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While most know about — and love filling out — brackets, USA TODAY offers another unique NCAA Tournament contest with a first-place prize of $2,500.
Can you survive? USA TODAY Sports’ Men and Women’s Basketball Tournament Survivor Pools are here with a $2,500 prize for each contest! Free to enter, 21+. Terms apply, void where prohibited by law. See Official Rules. Play now!
To enter, click on one of the above links and click “Public Pools.” Then click “JOIN POOL” under 2025 Men’s Basketball Tournament Survivor Pool. You can do the same for the women’s tournament, but this column is here to help with the men’s tourney.
I’m not eligible to win as an SportsbookWire employee, but there’s no rule against me giving out advice to help you win $2.5K.
You have to pick 3 teams to simply win their games in the first round — no spread involved. However, once you use a team, just like an NFL survivor pool, you can’t pick that team again.
In the second round, you’re required to pick 2 teams to win outright. Then it’s down to 1 pick per round — in the Sweet 16, Elite 8, Final Four and the title game. Seems simple, right?
Along with not being able to pick the same team twice, another tricky rule is that points are earned equal to your winning teams’ seeds.
In the opening round, I’m not going to fret too much about points, but I’m also not going to be super conservative like last season, either. My goal is to survive and advance. There are often too many upsets and I’m not going to take too many risks of getting knocked out on Day 1.
Let’s play it somewhat safe, finding some mid-tier seeds with favorable matchups in Round 1.
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First-round picks
PICK 1: MISSOURI TIGERS (22-11)
Who they play: Drake Bulldogs (30-3)
When: Thursday, 7:35 p.m. ET (truTV)
Where: Intrust Bank Arena, Wichita, Kansas
The SEC has 14 teams in the NCAA Tournament field, a record for a single conference. It isn’t by coincidence as the league was an absolute gauntlet from top to bottom this season.
Mizzou, a 6 seed, posted 7 Quad 1 victories, including wins over Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Kansas, Mississippi State (twice) and Ole Miss, while also winning against NCAA Tournament team Alabama State.
The Tigers had a NET ranking of No. 16, and it was No. 15 in the KenPom rankings, so some might argue that Mizzou is underseeded.
The Tigers have to face a 30-win Drake team, but the Bulldogs were just No. 56 in the NET rankings, and No. 58 in KenPom. Drake, an 11 seed, was 2-0 in Q1 games, topping Vanderbilt on a neutral floor, and Kansas State on the road in overtime.
This could be relatively close for a good chunk of the game. While Drake is rather close to Wichita, it should be a pro-Mizzou crowd. Remember we don’t need to cover the spread, the Tigers just need to advance — they are favored by 6½ points.
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PICK 2: UCLA BRUINS (22-10)
Who they play: Utah State Aggies (26-7)
When: Thursday, 9:25 p.m. ET (TNT)
Where: Rupp Arena, Lexington, Kentucky
Later Thursday night, the Big Ten’s UCLA Bruins (still weird to say) will take on the Utah State Aggies from the Mountain West Conference.
The Aggies, a 10 seed, were flying high for a good chunk of the season, spending multiple weeks in the Top 25 rankings. However, Utah State hit a wall late in the season and went just 4-4 straight up across its past 8 games.
Facing UCLA’s suffocating defense will do USU no favors, as the seventh-seeded Bruins allow just 65.7 points per game (PPG) to rank 27th in the nation. UCLA limits teams to 33.2% from behind the 3-point line, which ranks 150th.
Utah State likes to run, but it will have a tough time with UCLA gumming up the works with its tremendous size inside the paint. The Aggies’ best bet is hitting from the outside, but the Bruins are solid at defending the perimeter.
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PICK 3: MICHIGAN WOLVERINES (25-9)
Who they play: UC San Diego Tritons (30-4)
When: Thursday, 10 p.m. ET (TBS)
Where: Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado
Michigan coach Dusty May took lowly FAU to the Final Four in 2023, and he did so with C Vladislav Goldin in the paint. Both May and Goldin are looking to run it back wearing maize and blue this season.
The Wolverines won the Big Ten Tournament, and Goldin was the Most Outstanding Player in the tourney. He knocked down a pair of free throws with 46 seconds left in regulation for a 4-point lead in helping dispatch Wisconsin in a 59-53 win.
Michigan was given a No. 5 seed, mainly because of a NET ranking of No. 23. The Wolverines had an eye-popping 12 Q1 victories this season, including 2 victories over No. 3 seed Wisconsin and wins over NCAA Tournament teams Maryland, Oregon, Purdue, UCLA and Xavier among others.
This won’t be a cake walk, though. Twelfth-seeded UC San Diego had a NET ranking of No. 35, which means they’re a bit underseeded playing out of the Big West. This team was 2-1 in Q1 games, beating NCAA Tournament team Utah State, while also scoring a win at UC Irvine (28-6), a high-seeded NIT team.
Still, UCSD should have trouble containing Goldin and a much larger Big Ten foe.
After we advance, check back before Round 2 for our next winning picks!
Play our free daily Pick’em Challenge and win! Play now!
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