Timberwolves Grizzlies odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (30-28) battle the Memphis Grizzlies (33-21) Friday. Tip from FedEx Forum is set for 8 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

This will be the 4th and final matchup of the season between these teams. Minnesota is 2-1 against the spread (ATS) against Memphis as every home team has also covered. The Grizzlies won their lone home game in the season series 114-103, covering as a 4-point home favorite.

Minnesota is coming off a 143-118 win over the Jazz Wednesday, covering as a 9-point road underdog. The Timberwolves are 28-30 ATS on the season and 3-2 ATS over their last 5.

The Grizzlies are coming off a 104-89 win over Chicago, covering as a 9.5-point home favorite. Memphis is just 1-3 ATS over their last 4 games and 25-28-1 ATS on the season.

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Timberwolves at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:15 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +225 (bet $100 to win $225) | Grizzlies -270 (bet $270 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +6.5 (-105) | Grizzlies -6.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Timberwolves at Grizzlies key injuries

Timberwolves

C Rudy Gobert (groin) questionable
F Karl-Anthony Towns (calf) out

Grizzlies

C Steven Adams (knee) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Timberwolves at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 123, Timberwolves 114

Moneyline

PASS.

The Grizzlies have more star power with Wolves G D’Angelo Russell out in Minnesota. However, at (-270), they aren’t worth a play on the moneyline.

Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES -6.5 (-115).

The home team has covered every game between these teams through the first 3 matchups this season. Memphis did far less at the trade deadline and should have comradery on its side.

Memphis is also 16-10-1 ATS at home as well. Minnesota is just 11-15 ATS on the road this season. The Wolves have also alternated covering and not over their last 7 and are primed to fail to cover.

Ultimately, back GRIZZLIES -6.5 (-115).

Over/Under

LEAN OVER 234.5 (-110).

The Timberwolves and Grizzlies both like to run, ranking 4th and 5th respectively in pace. They are going to push the tempo of this game, which should result in more points on the board.

The Wolves are 3-0-1 O/U in their last 4 while Memphis is 1-2 O/U in its last 3. Minnesota is 14-12 O/U on the road as well.

Combine it all and back the OVER 234.5 (-110).

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (5-7) take on the Memphis Grizzlies (8-4) Friday at FedExForum. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Timberwolves have gotten off to a slow start to the season despite the acquisition of C Rudy Gobert. Minnesota fell to the Phoenix Suns (who were without G Chris Paul) Wednesday by the score of 129-117, failing to cover as a 2-point favorite at home.

The Grizzlies bounced back from a narrow loss to the Boston Celtics on Monday with a 124-122 overtime win over the San Antonio Spurs Wednesday, however, they fell short of covering as 6-point favorites. Memphis has won 4 of its last 5 games and is 5th in the Western Conference.

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Timberwolves at Grizzlies odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:05 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +150 (bet $100 to win $150) | Grizzlies -190 (bet $190 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +4.5 (-105) | Grizzlies -4.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 234.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Timberwolves at Grizzlies key injuries

Timberwolves

F Naz Reid (illness) out

Grizzlies

F Jaren Jackson Jr. (foot) out

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Timberwolves at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 115, Timberwolves 108

Moneyline

I’ll PASS on wagering on Memphis (-190) Friday due to the steep odds. It’s fine taking the Grizzlies’ moneyline for parlays, but I wouldn’t recommend taking them straight up at their current odds.

Against the spread

GRIZZLIES -4.5 (-115) is the ideal choice in this game with the Timberwolves struggling to play consistent basketball with Gobert in the lineup. Meanwhile, G Ja Morant and G Desmond Bane have been a dynamic duo for Memphis.

Minnesota is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games against a team with a winning record. The Timberwolves are also 7-19 ATS in their last 26 meetings with the Grizzlies in Memphis and are 7-18 ATS in the last 25 meetings overall.

Over/Under

Even with both of these teams having talented scorers, UNDER 234.5 (-112) is where I’m leaning in this game. The Timberwolves have a slightly improved defense with Gobert as they are tied for the 15th-best defensive rating in the NBA.

The Timberwolves have hit the Under in each of their last 5 road games. On the other hand, the Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between Minnesota and Memphis.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies Game 5 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies Game 5 lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (2-2) head back to the FedExForum Tuesday for Game 5 of their Western Conference first-round playoff series with the Memphis Grizzlies (2-2). Tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET and airs on TNT. Below, we look at the Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Game 5 odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Minnesota evened the series by winning Game 4 119-118 Saturday in what was a redemption game for T-Wolves big Karl-Anthony Towns who scored just 8 points in 32:46 minutes of work in Game 3.

Grizzlies SG Desmond Bane and backup PF Brandon Clarke stepped up Saturday with Bane scoring a game-high 34 points and Clarke adding 15 points on 77.8% shooting off the bench.

The T-Wolves outperformed the Grizzlies in three of the “four factors” in Game 4, especially in free-throw attempt rate where Minnesota nearly doubled Memphis.

Timberwolves at Grizzlies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:55 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Timberwolves +205 (bet $100 to win $205) | Grizzlies -260 (bet $260 to win $100)
Against the spread: Timberwolves +6.5 (-120) | Grizzlies -6.5 (-105)
Over/Under: 231.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

Timberwolves at Grizzlies key injuries

Timberwolves

None

Grizzlies

None

[tipico]

Timberwolves at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 116, Timberwolves 113

Money line

LEAN to the TIMBERWOLVES (+205) because of the fat payout and Minnesota is getting better play from their stars.

KAT got ripped for his Game 3 performance, and rightfully so, but he is averaging 21.3 points on 70.7% true shooting (.565/.417/.875) with 10.8 rebounds. T-Wolves SF Anthony Edwards is scoring a series-best 24.8 points on 65.4% true shooting (.485/.421/.864).

On the other hand Grizzlies PG Ja Morant, the league’s Most Improved Player, is struggling from the field with a 42.3% effective field goal shooting rate. PF Jaren Jackson Jr. has a minus-10 net rating and has gotten at least 5 fouls in three games this series.

The T-Wolves plus the points is a sharp play and I typically like sprinkling on an underdog’s ML when betting them to cover the spread.

These teams have similar identities but the Grizzlies are more efficient and the home team for a pivotal Game 5.

Hence LEAN TIMBERWOLVES (+205).

The prediction is an honest assessment of Game 5.

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Against the spread

Definitely BET TIMBERWOLVES +6.5 (-120) instead of or heavier than their ML based on the previous analysis and because there’s reverse line movement headed towards Minnesota in the betting market.

Game 5’s look-ahead line was “Grizzlies -7” and has been lowered down to the current number despite a majority of the action being on Memphis, according to Tipico Sportsbook.

There also isn’t 6 points worth of difference between these teams. They are tied 2-2 ATS in the series but the Grizzlies’ Game 3 win and cover featured their incredible comeback from down 26 points. The T-Wolves were clearly the right side for Game 3.

The TIMBERWOLVES PLUS THE POINTS is my favorite bet in this game.

Over/Under

LEAN UNDER 231.5 (-112) because the total has been steamed down by sharp line movement, both teams have a below-average offensive rating in these playoffs and the Under has cashed in four of the last six Timberwolves-Grizzlies.

However, I cannot fully get there on the Under because this is the fastest-paced series in the postseason with the highest free-throw attempt rate.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies Game 2 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Tuesday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Minnesota Timberwolves (1-0) visit FedExForum Tuesday to take on the Memphis Grizzlies (0-1). Tip-off for Game 2 of the first-round playoff series is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

The Timberwolves stole Game 1 as SportsBook Wire’s Geoff Clark correctly predicted. Keeping that confidence following their 130-117 victory is going to be far more difficult.

In Game 1, G Anthony Edwards scored 36 points while C Karl-Anthony Towns added 29 points and 13 rebounds. The Grizzlies were led by Most Improved Player candidate G Ja Morant, who scored 32.

Minnesota is 43-38-2 against the spread (ATS) this season. While it struggled to cover near the end of the season, going 1-6 ATS, Minnesota has covered both of its postseason battles. It is 13-13 ATS as a road underdog this season.

Memphis was among the best covering teams in the NBA at 52-30-1 ATS. The Grizzlies were the league’s fourth-best team as a home favorite at 19-12 ATS. They’ll look to even the series in Game 2.

Timberwolves at Grizzlies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:15 a.m. ET.

Money line: Timberwolves +230 (bet $100 to win $230) | Grizzlies -300 (bet $300 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Timberwolves +6.5 (-105) | Grizzlies -6.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 240.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Timberwolves at Grizzlies key injuries

Timberwolves

None

Grizzlies

None

[tipico]

Timberwolves at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Grizzlies 119, Timberwolves 111

Money line

PASS.

Memphis is going to bounce back, but at -300, it’s not worth betting three times a potential return that it manages to even the series. PASS on the Grizzlies money line.

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Against the spread

BET GRIZZLIES -6.5 (-105).

The Grizzlies are too good to get punked twice in a row. Memphis is going to have a better game plan to slow down Edwards.

Edwards only had 1 back-to-back 30-point game this season. He’s averaging 17.1 points per game following a 30-point night. He topped 30 points 9 times this season and scored under 15 in the next game 4 times.

Edwards is too inconsistent to not regress.

Also, the Grizzlies had just 8 offensive rebounds, and they are the best offensive rebounding team in the NBA. Expect them to be more aggressive on the glass.

Memphis is the superior team, and it’s been great as a home favorite this season. If it can play to its strengths, I expect the Grizzlies to play better while the Wolves and Edwards take a step back.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 240.5 (-110).

The Grizzlies ended the regular season with the sixth-best defensive rating. While the Wolves were red hot in Game 1, Memphis should be able to quench their flame in Game 2.

Minnesota shot 50% from the field and 89% from the free-throw line. That likely won’t be repeated. However, given both teams rank in the top 4 in pace, I wouldn’t suggest a full-unit play.

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Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies Game 1 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Minnesota Timberwolves at Memphis Grizzlies Game 1 and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 2 seed Memphis Grizzlies host the No. 7 seed Minnesota Timberwolves Saturday for Game 1 of their Western Conference first-round playoff series. Tip-off at the FedExForum is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we look at the Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Minnesota punched its ticket into the postseason by beating the Los Angeles Clippers 109-104 Tuesday in the first play-in game.

Memphis wrapped up the No. 2 seed weeks ago and were 1-3 straight up (SU) and 1-2-1 against the spread (ATS) in the last 4 games as a result.

The Grizzlies were 3-1 SU and 2-2 ATS versus the Timberwolves this season with the Over/Under (O/U) going 2-2.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA April 16 playoff breakdown

Timberwolves at Grizzlies odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Timberwolves +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Grizzlies -280 (bet $280 to win $100)
Against the spread: Timberwolves +6.5 (-110) | Grizzlies -6.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 237.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

Timberwolves at Grizzlies key injuries

Timberwolves

None

Grizzlies

None

[tipico]

Timberwolves at Grizzlies picks and predictions

Prediction

Timberwolves 117, Grizzlies 114

Money line

SPRINKLE on the TIMBERWOLVES (+220) if at all. Their spread is the sharper play but there’s some value in the ML.

Both of these teams have similar identities, but the Grizzlies are more efficient, which is why they should win this series.

However, in this game, I see the T-wolves riding the momentum of their play-in victory over the Clippers like the Grizzlies did last season when they upset the then-No. 1 seed Utah Jazz in Game 1.

Furthermore, both Minnesota PG D’Angelo Russell and C Karl-Anthony Towns have played very well versus Memphis this season.

Russell averaged 31.0 points on 70.8% true shooting (.558/.463/.792) with a plus-22 net rating in the 4 regular-season games against the Grizzlies. Memphis has a tough frontcourt defense, but KAT averaged 23.3 points in those 4 games on 52.1% shooting with a plus-9 net rating.

Again, the plan is to hit Minnesota’s spread harder but I’ll SPRINKLE on the TIMBERWOLVES (+220).

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Against the spread

BET TIMBERWOLVES +6.5 (-110) instead of or heavier than their ML because there aren’t 3 possessions worth of difference between these two teams entering Game 1.

Maybe as the series goes on Memphis coach Taylor Jenkins uses his more talented roster to make adjustments that would make the Grizzlies a sharp play.

Also, there’s reverse-line movement headed in Minnesota’s direction since most of the money and action is on Memphis, but the Grizzlies have gone from 7-point favorites on the opener down to the current number (per Pregame.com).

Since it seems like the House wants more pro-Grizzlies money, let’s get on the same side as the bookmakers by BETTING TIMBERWOLVES +6.5 (-110).

Over/Under

PASS because this is a “sharp” total, we are getting the worst of the number since this game opened at 235 and there could be fewer possessions in Timberwolves-Grizzlies for this playoff atmosphere.

Minnesota is 30-11 O/U versus teams with a winning record this season and Memphis is 21-18-2 O/U with a plus-1.7 total margin at home, so if anything, I “lean” to the Over.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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