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The No. 10 Iowa State Cyclones (7-0, 4-0 Big 12) welcome the Texas Tech Red Raiders (5-3, 3-2) to Jack Trice Stadium Saturday for a Big 12 conference clash. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Texas Tech vs. Iowa State odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Iowa State is among the 8 undefeated top-25 teams left in the country. The Cyclones beat the UCF Knights 38-35 in Week 8, having a bye in Week 9. They closed as a 13.5-point favorite against UCF, snapping a 5-game covering streak. Iowa State is 5-2 against the spread (ATS), but just 2-2 ATS at home. The Cyclones have been on fire offensively as of late, scoring at least 28 points in 3 straight games.
The Red Raiders have played far better over the last month than they did to open the season. Texas Tech has gone 4-1-1 ATS over its last 6 games. It is coming off a 35-34 road loss to the TCU Horned Frogs, covering as a 4.5-point underdog. The Red Raiders have scored at least 34 points in 3 of their last 4 games, but have allowed 41 points or more in 3 games as well, showcasing a clear defensive weakness. Texas Tech is 2-1 ATS on the road.
– US LBM Coaches Poll: Conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Texas Tech at Iowa State odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated Friday at 12:46 p.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Texas Tech +400 (bet $100 to win $400) | Iowa State -550 (bet $550 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texas Tech +13.5 (-110) | Iowa State -13.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 56.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Texas Tech at Iowa State picks and predictions
Prediction
Iowa State 38, Texas Tech 24
Moneyline
PASS.
There’s no value here. The Cyclones (-550) have yet to lose, and the Red Raiders (+400) haven’t been consistent enough to expect that they can knock them off, especially with Texas Tech hitting the road for this game.
Avoid this play all around.
Against the spread
BET IOWA STATE -13.5 (-110).
The Cyclones have consistently covered in conference games and as a favorite of this size. Iowa State has been a double-digit favorite 3 times this season and is 2-1 ATS. It is 3-1 ATS in Big 12 battles. The Cyclones’ offense is clicking on all cylinders as well, scoring at least 38 points in 2 of the last 3.
The Red Raiders have lost 2 in a row, including a 24-point home loss to the Baylor Bears on Oct. 19, a team the Cyclones beat by 22 earlier this season. Texas Tech’s defense has played sloppy over the last month, allowing 35 points or more in 3 of its last 4 games.
Considering those trends for both sides, expect the Cyclones to not only come out on top but to cover as well. Back IOWA STATE -13.5 (-110).
Over/Under
BET OVER 56.5 (-110).
The Red Raiders have gone Over in 3 of their last 4 games, and their defense has had a plethora of aforementioned issues as well. Texas Tech QBs have tossed 20 TDs vs. just 5 INTs. It doesn’t turn the ball over and has shown it can drive and score. The Red Raiders are 5-3 O/U.
Iowa State has gone 4-2 O/U in its last 6 games. It has had a consistent offense this season, scoring at least 20 points in every game. While it is expected to cover, its defense has also given up more than typical over the last 3 weeks, allowing at least 16 points in each game.
Considering the trends for both sides, back OVER 56.5 (-110).
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