2024 Tour Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2024 Tour Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The FedExCup Playoffs will wrap up this week at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta with the 2024 Tour Championship. The FedExCup champion will be crowned on Sunday afternoon as the top 30 players in the current standings battle it out over the final 4 rounds of the 2024 season.

Below, we look at BetMGM Sportsbook’s 2024 Tour Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

With this being the final event of the playoffs, it features a staggered-start scoring system based on where players rank in the current FedExCup standings. The leader, Scottie Scheffler, will begin at 10-under par. Xander Schauffele, who’s 2nd, will be 2 shots behind at 8-under par. Hideki Matsuyama will begin at 7-under, followed by Keegan Bradley (-6) and Ludvig Aberg (-5). Rory McIlroy, Collin Morikawa, Wyndham Clark, Sam Burns and Patrick Cantlay all start at 4-under. The rest of the starting scores are as follows.

3-under: Sungjae Im, Sahith Theegala, Shane Lowry, Adam Scott, Tony Finau

2-under: Byeong Hun An, Viktor Hovland, Russell Henley, Akshay Bhatia, Robert MacIntyre

1-under: Billy Horschel, Tommy Fleetwood, Sepp Straka, Matthieu Pavon, Taylor Pendrith

Even par: Chris Kirk, Tom Hoge, Aaron Rai, Christiaan Bezuidenhout, Justin Thomas

East Lake Golf Club underwent a restoration by architect Andrew Green after the Tour Championship last year. Bunkers were moved, greens were expanded and fairways were recontoured to create different slopes for the ball off the tee. The overall length is now 7,455 yards and it’ll play as a par 71 because the 14th hole has been changed to a par 5.

Tour Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:50 a.m. ET.

Xander Schauffele (+250)

It might seem crazy to bet against the best player in the world with a 2-shot lead, but he has the hottest player on the planet chasing him down. Not to mention, Schauffele has a stellar track record at East Lake. Whether in the new scoring format or the old one, Schauffele has never finished worse than 7th in 7 career starts here.

Rory McIlroy (+2000)

McIlroy chased Scheffler down in 2022 after starting 6 strokes behind him. He even spotted Schffeler another four strokes after starting with a triple and a bogey on his first 2 holes of the tournament. McIlroy isn’t in great form right now, but he loves East Lake and he’s among the players who can heat up in a hurry.

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Tour Championship picks – Contenders

Wyndham Clark (+4000)

Clark was struggling badly in the middle of the season, but he’s since regained some of the form he had earlier in the year. He’s finished 14th or better in 5 of his last 6 starts, helped by some outstanding rounds on Sundays to climb the leaderboard. If he can get off to a good start on Thursday and Friday, he could be in contention on Sunday despite starting 6 shots back.

Sam Burns (+3300)

Burns lit up Castle Pines on Sunday, posting a 7-under 65 to rocket up the leaderboard and finish T-2. He can carry some of that momentum into the Tour Championship where he finished T-9 last year. He’s steadily improved in each of his last 4 starts, coming in T-12 or better in each of his last 3 tournaments.

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Tour Championship picks – Long shots

Viktor Hovland (+6600)

Here’s where the dart throws begin. No player has ever come back from starting 8 shots back in the Tour Championship but the defending champion could make history at a course he seems to play well. He won here last year and finished 5th in 2021. He finished 26th last week but tied for 2nd at the FedEx St. Jude Championship the week prior.

Tony Finau (+6600)

Finau has the length and overall ball-striking to contend at East Lake, which has been evident in his last 5 starts here. He hasn’t finished worse than 20th in this event since 2019 and came in 9th just 2 years ago. He’ll also start 7 shots behind Scheffler

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2023 Tour Championship odds, picks and PGA Tour predictions

Analyzing the golf odds to win the 2023 Tour Championship, with PGA Tour picks, predictions and best bets.

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The FedExCup Playoffs will wrap up on Sunday afternoon at the 2023 Tour Championship, where a new FedExCup champion will be crowned at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta. The 1st round begins on Thursday morning for the 30 players left in the field.

Below, we look at the 2023 Tour Championship odds and make our PGA Tour picks and predictions.

The Tour Championship is different than other events because it features a staggered scoring format based on where players sit in the FedExCup standings entering the week. Scottie Scheffler is atop the standings so he’ll start the tournament at 10-under par. Viktor Hovland is 2nd and will start at 8-under par, followed by Rory McIlroy (7-under), Jon Rahm (6-under) and Lucas Glover (5-under). It goes all the way down to Sam Burns, Emiliano Grillo, Tyrrell Hatton, Jordan Spieth and Sepp Straka at even par.

East Lake has hosted the Tour Championship since 2004, presenting golfers with a challenging course where water hazards come into play on several holes. The toughest part about the venue is its narrow fairways, which are particularly penalizing to miss. It’s a par 70 and 7,346 yards, so it’s also a longer course with just 2 par-5s.

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Tour Championship – Expert picks

Odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 11:55 p.m. ET.

Rory McIlroy (+350)

McIlroy starts the week 3 shots back, which is half as many strokes as he was giving to Scheffler last year when he chased him down and won by 1 stroke. He shot 67 or better in all 4 rounds last year and has as much experience at East Lake as anyone in the field. If there’s a player whot’s going to take down Scheffler (again), it’s McIlroy.

Viktor Hovland (+450)

Hovland is the closest competitor to Scheffler, sitting 2 shots behind him. Fresh off a course-record 61 on Sunday at the BMW Championship, Hovland has the momentum heading into Atlanta. He finished T-5 here 2 years ago and T-15 last year, shooting only 1 round above par in that span. Two shots is a small gap to close and it could flip with a birdie-bogey start on the 1st hole.

Jon Rahm (+800)

Rahm is 4 shots behind Scheffler to start the week but he’s a player who can heat up in a hurry. With 2 rounds of 65 and 2 rounds of 68 in 2021, he finished 2nd to Patrick Cantlay. And though he struggled last year with rounds of 71 on Saturday and Sunday, he did fire a 63 in Round 2.

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Tour Championship picks – Contenders

Max Homa (+2800)

Homa will start 6 shots behind, which is the same position McIlroy was in last year when he won, so it’s not impossible. After an opening-round 71 here last year, he shot 62, 66 and 66 to finish T-5. He once held the lead last week at the BMW Championship thanks to an 8-under 62 on Friday, but he backed up a bit on the weekend; he still finished 5th.

Brian Harman (+5000)

Could the magical season from Harman continue with a victory at East Lake?He’s also 6 shots behind Scheffler but he’s only had 2 rounds over 70 in his last 6 events. Harman is as hot as anyone and could heat up even more in Atlanta.

Tour Championship picks – Long shot

Sungjae Im (+12500)

I don’t really love any of the long shots this week with the staggered scoring format, but I’ll take a shot on Im, who’s 8 strokes behind Scheffler. He shot 67, 65, 66 and 66 here last year to finish T-2 with Scheffler, an excellent showing from Im despite not closing the gap all the way.

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Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Golfweek:

Follow @camdasilva on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

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