The Detroit Tigers (22-31) and Milwaukee Brewers (28-25) play the first game of a two-game set at American Family Field Monday with a 2:10 p.m. ET first pitch. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Tigers vs. Brewers odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Tyler Alexander is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers. He is 0-0 with a 4.35 ERA, 1.36 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 and 2.2 BB/9 over 20 2/3 IP through 13 relief appearances. Monday will be his first start of the season.
Alexander will be making his first start since Sept. 4, 2020. His longest relief appearance this season was a 3-inning effort April 30 against the New York Yankees.
RHP Corbin Burnes is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 2-4 with a 2.33 ERA, 0.65 WHIP, 14.4 K/9 and 1.0 BB/9 over 46 1/3 IP through 8 starts.
Burnes tied a season-high with 4 earned runs allowed against the San Diego Padres Tuesday, and he has dropped his past three decisions across four starts. His last win was April 20.
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Tigers at Brewers odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 10:35 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Tigers +200 (bet $100 to win $200) | Brewers -250 (bet $250 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Tigers +1.5 (-105) | Brewers -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under: 7 (Over -120 | Under +100)
Prediction
Brewers 8, Tigers 3
Money line (ML)
The BREWERS (-250) have rattled off four straight wins. While they enter this two-game interleague series with four straight losses to American League teams this season, the Tigers should struggle to post runs against Burnes.
In addition, Detroit has a guy making his first start of the season, so it will likely land on the bullpen to do the heavy lifting. That’s bad news, as the Tigers rank 28th in the majors with a 5.30 bullpen ERA.
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The BREWERS -1.5 (-115) are worth a roll of the dice.
While Detroit enters on a three-game win streak after a shocking sweep of the Yankees over the weekend, I just don’t trust Alexander and the Tigers ‘pen.
Over/Under (O/U)
The OVER 7 (-120) is the lean, as the Tigers bullpen will likely be tasked with at least four or five innings here.
Not only do Tigers relievers have the 5.30 ERA, they have a dismal 1.55 WHIP while serving up 30 homers this season.
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