The Tennessee Titans (4-0) host the AFC South rival Houston Texans (1-4) Sunday in their Week 6 matchup at Nissan Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 1 p.m. ET. Below, we preview the Texans-Titans Week 6 betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and best bets.
Texans at Titans betting odds and lines
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 5:40 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Texans +170 (bet $100, win $170) | Titans -200 (bet $200, win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Texans +3.5 (-110) | Titans -3.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: 53.5 (O: -110, U: -110)
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Texans at Titans game notes
- The Texans won straight up and against the spread 30-14 against the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 5. It was Houston’s first game after firing head coach/general manager Bill O’Brien and with Romeo Crennel as the interim head coach.
- The Titans played a rare Tuesday game this week against the Buffalo Bills due to an outbreak of COVID-19 on their roster. Tennesee rolled Buffalo 42-16 and covered as 3-point home underdogs.
- Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last five games as an underdog and the favorite is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 Texans-Titans games.
Texans at Titans injury report
Texans
- TE Jordan Akins (concussion) questionable
- LB Peter Kalambayi (hamstring) questionable
Titans
- CB Adoree’ Jackson (knee) out/IR
- DT DaQuan Jones (foot) questionable
Texans at Titans: Odds, betting lines, picks and prediction
Prediction
Texans 31, Titans 27
Money line (?)
The Texans (+170) offense is sneaky potent—averaging 6.4 yards per play, ranked 4th—and this Titans (-200) defense is getting gashed—allowing 6.2 yards/play, ranked 27th.
Houston’s major issue is not hitting pay dirt in the red zone (24th in red-zone touchdown scoring percentage) but Tennessee is terrible in the red zone (ranked 31st in opponent red-zone touchdown scoring percentage).
We’ll hit the spread harder but let’s SPLASH on TEXANS (+170).
Against the spread (?)
According to Pregame.com, 68% of the money wagered and 75% of the bets made are on the Titans yet they’ve gone from laying 5.5 points with the opening line to the current number of Titans -3.5 (-110). How I’m consuming this intel is that bookmakers don’t think this is a good spot for the Titans and I agree.
The Texans +3.5 (-110) were rejuvenated by the firing of O’Brien and all-time great J.J. Watt says the team is finally having fun. Houston had a disappointing start but still has the talent on offense to contend in the AFC South.
Additionally, the Texans have played a difficult schedule (second-toughest) Tennessee has played a soft schedule (27th-toughest), according to Football Outsiders.
We like Houston in an upset so we LOVE TEXANS +3.5 (-110) to cover.
Over/Under (?)
Titans QB Ryan Tannehill is proving 2019 wasn’t a fluke so far this season. He’s sixth in QBR, 5th in QB rating and is leading the NFL with three game-winning drives. The Titans have a dynamic offense with Tannehill under center and the Texans defense is giving up 28 points per game.
Texans QB Deshaun Watson could be in line for a big game in Week 6. Tennessee’s defense is ranked 24th in pressure percentage and Watson has the second-best clean pocket completion percentage.
It’s only a lean but I think we’ll get a nice quarterback duel. OVER 53.5 (-110) is the play to make on the total.
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Also see:
- Behind Enemy Lines: Previewing the Texans’ Week 6 AFC South battle with the Titans (Texans Wire)
- Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans: Key matchups to watch in Week 6 (Titans Wire)
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