) and Poland (2-1). Against quality sides, like Portugal, it has struggled. While these odds aren’t great, they are still playable for the favorite.
At this value, TAKE NETHERLANDS (-175).
Over/Under (O/U)
BET OVER 2.5 (-130).
Netherlands has scored 2 or more goals in 3 of 4 matches so far in the tournament and has topped this total in 3 of 4 matches. It has gone north of this total in 8 of its last 9 games as well, scoring at least 2 in 7 of those. It has players that compete on world-class clubs like F Xavi Simons, who plays for PSG, and Gapko, who plays for Liverpool. It should be able to break through a porous Turkey backline.
As for Turkey, it has gone north of this total in all 4 Euro games and has gone Over it in 5 straight. It has scored 7 goals in 4 matches, so it has an attack capable of producing as well. With the high-power offenses in mind, back OVER 2.5 (-130). If you’re feeling aggressive, you might even consider the alternative Over 3.5 (+205) for a juicy payout,
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