Texas Tech at Oklahoma State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (14-7 overall, 6-6 Big 12) travel to meet the Oklahoma State Cowboys (14-6, 7-6) Monday at Gallagher-Iba Arena in Stillwater, Okla. Tip-off for this conference showdown between Top 25 teams is set for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Texas Tech-Oklahoma State college basketball odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Red Raiders were No. 11 and the Cowboys No. 22 in last week’s Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. The new poll will be released Monday afternoon.

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:10 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Texas Tech -160 (bet $160 to win $100) | Oklahoma State +135 (bet $100 to win $135)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Texas Tech -3.5 (-105) | Oklahoma State +3.5 (-115)
  • Over/Under: 138.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State: Three things to know

  1. The Red Raiders picked a bad time for a slide. They have dropped two in a row and four of the past seven outings. Texas Tech was dumped 67-61 at Kansas Saturday, failing to cover as a 2-point underdog with the Under (134.5) cashing. Texas Tech is 3-13 ATS across the past 16 games.
  2. The Cowboys also have a loss to Kansas across their past four outings, but they’re 3-1 straight-up and 2-2 ATS during the span. They’re coming off an impressive 76-58 win against Iowa State Tuesday as 11-point favorites. OSU is a slight underdog in this game, and it is 3-4 SU/4-3 ATS across seven outings as an underdog this season.
  3. Texas Tech fell to Oklahoma State 82-77 in Lubbock, Texas, Jan. 2, 82-77 in overtime. The Cowboys won outright as 8.5-point underdogs as the Over (134.5) cashed. The underdog has cashed in nine of the previous 12 meetings in the head-to-head series.

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Texas Tech at Oklahoma State: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Oklahoma State 73, Texas Tech 70

Money line (ML)

OKLAHOMA STATE (+135) is a home underdog, but it’s playing slightly better basketball than Texas Tech at the moment. The Red Raiders have been dumped by Kansas and West Virginia in the past two games, and as mentioned, they were beaten by the Cowboys in Lubbock back on Jan. 2.

A key thing to watch is the health of Oklahoma State G Isaac Likekele (foot), who is questionable for this game. He missed the last two games, but is expected to return for this one. He is OSU’s second-leading scorer with 10.2 points per game, while leading the team with 7.0 rebounds and 3.8 assists per outing. As long as Likekele can play, look for the Cowboys to defend Gallagher-Iba with another signature win over the Red Raiders. If he is ruled out, then Texas Tech is a lot more attractive straight-up.

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Against the spread (ATS)

OKLAHOMA STATE +3.5 (-115) is the play here, again, as long as Likekele is given the green light to play.

The Cowboys are a better value just playing the money line in this particular instance, however. While the Cowboys are 2-7 ATS across their past nine home games against a team with a winning road record, the underdog is 9-3 ATS across the past 12 meetings in this head-to-head series.

Over/Under (O/U)

OVER 138.5 (-110) is the best play on the board in this Big 12 battle. The Over is 8-3-2 in Oklahoma State’s past 13 at home, and 10-4 in its past 14 overall. For Texas Tech, the Over is 8-3 in the past 11 overall, and 4-1 in the past five on the road.

Likekele’s playing status doesn’t affect the total as much. If he plays, good, as he is a top scorer for the Cowboys. If he doesn’t play, it’s also good as he is a better-than-average defender. If he’s out, the Red Raiders should see more offensive opportunities.

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Texas Tech at Oklahoma State odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-2 overall, 4-2 Big 12) host the Texas Tech Red Raiders (3-5, 2-5) in a conference game Saturday at Boone Pickens Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET. Below, we analyze the Texas Tech-Oklahoma State college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

The Cowboys are No. 22 overall in the Amway Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 5:30 p.m. ET.

  • Money line: Texas Tech +300 (bet $100 to win $300) | Oklahoma State -385 (bet $385 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Texas Tech +11 (-121) | Oklahoma State -11 (-100)
  • Over/Under: 55.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State: Three things to know

  1. Texas Tech had a bye last week following a 24-23 home win vs. Baylor Nov. 14 as a 1-point underdog.
  2. Oklahoma State got trounced in the Bedlam game against Oklahoma 41-13 last week. The Cowboys were outgained by 246 total yards, started the game down 21-0 and never really had a chance to win.
  3. The Red Raiders have beaten the Cowboys in back-to-back games and have covered five of six meetings, including four straight ATS wins.

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Texas Tech at Oklahoma State: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Oklahoma State 28, Texas Tech 24

Money line (ML)

It’s difficult backing a double-digit favorite that consistently hurts its own chances as much as Oklahoma State. The Cowboys are minus-4 in turnover differential, 102nd in penalties committed per game and are ranked 115th in havoc allowed. Also, this is an awesome spot for Texas Tech.

First of all, I wonder if there is a hangover effect for Oklahoma State after getting punched in the mouth on national TV against in-state rival Oklahoma? Oklahoma State has dropped both its games to Big 12 powerhouses—Texas and Oklahoma—and will need some help to get into the conference title game.

Second, Texas Tech has played really well vs. Oklahoma State recently (see above) and head coach Matt Wells is 9-2 over his career in games immediately following a bye week, which includes his six years at Utah State.

There’s a legitimate shot Texas Tech pulls off an outright upset, but it is getting too many points and I am hitting the Red Raiders plus points harder. I lean TEXAS TECH (+300) for a quarter-unit.

Against the spread (ATS)

Most of the ATS handicap is in the money line section, but obviously, we are betting TEXAS TECH +11 (-121). However, I’d wait until the vig was reduced regardless of which way this number goes. Obviously, getting 11.5 points is preferable, but as long as we don’t procrastinate too long and this number drops to an even 10, it would be the worth the wait.

Additionally, the line movement gives me more confidence in Texas Tech. Oklahoma State opened up as a 12.5-point favorite, but the line has dropped despite 97% of the money and 89% of the bets placed are on the Cowboys, according to Pregame.com.

The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings (all Texas Tech covers) and the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. I am not really a trends bettor, but that intel makes me feel better about backing the underdog. GIMME TEXAS TECH +11 (-121) for 1.5 units.

Over/Under (O/U)

Oklahoma State’s defense has been one of the better units in the country aside from its games against Texas and Oklahoma.

Also, Oklahoma State and Texas Tech’s combined Over/Under record is 5-10 O/U this season. However, the Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings and I don’t have a great feel for this total. PASS.

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Additional college football coverage from USA TODAY Sports Media Group:

Alabama football / Auburn football / Florida football / Georgia football / LSU football / Michigan football / Michigan State football / Notre Dame football / Ohio State football / Oklahoma football / Tennessee football / Texas football / USC football / Wisconsin football

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services.  Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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