Fourteen weeks into the season, the Houston Texans (8-5) have a 1.1 Football Power Index (FPI) rating from ESPN, which ranks 22nd in the NFL.
The Miami Dolphins (6-7), who travel to NRG Stadium in Week 15 to take on the Texans, are ranked 16th with a 0.3 FPI rating.
FPI is “a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward for the rest of the season,” according to ESPN.com. “FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule.”
So with that background in mind, here’s a look at how the league’s 32 teams stack up based on FPI going into Week 15 of the 2024 NFL season.
- Detroit Lions (12-1): 8.4
- Buffalo Bills (10-3): 6.7
- Green Bay Packers (9-4): 6.2
- Baltimore Ravens (8-5): 6.2
- Philadelphia Eagles (11-2): 4.6
- Kansas City Chiefs (12-1): 3.7
- Minnesota Vikings (11-2): 3.3
- San Francisco 49ers (6-7): 3.1
- Pittsburgh Steelers (10-3): 1.7
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6): 1.7
- Washington Commanders (8-5): 1.3
- Houston Texans (8-5): 1.1
- Los Angeles Chargers (8-5): 1.0
- Los Angeles Rams (7-6): 0.6
- Arizona Cardinals (6-7): 0.6
- Miami Dolphins (6-7): 0.3
- Cincinnati Bengals (5-8): 0.1
- Seattle Seahawks (8-5): -0.3
- Atlanta Falcons (6-7): -0.7
- New York Jets (3-10): -0.7
- Cleveland Browns (3-10): -1.0
- Denver Broncos (8-5): -1.2
- Chicago Bears (4-9): -1.5
- Indianapolis Colts (6-7): -2.7
- Las Vegas Raiders (2-11): -4.2
- Tennesee Titans (3-10): -6.1
- New England Patriots (3-10): -6.7
- Jacksonville Jaguars (3-10): -6.8
- New Orleans Saints (5-8): -7.3
- Dallas Cowboys (5-8): -7.3
- New York Giants (2-11): -8.5
- Carolina Panthers (3-10): -9.6
The Texans will aim to improve their rating when they host the Dolphins for a chance to clinch the AFC South title. Houston remained idle in FPI rankings following the bye week.