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2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 odds, picks and predictions

Looking at the odds for Sunday’s 2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas Motor Speedway with NASCAR expert picks and predictions.

The NASCAR Cup Series is at Texas Motor Speedway Sunday for the 2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500. Green flag is scheduled to drop shortly after 3:30 p.m. ET (USA Network). Below we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the 2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 odds, with NASCAR picks and predictions.

2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500: What you need to know

  • Tyler Reddick leads all active drivers with an 8.7 Average-Finish Position (AFP) in 3 career Cup starts in Texas
  • Christopher Bell is 2nd among active drivers with a 9.0 AFP, including 2 top-5 runs after averaging a start of 19.7 in those races
  • Joe Gibbs Racing’s Kyle Busch has 4 wins at TMS, most among active drivers, while posting 14 top-5 finishes in his 31 Cup starts
  • JGR’s Denny Hamlin is tied with Kevin Harvick for 2nd among active drivers with 3 Cup wins at Texas
  • Chevrolet has been to Victory Lane in 2 of the previous 3 Cup races at Texas
  • TrackHouse Racing’s Ross Chastain has struggled over the years in Texas, posting a dismal 27.6 AFP in 5 career cup starts

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2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 – Expert pick(s)

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:06 a.m. ET.

KYLE BUSCH (+1200) flamed out last week at Bristol, but we’ll go right back to him at Texas. He has dominated at this track, posting the 4 wins, 14 top-5 finishes and 1,069 laps led in 31 career Cup starts with a 10.9 AFP.

If you don’t like Busch, DENNY HAMLIN (+650) isn’t as good of a value, but he is just as strong of a play. The driver of the No. 11 machine has 3 wins, 7 top-5 finishes and 14 top-10 runs with a 13.7 AFP in his 31 career Cup starts at the track.

2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 – Long shot

KEVIN HARVICK (+3000) isn’t going to win a championship this season, but he also isn’t just going to wither and die. This is a proud veteran driver, and Texas has been one of his best career tracks.

Harvick has 3 wins with 13 top-5 finishes, 24 top-10 runs and a 10.2 AFP with 682 laps led in Fort Worth. Look for the driver of the No. 4 machine to give the championship contenders all they can handle.

2022 AutoTrader EchoPark Automotive 500 prop picks

KEVIN HARVICK TOP-10 FINISH (+140)

Harvick is still a very good value at plus-money for a top-10 run. In 64.9% of his Cup starts at Texas, or 24 of 37, he has finished 10th or higher, and he has just 1 DNF in his career at the track.

ERIK JONES TOP-10 FINISH (+330)

The odds are a little longer, but Jones is finishing up strong this season. You have a chance to more than triple up, so go lightly on Jones to finish inside the Top 10. In his 10 career Cup starts at this track, Jones has managed 6 top-10 runs, or a 60% rate of his starts. That’s worth a roll of the dice.

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Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Sunday’s Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 at Texas Motor Speedway sports betting odds and lines, with NASCAR analysis and prediction.

The NASCAR Cup Series heads back to Texas Motor Speedway Sunday at 3:30 p.m. ET for the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500. Below, we analyze the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 odds and betting lines, with NASCAR picks and tips with odds from BetMGM sportsbook.

Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500: What you need to know

Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 5:15 p.m. ET.

The Cup Series continues its playoffs at Texas, with Stewart-Haas Racing driver Kevin Harvick (+260 for Sunday’s race) on the Busch pole. He finished fifth in the first scheduled Cup race at Texas back in July.

  • Harvick has 10 consecutive finishes inside the top 10 at Texas, and he has posted three wins, 12 top 5s and 23 top 10s with 654 laps led in 35 career Cup starts at the track with a 10.23 Average-Finish Position (AFP).
  • Rookie Tyler Reddick made his Texas Cup Series debut back in July, and he ended as the runner-up to Austin Dillon in the impressive first start.
  • The third-longest active streak of top-10 results at Texas belongs to Joe Gibbs Racing driver Erik Jones, who has finished 10th or better in six consecutive starts at the track. Kurt Busch is second with seven straight finishes of 10th or better.
  • Ganassi Racing’s Matt Kenseth has the best AFP (9.74) of all active drivers with at least nine Cup starts in Texas, posting two wins, 14 top 5s and 19 top 10s in 31 career starts with 883 laps led.

Who is going to win the Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500?

HARVICK (+260) is the chalk for a reason, as he has posted three victories in his past six starts at Texas Motor Speedway, and he owns a 4.1 AFP across his past 10 Cup Series starts in Fort Worth.

JGR’s Kyle Busch (+1200) has the second-closest AFP (8.3) behind Harvick (min. two starts). That’s how dominant Harvick has been since the Fall ’15 Cup Series race at TMS.

Last week’s winner at Kansas, Penske Racing’s JOEY LOGANO (+700), has posted an 8.8 AFP across his past 10 Texas starts, finishing seventh or better in eight of those nine starts. He was third back in the July installment.

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If you want slightly longer odds, ARIC ALMIROLA (+2500) is worth a look. He heads into Sunday’s race with four consecutive top-10 showings at Texas, posting an AFP of 6.7. He was 10th in July’s Cup Series stop in Fort Worth.

Autotrader EchoPark Automotive 500 long-shot bet

Time is starting to tick down on the Cup Series career of Hendrick Motorsports driver JIMMIE JOHNSON (+4000). He hasn’t won since June 2017 at Dover, but perhaps Texas will be the final win of his career. The seven-time series champ has hoisted the checkered flags and fired the celebratory six-shooters into the air seven times at Texas, most of any driver, and he has 16 top-5 showings with 22 top-10 runs in 34 career starts. His 10.85 AFP is third-best among drivers with at least nine Cup starts at the track, and he has led a circuit-best 1,152 laps.

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