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The Toronto Maple Leafs (38-20-3) meet the Vegas Golden Knights (36-18-6) Wednesday at T-Mobile Arena. Puck drop is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET (TNT / truTV / Max). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NHL odds around the Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights odds and make our expert NHL picks and predictions.
Season series: Maple Leafs lead 1-0
The Maple Leafs picked up a 3-0 victory as short -102 underdogs at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto Nov. 20, as G Joseph Woll turned aside all 31 shots he faced. The 20-year-old C Fraser Minten scored his first NHL goal to open the scoring in that game, and it stood up as the game-winning goal. RW William Nylander had a power-play goal in the third period, and RW Pontus Holmberg added an empty-netter to wrap up the scoring.
The Golden Knights are coming off a 2-0 home win as -151 favorites against the New Jersey Devils Sunday. G Adin Hill notched 25 saves, while D Noah Hanifin and RW Mark Stone provided the offense in the victory. VGK has picked up 5 wins in the past 6 outings, while the Over has a slight 3-2 edge in the past 5 contests.
The Leafs were stunned 3-2 in a shootout loss to the San Jose Sharks as major -290 favorites Monday despite G Anthony Stolarz stopping 20 of 22 shots The loss halted a 5-game regulation win streak.
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Maple Leafs at Golden Knights odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 2:56 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Maple Leafs +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Golden Knights -130 (bet $130 to win $100)
- Puck line (PL)/Against the spread (ATS): Maple Leafs +1.5 (-225) | Golden Knights -1.5 (+185)
- Over/Under (O/U): 6 (O: -120 | U: +100)
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Maple Leafs at Golden Knights projected goalies
Joseph Woll (21-11-0, 2.70 GAA, .907 SV%, 1 SO) vs. Adin Hill (22-10-4, 2.52 GAA, .906 SV%, 3 SO)
Woll allowed 5 goals on 34 shots in a wild 6-5 overtime victory Sunday in Pittsburgh. He has picked up victories in 4 of his past 5 starts since Feb. 1. And, as mentioned above, he blanked the Golden Knights Nov. 20 with a 31-save shutout victory.
Hill stopped all 25 shots he faced against the Devils Sunday in the 2-0 win. He has picked up 3 straight wins, allowing a total of 2 goals on 74 shots, good for a .973 SV%. Hill was the goaltender of record in the Nov. 20 loss in Toronto, but he was sharp with 23 saves on 25 shots.
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Maple Leafs at Golden Knights picks and predictions
Prediction
Golden Knights 3, Maple Leafs 2
Moneyline
The GOLDEN KNIGHTS (-130) are worth a look as moderate favorites as they look to level the season series vs. the Maple Leafs (+110).
Toronto has managed a 5-0-1 record in the past 6 games, so this certainly won’t be easy for the home side. However, Vegas has picked up 5 wins in the past 6 outings and has won 3 in a row at home, while going 5-0-3 in the past 8 tries at T-Mobile Arena.
Puck line/Against the spread
The Maple Leafs +1.5 (-225) will cost more than 2 times the potential return, which is a bit pricey.
Toronto has not only covered the past 3 games on the puck line, but it has won those games outright. Still, you can’t back Toronto straight up at this price. If you were to include the Leafs in a multi-leg parlay, or with a boost, then it would be OK to toss Toronto in.
Otherwise, PASS.
Over/Under
UNDER 6 (+100) is worth a look, but play a half-unit wager at most.
The Under has hit in 2 of the past 3 games for the Maple Leafs, while splitting 3-3 in the past 6 road outings, so be careful.
The Under is 5-3-1 in the past 9 games for the Golden Knights, while going 3-1 in the past 4 at home. The Under did cash in the first meeting in Toronto.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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