The Troy Trojans (6-3) travel to San Diego to take on the No. 22 San Diego State Aztecs (6-2) Monday at 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Troy at San Diego State odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.
Rankings courtesy of the USA TODAY Sports Coaches Poll.
After being swept out of Maui 87-70 by Arizona and 78-74 by Arkansas, San Diego returned to the mainland and took apart 2 overmatched teams. After prevailing over UC-Irvine 72-69, the Aztecs beat Occidental 95-57 on Friday.
This game will bring another outmatched opponent against San Diego State as the Trojans play just its 7th game against a Div. I opponent this season and is 3-3 against D-I teams. This will be a difficult game for Troy to remain close and the Aztecs should roll.
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Troy at San Diego State odds
Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:42 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Troy +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | San Diego State -1600 (bet $1,600 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Troy +16.5 (-110) | San Diego State -16.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
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Troy at San Diego State picks and predictions
Prediction
San Diego State 80, Troy 66
Moneyline
PASS.
Troy is coming cross-country for this game, and it does not bode well for its chances to pull of an upset here. Taking San Diego State -1600 is also not advisable. So just stay way.
Against the spread
BET TROY +16.5 (-110).
San Diego State is the better team. They are not 16.5 points better. After losing 2 games in Maui, the Aztecs barely beat UC-Irvine and followed that with a rout of a school not at the D I level. After such an easy game, San Diego State could come out sluggish in this game. Troy will be able to keep this game within the 17 points needed to cover and Troy +16.5 (-110) is my favorite play.
Over/Under
BET OVER 137.5 (-115).
Scoring 95 points against any school, even a non-Division I school, is impressive. And before that San Diego State averaged 72 points in 3 games against tougher competition in Arkansas, UC-Irvine and Arizona. This Troy team is somewhere in between these levels and 80 points from the Aztecs is not out of the question.
While the Aztecs should get to 80, the Trojans can at least get to 60 in this game. It will not be a pretty game and it will start slow. But by the end of the game, the Over 137.5 (-115) will hit.
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