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The Troy Trojans (2-0) and the No. 21 Arkansas Razorbacks (1-1) meet at Bud Walton Arena Wednesday at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN+). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Troy vs. Razorbacks odds as we make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Troy improved to 2-0 with a 78-61 road win over the New Orleans Privateers, covering as a 12.5-point favorite while the Under 152 hit. F Jackson Fields recorded a double-double (15 points, 10 rebounds) for the Trojans, who dominated the boards, outrebounding New Orleans 49-36.
The Razorbacks lost 72-67 in a tough neutral court matchup Saturday against No. 14 Baylor, failing to cover as 4-point underdogs while the Under 156 hit. Arkansas was outscored 38-28 in the paint. Junior F Adou Thiero, who transferred from Kentucky with his coach, led the team with 24 points, 6 rebounds, 2 assists, 2 blocks, and a steal.
– Rankings: USA TODAY Sports Men’s Basketball Coaches Poll
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Troy at Arkansas odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:43 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Troy +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Arkansas -900 (bet $900 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Troy +12.5 (-105) | Arkansas -12.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 151.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
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Troy at Arkansas picks and predictions
Prediction
Arkansas 85, Troy 68
Moneyline
PASS.
You should obviously avoid betting Arkansas (-900), but when you look at the spread, things get more enticing.
Against the spread
BET ARKANSAS -12.5 (-115).
Arkansas didn’t play their best offensively against Baylor, but showed solid defense. Although they’re 0-1-1 ATS, they should cover here. G Boogie Fland has been impressive in 2 games, averaging 17 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists. The Razorbacks have struggled with 3-point shooting but will dominate inside. Troy has looked good against weaker opponents, but they won’t be able to score enough or defend the paint effectively. Arkansas will force turnovers and capitalize with fast-break points.
Over/Under
BET OVER 151.5 (-105).
Arkansas has yet to find its offensive rhythm, but should turn it around in this game. They are 0-2 against the Over, but face the lowest total of the season. The Razorbacks will focus on attacking the paint and are likely to improve their 3-point shooting. With plenty of offensive firepower, they’ll continue to build chemistry. Troy has struggled defensively, giving up 74 points to Toledo and 38 points in the paint to New Orleans. The Trojans will score enough for this game to hit the Over.
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