Toronto Raptors at San Antonio Spurs odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Raptors at San Antonio Spurs odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The San Antonio Spurs (25-40) host the Toronto Raptors (34-30) Wednesday for an 8:30 p.m. ET tip-off at AT&T Center. Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Spurs odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Toronto is 2-5 straight up (SU) and 1-6 against the spread (ATS) since the All-Star break including three straight losses to the Detroit Pistons, Orlando Magic and Cleveland Cavaliers.

San Antonio is 2-4 SU but 3-3 ATS following the All-Star Game and snapped a four-game losing skid its last time out against the Los Angeles Lakers with a 117-110 victory Monday.

The Raptors crushed the Spurs 129-104 in Toronto Jan. 4 as 7-point favorites in their first meeting. However, San Antonio was without All-Star PG Dejounte Murray.

Raptors at Spurs odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:25 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Raptors -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Spurs +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Raptors -2.5 (-107) | Spurs +2.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 227.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

Raptors at Spurs key injuries

Raptors

  • SF OG Anunoby (hand) out
  • PG Fred VanVleet (knee) questionable

Spurs

  • None

[tipico]

Raptors at Spurs odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Raptors 113, Spurs 106

Money line

BET the RAPTORS (-135) for 1 unit because Toronto All-Star PG Fred VanVleet should return to action Wednesday and the Raptors are a different team with him on the floor.

Furthermore, Toronto is 14th in net rating and San Antonio is 16th but the Raptors perform much better against middle-of-the-pack teams.

Toronto is 13-8 SU versus teams in the middle-10 of net efficiency with a plus-3.8 adjusted net rating (ranked seventh) and a plus-2.4 ATS margin (ranked eighth) according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

While San Antonio is 5-14 SU in those spots with a minus-6.7 adjusted net rating (ranked 26th) and a minus-2.6 ATS margin (ranked 24th), per CTG.

The Raptors are also 6-3 SU and ATS as road favorites whereas the Spurs are 2-14 SU and 5-11 ATS as home underdogs.

The play is to BET the RAPTORS (-135) until they reach -145 or higher at which point I’d take Toronto’s spread.

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Against the spread

PASS unless Toronto’s ML gets too expensive then I’d lay up to 4 points with the Raptors. Not only does Toronto win outright in these spots but it also covers here too.

Plus the Raptors are 12-4 ATS as 1-to-4.5-point favorites while the Spurs are 4-14 ATS when being spotted that many points.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 227.5 (-107) only because the Toronto side is by my favorite play in this game.

However, this total opened up at 224.5 and has been steamed all the way up due to a flood of money on the Over. I’d prefer to fade such heavy line movement rather than follow it.

Both of these teams rank 22nd or worse in free-throw attempt rate, 3-point attempt rate and true shooting percentage.

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