Minnesota Timberwolves at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

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The Minnesota Timberwolves (17-16) face off against the Detroit Pistons (16-18) Saturday. Kickoff from Little Caesars Arena is set for 7 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NBA odds around the Timberwolves vs. Pistons odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions for the best bets.

Season series: First meeting; Minnesota won 2-0 last season

Minnesota was handed a 118-115 loss by the Boston Celtics Thursday as a 3-point underdog. The Wolves shot 53.8% from deep while also winning the rebound battle 41-31 against Boston, but their 16-4 loss in the turnover battle proved to be their downfall Thursday. Minnesota also had an abysmal 2nd quarter Thursday, being outscored 34-16 by Boston during those 12 minutes of play.

Detroit escaped with a 98-94 win over the Charlotte Hornets Friday as a 7.5-point favorite. In that matchup, the Pistons won the rebounding battle 51-45 and the turnover battle 18-15. The Pistons had 5 players score in double-figures in the win.

Timberwolves at Pistons odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NBA odds. Lines last updated at 10:40 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Pistons +240 (bet $100 to win $240)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -7.5 (-110) | Pistons +7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 217.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)

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Timberwolves at Pistons key injuries

Timberwolves

  • Rob Dillingham (ankle) out

Pistons

Not yet submitted – below from Friday’s game 

  • Jaden Ivey (leg) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

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Timberwolves at Pistons picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 115, Pistons 111

Moneyline

PASS. 

The Wolves will win and cover here as -300 favorites, but they are not worth the risk of betting on as such heavy favorites. Bet on the spread and/or Over/Under as both are less risky than the moneyline for this game.

Against the spread

LEAN PISTONS +7.5 (-110). 

Detroit has covered the spread in 4 of its last 6 games. The Pistons have also been the better ATS team this season, being 17-16-1 ATS on the year while the Wolves are just 13-19-1 on the year. The Pistons are 4-0 ATS in their 4 matchups against Minnesota.

This is a lean because Minnesota is the better team and because both teams are 5-5 ATS in their last 10 matchups against one another.

Over/Under

BET OVER 217.5 (-115). 

The Over has hit in all of Minnesota’s last 4 games and is 17-16 for the Timberwolves this season. For Detroit, the Over is 7-3 in their last 10 games and 18-16 this season. The Over has also hit in 2 of the last 3 Minnesota-Detroit matchups.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Detroit Pistons odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (26-25) travel to Little Caesars Arena Thursday to take on the Detroit Pistons (12-38). Tip-off is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Timberwolves vs. Pistons odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Timberwolves and Pistons are eerily similar when it comes to their against the spread (ATS) records. The Pistons are 25-25 ATS, and the Wolves are 25-25-1 ATS.

The Wolves are coming into this game having covered two straight, scoring over 120 points in 3 straight games. However, they’ve covered just 4 of their 10. The Wolves rank fifth in points per game at 112.

As for Detroit, it ranks 29th in points per game and 24th in opponents’ points per game. The Pistons have covered 5 of their last 7. They’re much better at home with a 8-16 straight-up record, compared to 4-22 on the road.

Timberwolves at Pistons odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Timberwolves -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Pistons +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves -6.5 (-115) | Pistons +6.5 (-107)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 229.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Timberwolves at Pistons key injuries

Timberwolves

  • G Cade Cunningham (hip) questionable

Pistons

  • G Patrick Beverley (ankle) questionable
  • G D’Angelo Russell (shin) questionable

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Timberwolves at Pistons odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 122, Pistons 110

Money line

PASS.

I don’t like a regular-season money line favorite of -300, especially with a sub-.500 road record. Regardless, Minnesota is a far more talented team and should come out on top.

Against the spread

BET the TIMBERWOLVES -6.5 (-115).

The Wolves are going to have the rebounding edge in this battle, and that should make a huge difference. They rank 5th in offensive rebounding rate while the Pistons rank 24th in defensive rebounding.

The size of F Jarred Vanderbilt and C Karl-Anthony Towns is going to be an issue. Also, the Wolves are extremely hot, throttling the Nuggets by 15 and the Jazz by 20 in their last 2.

The Pistons are one of the more inefficient teams in the league, ranking 29th in true shooting percentage. The Wolves should have the edge in this and cover the 6.5-point spread.

Over/Under

“LEAN” to the OVER 229.5 (-108).

It’s a high total, but the Wolves have hit 4 straight Overs and 8 of their last 10. Minnesota is 30-21 O/U this season. As for Detroit, it is 5-5 O/U on its last 10 and 25-24-1 O/U this season.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Detroit Pistons odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Tuesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Detroit Pistons NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (21-47) travel to meet the Detroit Pistons (20-49) Tuesday at Little Caesars Arena. Tip-off is set for 7 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Timberwolves vs. Pistons odds and lines, with NBA picks and predictions.

The Timberwolves slapped the brakes on a three-game losing streak with a 128-96 win over the Orlando Magic last time out, covering a 7.5-point number. The 96 points allowed tied their lowest yielded since Feb. 19, when they were beaten 86-81.

The Pistons have had difficulty scoring lately, going for 112 or fewer points in 10 straight outings. They’re averaging just 100.0 PPG in the past two, and they have hit the Under in seven of the previous 10 games.

Timberwolves at Pistons: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:55 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Timberwolves -300 (bet $300 to win $100) | Pistons +230 (bet $100 to win $230)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Timberwolves -7 (-110) | Pistons +7 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 227.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Timberwolves at Pistons: Key injuries

Timberwolves

  • SG Malik Beasley (hamstring) out
  • SG Jarrett Culver (ankle) out
  • PF Juancho Hernangomez (quadriceps) questionable
  • SF Jaden McDaniels (personal) questionable

Pistons

  • PG Hamidou Diallo (personal) out
  • SG Wayne Ellington (calf) out
  • SF Jerami Grant (knee) out
  • PG Frank Jackson (ankle) questionable
  • SG Jaren Jackson Jr. (teeth) questionable
  • PG Cory Joseph (ankle) questionable
  • SG Rodney McGruder (elbow) out
  • PG Dennis Smith Jr. (knee) out

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Timberwolves at Pistons: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Timberwolves 122, Pistons 111

Money line (ML)

The Timberwolves (-300) will cost you three times your potential return, and that’s just way too expensive on a team with a similar record that is playing on the road.

AVOID.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The TIMBERWOLVES -7 (-110) are worth a look laying the touchdown on the road. The Pistons +7 (-110) have really struggled lately, winning just twice in the past 10, while covering in three of those outings. Detroit has a laundry list of injuries, and you need to roll with the healthier team, and that’s Minny.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 227.5 (-110) is the play, as Minnesota has been piling up the points lately while allowing plenty, too. With the exception of its last time out in Orlando, when they won 128-96, they had allowed an average of 128.5 PPG in their prior four outings, all Over results. Detroit likely won’t come close to that kind of production, but they’ll go well over the century mark.

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