Toronto Raptors at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Toronto Raptors at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors (5-3) visit the Dallas Mavericks (4-3) Friday. Tip-off from American Airlines Center is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Raptors vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Raptors come into this game off a blowout 143-100 win at the San Antonio Spurs Wednesday. G Gary Trent Jr. led the team with 24 points on 9-of-17 shooting, while All-Star F Pascal Siakam added 22 points on 10-of-19 shooting. Toronto shot an astounding 93.8% from the free throw line, 42.4% from beyond the arc, and 53.8% from the field.

The Mavericks enter off a close 103-100 win vs. the Utah Jazz Wednesday. Star G Luka Doncic scored 33 points and had 11 assists, shooting 12-of-20 from the field, 2-of-6 from three, and 7-of-10 from the free throw line. His 5 turnovers did dim his stat line a bit but the Mavericks were fortunate to walk away with that win.

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Raptors at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Raptors +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mavericks -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Raptors +3.5 (-112) | Mavericks -3.5 (-108)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 216.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Raptors at Mavericks key injuries

Raptors

  • Fred VanVleet (back) questionable

Mavericks

  • Davis Bertans (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Raptors at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 105, Raptors 102

Moneyline

BET MAVERICKS (-155).

Dallas should win this game, especially with the historic scoring tear that Doncic has been on to start the season. The Raptors are very solid and have a lot of talent and can perform on both ends of the court, but the Mavericks and Doncic should prove to be too much in this one — especially if the Raptors are without VanVleet.

Against the spread

LEAN RAPTORS +3.5 (-112).

Dallas is very top-heavy — it struggles if its top 3 players don’t perform. Toronto has weapons all over that will cause problems for the Mavs, but Doncic will do what he always does. Expect the Mavericks to pick up a tough, gritty win.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 216.5 (-112).

This is a battle between two very good defensive teams. The Raptors rank 2nd in points allowed per game (105.8); the Mavericks rank 7th (109.0). Couple that with the fact that Toronto is 16th in points per game (113.9) and Dallas is 9th (115.7) and you have a formula for a competitive, low-scoring game. The stars would have to score absurd numbers for the Over to hit.

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Toronto Raptors at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Wednesday’s Toronto Raptors at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toronto Raptors (21-20) stop by the American Airlines Center Wednesday for an 8:30 p.m. ET game against the Dallas Mavericks (25-19). Below, we look at the Raptors vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Toronto has lost three of its past four games – 2-2 against the spread (ATS) – including most recently at the Miami Heat 104-99 as a 4-point road underdog Monday. The Raptors are 22-19 ATS and 23-18 Over/Under (O/U).

Dallas is on fire this month, winning eight of nine games in January (6-3 ATS), including three straight. The Mavs are second in net rating this month and 23-21 ATS and 13-30-1 O/U this season.

The Mavs (-4.5) beat the Raptors 103-95 in Toronto in their first meeting this season on Oct. 23.

Raptors at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 5:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Raptors +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Mavericks -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
  • Against the spread: Raptors +3.5 (-107) | Mavericks -3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 207.5 (O: -115 | U: -107)

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Raptors at Mavericks key injuries

Raptors

  • SG Gary Trent Jr. (ankle) questionable

Mavericks

  • SF Reggie Bullock (knee) probable
  • PF Maxi Kleber (knee) probable

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Raptors at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Raptors 103, Mavericks 100

Money line

SPRINKLE on the RAPTORS (+135) for a small wager if at all because Toronto’s spread is the sharper play.

The Raptors have depth, length and size at the wing to frustrate Mavs’ Luka Doncic. Though Doncic is on the ball all the time, he is a 6-foot-7 point guard so Toronto cannot stick 6-1 PG Fred VanVleet on him.

Luckily for Toronto, it has strong defensive small forwards in OG Anunoby and Scottie Barnes to throw at Luka, freeing up VanVleet’s bandwidth for the offense.

Raptors head coach Nick Nurse is known for employing several different defensive schemes throughout a game. Toronto’s zone defense could be very effective against a Dallas team that ranks 25th in 3-point percentage.

Again, the plan is to hit Toronto’s spread harder, but I’m OK with a SPRINKLE on the RAPTORS (+135).

Against the spread

Definitely BET the RAPTORS +3.5 (-107) heavier than or instead of their money line because this is a better spot for Toronto.

The Raptors are 10-7 ATS as road underdogs with a plus-4.2 ATS margin (ranked fourth). The Mavs are just 10-11 ATS at home. Plus, Dallas has struggled in cross-conference games, going 4-10 ATS against Eastern Conference foes.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 207.5 (-107) for a quarter-unit wager since both teams rank in the bottom four in pace and top four in offensive-turnover rate.

The bottom line is there’s going to be a ton of slow, methodical possessions and a lot of half-court basketball.

Nearly 70% of the action is on the Over, according to Pregame.com, but the Under is 4-1 in the last five Raptors-Mavericks meetings. Not only do we have a “fade the market” angle, but it corresponds with a head-to-head trend.

I only “LEAN” to the UNDER 207.5 (-107) because both teams have shooters that can light it up from behind the arc and this total is low.

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