LSU vs Arkansas: Running back’s Tale of the Tape

Who has the better running back? Ty Davis-Price vs Trelon Smith

The LSU Tigers have an opportunity to get one step closer to bowl eligibility, to do so they need to beat Arkansas. The Razorbacks earned their bowl eligibility last week after their three-point win over Mississippi State.

With the loss of Kayshon Boutte earlier this season, more focus has been on the running game and playing complementary football. Davis-Price has been on a mission over the last four games on the ground. Even going as far as setting the school rushing record against the Florida Gators.

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We break down the running back battle between Ty Davis-Price and Arkansas’ Trelon Smith.

Ty Davis-Price vs Trelon Smith

Butch Dill-USA TODAY Sports

Comparison

Smith vs Davis-Price
5-9 Ht 6-1
190 Wt 232
RS-Junior Class Junior
95 Att 143
476 Yards 732
5.0 YPC 5.1
4 TDs 6
1 100-yard games 3
231 (2.4/car) Yards After Contact 420 (2.9/car)

Edge: Ty Davis-Price

On a pure one-for-one basis the edge goes for Ty Davis-Price. He has the better numbers and has really come on strong since the Kentucky game. After starting the year with just 141 yards in five games, Davis-Price has tallied 591 yards over the last four games. That breaks down to 6.03 yards per attempt.

TDP has been a major driving force for the offense despite three of the four games resulting in a loss. With no Kayshon Boutte, TDP has stepped up for Ed Orgeron’s offense.

Midseason(ish) Awards: Arkansas’ top 3 offensive players of the year

The only question about Arkansas’ best three offensive players is the order in which they’re ranked.

Before the season began, one would have been hard pressed to find someone outside Razorbacks Country to find a ton of confidence about where Arkansas would be offensively this year.

That preseason feeling last, oh, about one half of football.

At the two-thirds mark of the season, Arkansas is one of the best offensive teams in the country. With an SEC schedule and Texas having been on the slate, even.

Some better-than-expected years out of some backs. A steady stream of complementary players to the star out wide. A superb performance from a first-year quarterback. Arkansas has had things go right.

Here are the top three players on the Hogs offense through eight games.

Arkansas-Arkansas-Pine Bluff: 3 Predictions, 1 Crazy

Arkansas and Arkansas-Pine Bluff are set for an FBS versus FCS matchup in Little Rock on Saturday.

Arkansas and Arkansas-Pine Bluff kick off from War Memorial Stadium at 11 a.m. on Saturday in a game the Razorbacks almost certainly won’t lose.

But it’s still important for a Hogs team that has lost three straight games to get a victory and snap the feeling.

Every Saturday morning on Hogs football gamedays, you will find editor E. Wayne and contributors John Nabors and Derek Oxford giving three picks on events that will take place in that day’s game. One of those picks has to be a little bit off the wall, something that could happen, but it’d be wild if it did.

Picking Arkansas to complete a pass to Treylon Burks, for example, is a bad prediction for these purposes. Picking Burks to have eight catches and 100 yards, that’s better. Also picking, say, a penalty for targeting, another nice one. It’s unlikely, but has potential.

Want to join? You’re probably better at it than we are. Make your picks in the comments section on the Razorbacks Wire at your favorite social media site.

Without further ado, welcome to 3 Predictions, 1 Crazy, Arkansas-Ole Miss.

This Will Happen

Oxford: Arkansas 49, UAPB 7

Nabors: Arkansas 45, UAPB 17

Wayne: Arkansas 55, UAPB 7

No one is predicting a repeat of what happened the last time Arkansas played an FCS team, when the Hogs slipped by Portland State by a mere seven points in the Chad Morris era.

And this isn’t even “these Hogs are mad.” The Razorbacks are a good SEC team and Pine Bluff is a bad SWAC team. Sometimes it’s just about the matchup.

This Might Happen

Oxford: Trelon Smith runs for 150 yards

Nabors: Arkansas scores three touchdowns in the first quarter

Wayne: Arkansas gets touchdowns from five different players

Trelon Smith is likely to see a bulk of his carries in the first half as the starter and senior, so the suggestion Oxford is making is that Arkansas runs away in the first half.

Nabors and Wayne have high point totals. Wayne thinks, with the score likely a blowout, the Razorbacks will get an opportunity to play a lot of bodies more often than usual.

This Is Crazy

Oxford: Malik Hornsby throws two touchdowns

Nabors: Arkansas defense gets three sacks

Wayne: Malik Hornsby runs for 100 and throws for 150

Not sure how crazy it is that this Arkansas defense comes up with three sacks against an FCS team. But given the Hogs’ lack of a pass rush in recent seasons, the pick does make a bit sense as crazy.

Hornsby should see quite a bit of playing time as the back-up quarterback and he has the skills to go off.

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This one hurts: Ole Miss escapes Arkansas after failed 2-point conversion

A failed two-point conversion with no time left allowed Ole Miss to beat Arkansas, 52-51.

Not to say “told you so,” but, told you so.

Arkansas quarterback KJ Jefferson found wide receiver Warren Thompson in the end zone with no time left to pull the Razorbacks within a point. Facing potential overtime, Hogs coach Sam Pittman chose to go for the two-point conversion.

Jefferson rolled right, threw right, incomplete. Flags were down. Didn’t matter. It was on Arkansas, Ole Miss declined and the Rebels won, 52-51.

It was another classic between the No. 16 Hogs and the No. 17 Rebels, a a back-and-forth affair that lived up to the expectations the series had wrought in recent years. Only twice in the last decade has the winning team won by more than two touchdowns. Most games have only single-digit margins.

In the end, an Arkansas lapse on defense was enough to lift the Rebels.

Ole Miss quarterback Matt Corral found Braylon Sanders for a 68-yard touchdown with 1:07 left to provide the game-winning score.

Arkansas’ defense allowed 611 yards of Rebels offense on the day. The Razorbacks offense tried their best to counter, managing 676. But with only 67 seconds and 75 yards to go to try to tie the game, it was too much for the Hogs to overcome.

A 21-yard pass to Treylon Burks started things. A three-yard pass to Trey Knox followed. Then came three-yard pass to Rocket Sanders. By that point, it was 3rd-and-4, Hogs, with 42 seconds left from the Ole Miss 48. A field goal wouldn’t suffice.

Sanders ran for the first down, getting to the Rebels 43. Jefferson found Knox with 22 seconds left and the Hogs were down to the Ole Miss 28. Jefferson checked down to Sanders on the next play after looking deep and the Razorbacks were down to the 21 with 14 seconds left. Tyson Morris caught a 12-yard pass to the 15 and there were six seconds left.

The nerves were palpable.

Jefferson looked to Burks in the back of the end zone, but it went high.

One second was left. And the end was in sight.

Ole Miss running back Snoop Conner finished with 110 yards on 12 carries with the three scores. Henry Parrish Jr. added another 111 yards on 18 carries and quarterback Matt Corral had 15 carries for 94 yards and two scores.

Corral also went 14 of 21 passing for 287 yards and two touchdowns.

It was too much. The Rebels entered the game fourth in FBS in total averaging 549 yards per game.

Arkansas matched the best it could. KJ Jefferson had the best game of his career, going 25 of 35 for 326 yards and three touchdowns and he ran for another 85 on 20 carries with three more scores. Rocket Sanders added 139 yards on 17 carries and Trelon Smith another 85 yards on 11 carries.

But it was a game that needed a stop. Ole Miss got it, sending Arkansas to its second straight loss. The Razorbacks next host another Top-25 team in Auburn for Week 7. Arkansas hasn’t beaten the Tigers since 2015.