Toronto Blue Jays World Series pennant division odds win total prediction

There are plenty of teams receiving plenty of hype with the 2023 MLB season beginning in fewer than 2 weeks, including the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Blue Jays concluded last season with a 92-70 record, which was good enough to secure a Wild-Card playoff spot. However, Toronto failed to advance as it lost 2-0 to the Seattle Mariners in the AL Wild Card despite having home field advantage.

The Jays already had plenty of firepower with 1B Vladimir Guerrero, SS Bo Bichette and RF George Springer, but they bolstered things in the offseason by bringing in LF Daulton Varsho, 1B Brandon Belt and CF Kevin Kiermaier. Toronto also acquired RHP Chris Bassitt and relief RHP Erik Swanson to improve its pitching staff.

Let’s analyze the Toronto Blue Jays’ World Series odds, along with their projected win total, playoff, division and AL odds as we make our expert MLB picks and predictions.

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Toronto Blue Jays World Series odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday, March 20 at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Odds: +900 (bet $100 to win $900)

The Blue Jays are currently tied for the 5th best odds to win the World Series with the San Diego Padres and the Atlanta Braves.

Despite being the 5th best odds, the Jays are only the 2nd best odds from AL East, behind the New York Yankees (+750).

There is a decent gap between the Blue Jays and the next 4 teams in odds to win the title this season. The 4 teams behind Toronto are the Philadelphia Phillies (+1500), the Seattle Mariners (+1500), the St. Louis Cardinals (+2000) and the Tampa Bay Rays (+2000).

Betting on the BLUE JAYS (+900) to win the World Series has decent value, especially if Toronto can get solid production from the backend of its rotation.

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Toronto Blue Jays playoff odds

Will they make the playoffs: Yes -270 | No +210

The Blue Jays have advanced to the postseason in 2 of the last 3 seasons despite losing in the Wild-Card round in those 2 appearances. Unless Toronto suffers a bevy of injuries this season, it’ll likely be in a good position to clinch another playoff berth.

Even though the Blue Jays will likely make the playoffs, I’ll PASS on taking them to advance to the postseason at the current odds (-270) as it’s not a good long-term bet to risk more than 2 1/2 times your potential return on a future.

Toronto Blue Jays win total

Over/Under: 91.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

The Blue Jays won 92 games last season and they won 91 in 2021. Toronto’s young studs have more experience under their belt and the pitching staff was improved in the offseason, so OVER 91.5 (-115) is a decent wager.

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To win AL East Division

New York Yankees +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
Toronto Blue Jays +185 (bet $100 to win $185)
Tampa Bay Rays +350 (bet $100 to win $350)
Baltimore Orioles +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000)
Boston Red Sox +2000 (bet $100 to win $2,000)

Toronto has the 2nd best odds of winning the AL East crown in the upcoming season. Only the Yankees have better odds than the Blue Jays, while the Rays are a little behind with the 3rd best odds.

The last time Toronto won the AL East was in 2015 and that is the team’s only division crown since the 1994 season. Despite the team’s inability to take home the AL East recently, the BLUE JAYS (+185) are certainly a threat to win the division this season if they can remain healthy.

To win American League

Odds: +480 (bet $100 to win $480)

The Blue Jays boast one of the best lineups in MLB, which is why they have the 3rd best odds to win the AL. The only teams with better odds are the Houston Astros (+260) and the Yankees (+330).

Similar to the World Series pick, backing the BLUE JAYS (+480) is worth doing if you have a couple of dollars to spend on future bets.

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The Toronto Blue Jays hope to pick up where they left off last season, finishing 22-9 down the stretch starting Sept. 1. However, they just missed the American League Wild Card by only 1 game.

Below, we look at the Toronto Blue Jays’ MLB futures odds, including their projected 2022 win total and World Series odds at Tipico Sportsbook.

Toronto acquired SP Kevin Gausman with a massive deal and extended SP Jose Berrios, who it acquired at last year’s trade deadline.

Blue Jays 1B Vladimir Guerrero Jr. led the AL in WAR last season (per FanGraphs) and is joined by fellow All-Stars RF Teoscar Hernández and SS Bo Bichette in Toronto’s dynamite lineup.

Toronto Blue Jays’ 2022 World Series odds

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Sunday, March 27 at 11:23 p.m. ET.

Odds: +900 (bet $100 to win $900)

PASS. Let’s slow our roll on Toronto.

The Blue Jays are tied with the Houston Astros for the second-best odds to win the World Series, jumping head of the other two 2021 AL division winners in the Chicago White Sox (+1200) and the Tampa Bay Rays (+1300).

While there’s a world where the Blue Jays go all the way, I’m not sold they’ve done enough to surpass the Rays or the New York Yankees to win their own division, let alone the pennant and World Series.

Also, I’m skeptical the Blue Jays have the arms in the bullpen for fall baseball and there isn’t a starter in their rotation with any postseason success.

Last season, Toronto’s bullpen was 25th in WAR and 20th in hard-hit rate and FIP, and the Blue Jays didn’t do much to help their bullpen this offseason.

Finally, we could get a better price on Toronto winning the World Series in October if it makes the postseason as a Wild Card.

PASS on the BLUE JAYS TO WIN WORLD SERIES.

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Toronto Blue Jays’ 2022 playoff odds

Will the Blue Jays make the playoffs: Yes -400 | No +300

PASS.

Toronto should be in the playoffs come October, but I wouldn’t tie my money up in a -400 future that won’t be graded for six months.

Lastly, the new 12-team playoff format could lead to better teams getting bounced out in the Wild-Card round via a 3-game series. It would be terrible losing a -400 future because of an inaugural playoff format.

Toronto Blue Jays’ 2022 win total

Over/Under: 91.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

BET the BLUE JAYS OVER 91.5 WINS (-115) partially because they had the second-worst luck in 2021 at minus-8 (per Baseball-Reference.com). Essentially, Toronto won eight fewer games than it should based on run differential.

Also, the Blue Jays could siphon some wins from their AL East co-tenants. Tampa Bay won’t win 100 games again, New York was second in luck factor at plus-6 and Boston was fifth in luck last season at plus-4.

Furthermore, we can pencil in Toronto for having one of the best lineups in baseball and should have one of the better rotations in the AL with Berrios and SP Alek Manoah on the staff for a full year.

Berrios is a “top of the rotation” starter at almost any club and Manoah is my “sleeper” for the AL Cy Young. Manoah was called up to The Show at the end of May last year and was sixth in hard-hit rate, 13th in exit velocity and 16th in WHIP for starters with a minimum of 110 innings pitched.

BLUE JAYS OVER 91.5 WINS (-115) is Toronto’s best future bet.

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Odds to win AL East Division

Toronto Blue Jays +170 (bet $100 to win $170)
New York Yankees +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
Tampa Bay Rays +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
Boston Red Sox +480 (bet $100 to win $480)
Baltimore Orioles +20000 (bet $100 to win $20,000)

PASS because there’s really no good price for a team in the stacked AL East.

You could make a solid argument for any of the top-3 lines. The Red Sox return most of their team that reached Game 6 of the American League Championship Series last season.

The bottom line is the Blue Jays (+170) to win the AL East has an implied win probability of 37.0% and Toronto doesn’t win this division that often if we simulated the 2022 season 100 times.

Odds to win American League

Odds: +450 (bet $100 to win $450)

PASS. I disagree with Toronto being ahead of Tampa Bay and New York in the market for AL pennant winner. If the Blue Jays were at +800 to go to the World Series, maybe I’d lobby for a wager here.

Also, there are enough “ifs” with Toronto to make the Blue Jays (+450) to win the AL a stay-away.

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