Saint Bonaventure at LSU NCAA Tournament First Round Odds, Picks and Prediction

The No. 8 LSU Tigers (18-9) and the No. 9 Saint Bonaventure Bonnies (16-4) will meet on Saturday

The No. 8 LSU Tigers (18-9) and the No. 9 Saint Bonaventure Bonnies (16-4) will meet on Saturday to compete for a spot in the second round of the NCAA Tournament. LSU is favored by 1.5 points in the opening round matchup, which tips off at 1:45 PM ET on TNT. Here are the insights you need when filling out your bracket for this 8-9 matchup.

On Sunday, the Tigers faced Alabama and fell short by a score of 80-79. The Tigers covered the spread as 5.5-point underdogs and the teams combined to hit the over on the 157 point total.

Last time out, Kyle Lofton scored 23 points as the Bonnies earned a 74-65 win against VCU on Sunday. The teams combined to score 139 points to hit the over on the 128.5 point total by oddsmakers, while the Bonnies were 3.5-point favorites and covered the spread.

Saint Bonaventure at LSU: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list.
Lines last updated at 10:25 AM ET on March 18, 2021.

  • Money line: Saint Bonaventure +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | LSU -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Saint Bonaventure +1.5 (-110) | LSU -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 143.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

LSU: Three things to know

  • Cameron Thomas leads the Tigers scoring 22.6 points per game. Ja’vonte Smart leads the squad with a team-high 2.6 made three-pointers per game.
  • The 82.1 points per game the Tigers put up are 21.7 more points than the Bonnies give up (60.4).
  • When LSU puts up more than 60.4 points, it is 18-8 overall and 14-0 against the spread.

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Saint Bonaventure: Three things to know

  • Lofton leads the Bonnies in scoring (14.6 points per game) and assisting (5.5 assists per game). Dominick Welch is the top three-point shooter for the team, knocking down 2.5 per game.
  • The Bonnies’ 70.5 points per game are only 4.8 fewer points than the 75.3 the Tigers allow.
  • Saint Bonaventure has put together a 4-0-1 ATS record and a 6-0 overall record in games where it scores more than 75.3 points.

Saint Bonaventure at LSU: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Saint Bonaventure 73, LSU 71

Money line

The model favors the Bonnies to win game, disagreeing with BetMGM’s money line favorite.

Against the spread (ATS)

While MGM has the Tigers winning by 1.5, the model has the Bonnies taking home the victory, with a considerable margin between the two spreads (3.3 points). Take the Bonnies.

Over/Under (O/U)

The MGM total for this game, 143.5 points, and the model’s projected total, 144.1 points, are only 0.6 points apart.

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