The Detroit Tigers (17-16) and Milwaukee Brewers (16-19) meet Wednesday night for a 7:40 p.m. ET first pitch in the back half of a two-game set at Miller Park. Below, we analyze the Tigers-Brewers MLB betting odds and lines, with picks and best bets.
Tigers at Brewers: Projected starting pitchers
RHP Spencer Turnbull vs. RHP Adrian Houser
Turnbull has come on strong in his third major league season. The 27-year-old right-hander has registered a 2.97 ERA through six starts.
- Turnbull has benefited from generous rates around the margins (BABIP, runners in scoring position,HR/fly balls), and he has an xFIP exactly two runs higher than his 2.97 surface ERA.
- Turnbull is expected to start despite dealing with back stiffness lately. His form has been a bit off over recent starts (11 BB over his last 11.2 IP).
Houser owns a 4.36 ERA in a half-dozen starts. The 27-year-old righty has scuffled over a pair of home starts and is coming off a rocky start against the Cincinnati Reds.
- Houser is a ground-ball type who’s thus far been undone by 40% of his fly balls landing on the wrong side of the outfield wall.
- The Tigers lineup leans more right than most, and that’s a boon for Houser who has held RHBs to a .559 OPS this season and a .634 figure over his career.
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Tigers at Brewers: Key injuries
(Get the latest injury news here.)
Brewers
- OF Lorenzo Cain (personal) out
- OF Avisail Garcia (ankle) questionable
Tigers
- RHP Jordan Zimmerman (forearm) out
- RHP Ivan Nova (triceps) out
Also see: BaseballHQ Fantasy Baseball
Tigers at Brewers: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 12:35 p.m. ET.
Moneyline (ML)
The Tigers struggle against right-handers (.733 OPS vs. an .874 OPS against LHPs). The Milwaukee offense has been hamstrung by a a .238 BABIP leading off innings and a .274 figure in scoring situations.
Detroit has won six straight games, but the lean here is toward Houser and the Brewers. The price my be a bit overripe. Perhaps the Detroit win streak and a 12-1 win in Tuesday’s series opener tilts the tag – MILWAUKEE (-167) – back toward -155?
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
Detroit has only played seven one-run games in 2020. On a high total, BREWERS -1.5 (+120) is a solid play.
Over/Under (O/U)
The UNDER 9 (-110) has some wiggle room for value. Houser, an undervalued Brewers pen, Detroit’s average numbers against righties and an impending date with regression play into the analysis.
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