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The Texas State Bobcats (2-2, 0-0 Sun Belt) visit the Troy Trojans (1-4, 0-1) Thursday. Kickoff from Veterans Memorial Stadium is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET (ESPNU). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s college football odds around the Texas State vs. Troy odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.
Texas State has lost back-to-back games after falling 40-39 vs. Sam Houston Saturday as an 11.5-point favorite on a neutral. QB Jordan McCloud went 29 of 39 for 326 yards with 3 touchdowns, with his top receiver being WR Jaden Williams (10 receptions, 133 yards).
Troy fell 13-9 Saturday against UL Monroe as a 6.5-point home favorite. QB Tucker Kilcrease went 6 of 11 for 57 yards while RB Gerald Green carried the ball 13 times for 102 yards. The Trojans had 224 yards total on the ground in the loss.
– Rankings: US LBM Coaches Poll, conducted by the American Football Coaches Association and USA TODAY Sports
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Texas State at Troy odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of college football odds. Lines last updated at 10:25 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Texas State -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Troy +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texas State -13.5 (-110) | Troy +13.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 57 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Texas State at Troy picks and predictions
Prediction
Texas State 31, Troy 20
Moneyline
PASS.
There is no value on the Bobcats (-500) to win Thursday.
Against the spread
LEAN TROY +13.5 (-110).
Texas State has lost back-to-back games and is just 1-3 ATS this season. While it has been phenomenal on offense, its defense has allowed 27 or more points in 3 of its 4 games. Troy has covered the spread in 2 of its last 3 games while limiting opponents to 13 or fewer points in back-to-back weeks. While the Bobcats hold the clear advantage overall, the Trojans have what it takes to keep this game within 2 possessions.
Over/Under
BET UNDER 57 (-110).
Texas State is 4-0 to the Over this season, scoring 28 or more points in each game. While it should still be expected to find offensive success against Troy, the Troy defense has played a major role in the team hitting the Under in 3 of its last 4 games along with the run-centric offense. The Trojans will primarily keep the ball on the ground Thursday, which will keep the clock rolling and the high total of 57 out of reach.
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