Trail Blazers Warriors odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Portland Trail Blazers (29-31) visit the Golden State Warriors (31-30) on Tuesday. Tip from Chase Center is set for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Trail Blazers vs. Warriors odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

Portland took care of the Houston Rockets 131-114 on Sunday to cover as a 9-point home favorite. The victory snapped a 2-game losing streak. Portland is 5-5 SU and 4-5-1 against the spread (ATS) in its last 10 games. This season, the Trail Blazers are 30-29-1 ATS.

The Warriors topped the Minnesota Timberwolves 109-104 on Sunday, covering as 2-point home favorites. They have now won back-to-back games and are 5-5 SU in their last 10 games. Golden State is 4-5-1 ATS in that span and sits at 28-31-2 ATS on the season.

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Trail Blazers at Warriors odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Trail Blazers +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Warriors -175 (bet $175 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +4.5 (-115) | Warriors -4.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 235.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Trail Blazers at Warriors key injuries

Trail Blazers

C Jusuf Nurkic (calf) out
G Anfernee Simons (ankle) out
F Justice Winslow (ankle) out

Warriors

G Stephen Curry (leg) out
F Draymond Green (knee) probable
F Andrew Wiggins (personal) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Trail Blazers at Warriors picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 121, Trail Blazers 116

Moneyline

PASS.

The moneyline does not present enough value for the Warriors (-175) in this matchup.

Against the spread

LEAN WARRIORS -4.5 (-105).

Golden State is 3-0-1 ATS in its last 4 games playing on 1 day of rest and 4-1 ATS in its last 5 home games against a team with a losing record. It has played well ATS at home this season with a 19-11-1 record.

The Trail Blazers are just 12-27 ATS in their last 39 meetings in Golden State.

Over/Under

BET OVER 235.5 (-108).

The Over is 5-1 in the Blazers’ last 6 games and 5-1 in their last 6 games after allowing 100 or more points in their previous game.

The Warriors are 35-23-3 O/U this season. The Over is 5-1 in their last 6 Tuesday games and 21-7-3 in their last 31 games playing on 1 day of rest. They also have the 2nd-best offense in the NBA, averaging 118.3 points per game.

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Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Wednesday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Golden State Warriors (20-4) host the Portland Trail Blazers (11-14) Wednesday at Chase Center for a 10 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Trail Blazers vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Portland has lost six of its past seven games including three straight to the San Antonio Spurs, Boston Celtics and Los Angeles Clippers. The Trail Blazers are 9-15-1 ATS and 12-13 O/U with the 18th-best net rating.

Golden State has alternated wins and losses the past five games (3-2 ATS) with the latest being a 126-95 beatdown of the Orlando Magic Monday. The Warriors are 17-6-1 ATS and 7-16-1 O/U with the best net rating in the NBA.

The Warriors crushed the Trail Blazers 118-103 Nov. 26 in their first head-to-head meeting of the season. Golden State is 4-1 overall and 3-2 ATS in its last five home games vs. Portland.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA December 8 breakdown

Trail Blazers at Warriors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:10 p.m. ET.

Money line: Trail Blazers +750 (bet $100 to win $750) | Warriors -1400 (bet $1,400 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +14.5 (-115) | Warriors -14.5 (-107)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Trail Blazers at Warriors key injuries

Trail Blazers

PG Damian Lillard (abdomen) out
SF Nassir Little (ankle) questionable
SG C.J. McCollum (lung) out
SG Ben McLemore (hip) questionable
PG Anfernee Simons (ankle) questionable
C Cody Zeller (quad) questionable

Warriors

None

Trail Blazers at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 114, Trail Blazers 96

Money line

PASS because I’d never lay -1400 with any NBA regular-season favorite even as one as profitable as Golden State.

All of Golden State’s perceived edges in this matchup are appropriately baked into the Warriors’ price point (-1400). If anything, there’s value on the Trail Blazers (+750) inexplicably stealing this game outright.

But the Warriors will probably drub the Trail Blazers, so PASS.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to the WARRIORS -14.5 (-107) for a tiny wager if at all because a lot of things have to go right for an NBA team to cover as a double-digit favorite. If a massive favorite has just one off-shooting quarter then that ticket could go in the trash.

You could make a better argument that more things would have to go wrong for Golden State to not cover this spread. Portland’s injuries are mounting and it would take a no-show from the Warriors for them to get inside the number.

Aside from a career performance out of big Portland C Jusuf Nurkic, I don’t see an area for the Trail Blazers to attack the Warriors.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the UNDER 215.5 (-110) for a half unit as my favorite wager in this game.

Portland only scored 103 points in its first game vs. Golden State and that was with both Lillard and McCollum in the starting five. As previously discussed, without these guys in the lineup, it’s hard to see how the Trail Blazers score against a Warriors defense ranked first in defensive rating.

The Trail Blazers have the second-worst offensive efficiency on the road, according to CleaningTheGlass.com. Typically, role players shoot better at home, but since the Trail Blazers are starting backups and are on the road, I don’t see them getting hot from the field.

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Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Friday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Portland Trail Blazers (10-9) face off with the Golden State Warriors (16-2) Friday at Chase Center. Tip-off is set for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Trail Blazers vs. Warriors odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions, and bets.

Portland had its four-game win streak snapped Wednesday with a 125-121 loss at the Sacramento Kings as a 3.5-point road favorite. The Trail Blazers are 8-10-1 ATS and 10-9 O/U with the 13th-best net rating (plus-1.1).

Golden State has won five straight games, including four by double digits. G Steph Curry is the current favorite to win NBA MVP and leads the league in scoring (28.2 points per game) with the fifth-most Win Shares per 48 Minutes. The Warriors are 13-4-1 ATS and 6-12 O/U with the league’s best net rating (plus-13.2).

The Trail Blazers won two of three regular-season meetings with the Warriors (2-1 ATS) last season and the Under was 2-1 in those contests.

Trail Blazers at Warriors odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:33 p.m. ET.

Money line: Trail Blazers +190 (bet $100 to win $190) | Warriors -240 (bet $240 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Trail Blazers +5.5 (-105) | Warriors -5.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 225.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

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Trail Blazers at Warriors key injuries

Trail Blazers

Nothing affecting gambling odds.

Warriors

SF Andre Iguodala (hip) out
SG Klay Thompson (knee) out
C James Wiseman (knee) out

Trail Blazers at Warriors odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Warriors 121, Trail Blazers 107

Money line

PASS even though Golden State should win because the Warriors (-250) is a little out of my price range. Golden State is must-see TV in the NBA and will get every opponent’s best effort night in, night out.

Against the spread

BET the WARRIORS -5.5 (-115) because Chef Curry will resume cooking on Black Friday and the Trail Blazers are terrible on the road.

Curry scored a career-high 62 points at home against Portland last season and the Trail Blazers’ perimeter defense hasn’t exactly improved since.

Portland is 1-8 on the road with minus-10.4 points per 100 possessions and the worst spread differential in the NBA (minus-10.8), according to CleaningTheGlass.com.

The Trail Blazers also gave up 125 points to a Kings team, on the road, that just fired their head coach. Golden State’s offense should buzzsaw through Portland’s defense unless the Warriors are ice-cold from the field.

Over/Under

Both teams have a high 3-point attempt rate and are top-five in true shooting percentage, and Golden State plays at the sixth-fastest pace in the NBA.

That stuff is already baked into the line and more than 80% of the market is betting the Over, according to Pregame.com.

Despite Golden State’s elite offensive efficiency, the Warriors have gone Under the total in two-thirds of their games, and I hate following the herd in sports betting.

PASS ON THE TOTAL.

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Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Friday’s Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Portland Trail Blazers (2-2) are in the Bay Area for a New Year’s Day game against the Golden State Warriors (2-2) in Chase Center at 10:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Trail Blazers-Warriors NBA betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Trail Blazers at Warriors: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:50 p.m. ET.

Money line: Trail Blazers -165 (bet $165 to win $100) | Warriors +180 (bet $100 to win $180)
Against the spread/ATS: Trail Blazers -3.5 (-110) | Warriors +3.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 235.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Trail Blazers at Warriors: Key Injuries

Trail Blazers

SG Gary Trent Jr. (calf) questionable
PF Zach Collins (ankle) out

Warriors

PF Draymond Green (foot) probable
PF Eric Paschall (knee) questionable

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Trail Blazers at Warriors: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Money line (ML)

Portland split its Los Angeles-road games beating the Lakers 115-107 as a 6.5-point underdog on Dec. 28, followed by a 23-point drubbing by the Clippers as a 5.5-point ‘dog this past Wednesday.

As expected, the Trail Blazers have been top-heavy in the backcourt with their scoring: Damian Lillard averages 23 points per game on 30.1% usage and C.J. McCollum is putting up 28 PPG on 29.6% usage.

The Warriors recovered from two beatings to start the season at the hands of the Brooklyn Nets (125-99 on Dec. 22) and the Milwaukee Bucks (135-99 on Christmas Day) to win two straight coming into Friday’s game. Golden State’s victories came against the Chicago Bulls and Detroit Pistons, neither of which are projected to be playoff teams.

The Trail Blazers were 2-0 (1-1 ATS) in last year’s season series vs. the Warriors, including a 129-124 overtime win that featured a 61-point, 10-rebound, 7-assist performance by Lillard. However, missing from the game was two-time NBA MVP Stephen Curry and 2016-17 Defensive Player of the Year Draymond Green.

The most important point is that the Trail Blazers shouldn’t be laying points on the road against a team that’s historically owned them given how mediocre they’ve looked. Portland is below-average points per game and offensive efficiency and second-to-last in defensive efficiency.

Also, let me caveat this next point by saying, Klay Thompson is one of my favorite players in the NBA, but what would the Trail Blazers-Warriors line be if Klay was playing? My guess is Golden State would easily be a 5-point favorite and, despite how much Klay brings to the table, I don’t think he’s worth 8.5 points.

It’s the home-opener for the Warriors with two of the three Golden State champions active (Curry and Green). While the Warriors won’t have a raucous home crowd, I expect Golden State to bring the same intensity it would in normal years.

GIMME WARRIORS (+135) for a half-unit.

Against the spread (ATS)

If we are sprinkling on the home underdog’s money line, then let’s TAKE WARRIORS +3.5 (-110) for 1.5 units. Lillard has a flare for the dramatic and we can still win some money if he rips the Warriors hearts out on their home floor with a buzzer-beater.

Over/Under (O/U)

I’m more locked into the sides in Trail Blazers-Warriors so I’ll PASS ON THE TOTAL. I somewhat lean Over 235.5 (-110) but the market has already steamed the total up from a 230.5-point opener so we are getting the worst of the number.

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Follow Geoff Clark on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Also see:

Injury Report: Draymond Green (foot) ruled probable for Friday vs. Trail Blazers (Warriors Wire)
Hoops Hype Rumors: Trail Blazers | Warriors

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