MAC Championship: Toledo vs. Ohio odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Toledo vs. Ohio odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toledo Rockets (7-5, 5-3 MAC) meet the Ohio Bobcats (9-3, 7-1) Saturday at Ford Field for the MAC Championship. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Toledo vs. Ohio odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Rockets dropped their final 2 games of the regular season as they looked a little disinterested after clinching the West Division. Toledo lost 42-35 in a mid-week game against Bowling Green on Nov. 15, and it suffered an inexplicable 20-14 loss at Western Michigan in the finale on Nov. 25.

The Bobcats rolled up a 38-14 win against Bowling Green in the regular-season finale, emphatically claiming the East Division. Ohio has won 7 straight games while cashing against the spread in each of the previous 8 outings anad scored 32 or more points in each of the final 4 games, and 6 of the past 7.

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Toledo vs. Ohio odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 1:15 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Toledo -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Ohio +130 (bet $100 to win $130)
  • Against the spread: Toledo -3 (-107) | Ohio +3 (-113)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 54 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Toledo vs. Ohio picks and predictions

Prediction

Ohio 31, Toledo 27

Moneyline

OHIO (+130) enters with much better momentum, firing off 7 straight wins, while Toledo dropped its final 2 games of the regular season.

Perhaps the books are bearish on the Bobcats because 0-4 record all-time in the MAC Championship Game. Toledo won the title in 2017 in its most recent appearance and is 2-2 in its past 4 title game showings.

Against the spread

OHIO +3 (-113) is the play, as it has cashed an ATS ticket in 8 consecutive games overall while going 16-5 ATS in the past 21 inside the conference and 22-8 ATS in the past 30 games against teams with a winning record. The Bobcats are also 8-3 ATS in the past 11 neutral-site games.

The Rockets not only dropped the final two games outright, but they’re 0-5 ATS in the past 5 games overall, 0-5 ATS in the past 5 against winning teams and 0-5 ATS in the past 5 in a neutral site.

Over/Under

OVER 54 (-112) is the lean, and it might be the best play on the board.

While the Under has been the dominant trend for Toledo lately, the Over is 2-1-1 in the past 4 games for Ohio. The offense has rolled up 32 or more points in each of the past 4 games for the Bobcats and the defense has allowed 19.3 PPG during the span.

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First look MAC Championship: Toledo vs. Ohio odds and lines

Looking at Saturday’s Toledo vs. Ohio MAC Championship Game odds, lines and trends. Here’s what you need to know.

The Toledo Rockets (7-5, 5-3 MAC) and Ohio Bobcats (9-3, 7-1) meet Saturday at Ford Field in Detroit for the Mid-American Conference Championship. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ESPN). Below, we look at Toledo vs. Ohio odds from Tipico Sportsbook; check back for all our college football picks and predictions.

The Rockets fizzled down the stretch, losing their final 2 games after clinching the West Division. Toledo is also 2-3 SU while failing to cover the final 5 games of the regular season. The Under is on a 3-1 run in the last 4 games overall.

Toledo will make its 7th MAC title game appearance and its 1st since winning the title over Akron in 2017. This is just the 2nd title game appearance for the Rockets since 2004.

The Bobcats were on fire to close the season, winning 7 straight outings after a 2-3 SU start. Ohio has also covered its last 8 games, and it hasn’t lost in regulation since Sept. 17 at Iowa State.

Ohio hasn’t appeared in the MAC title game since 2016, falling 29-23 to a ranked Western Michigan team. This is Ohio’s 5th appearance in the MAC title game and it has lost all 4 of the previous games.

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Toledo vs. Ohio odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 2:34 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Off the board
  • Against the spread (ATS): Toledo -2.5 (-107) | Ohio +2.5 (-113)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 55.5 (O: -111 | U: -109)

2022 betting stats

  • ML: Toledo 7-5 | Ohio 9-3
  • ATS: Toledo 4-8 | Ohio 9-3
  • O/U: Toledo 6-6 | Ohio 7-4-1

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Toledo vs. Ohio head-to-head

Toledo leads the all-time series 32-21-1, including a 35-23 win in Athens in the most recent meeting Nov. 16, 2021. Ohio has won 2 of the last 3 in this series, although the Rockets are still 17-3-1 in the previous 21 in the series.

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Toledo at Ohio odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s Toledo at Ohio odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Toledo Rockets (5-5, 3-3 MAC) visit the Ohio Bobcats (3-7, 3-3) Tuesday at Peden Stadium in Athens, Ohio. Kickoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Toledo vs. Ohio odds and lines, and make our expert college football picks, predictions and bets.

The Rockets have scored 49 points in each of the past two games, including a 49-17 win at Bowling Green last Wednesday with an Over result while covering a 10.5-point number. The Under is 6-2 across their last eight outings despite consecutive Over results.

The Bobcats opened the season 1-7 SU, and they have been eliminated from the bowl picture. However, Ohio didn’t give up and has wins against Miami (Ohio) and Eastern Michigan over the past two outings, covering in each outing. The Under is 6-1 in their previous seven contests.

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Toledo at Ohio odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Toledo -280 (bet $280 to win $100) | Ohio +220 (bet $100 to win $220)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Toledo -7.5 (-102) | Ohio +7.5 (-122)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 54.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Toledo at Ohio odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Toledo 34, Ohio 30

Money line

Toledo (-280) will cost you over two and a half times your potential return, and that’s a risky play. The Rockets have been scoring points at will lately, but the Bobcats have not given up and have been a thorn in everyone’s side down the stretch as they relish the role of spoiler.

PASS.

Against the spread

Look to OHIO +7.5 (-122) catching seven and a hook on its home field. The Bobcats have won outright in the past two as underdogs while going 5-1 ATS across their last six outings. They might not shoot down the Rockets, but they’re going to make it awfully tough for Toledo.

Over/Under

The OVER 54.5 (-108) doesn’t look like a great play based on Ohio’s recent run. The Under is 6-1 in the past seven overall for the Bobcats, although that lone Over was in their most recent home outing.

Toledo has been operating with little resistance lately, averaging 49.0 PPG while allowing 34.5 PPG in its previous two mid-week games. We should see plenty of points here.

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