Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Green Bay Packers (4-2) welcome the Houston Texans (5-1) to Lambeau Field Sunday for NFL Week 7 action. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (CBS). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Texans vs. Packers odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Texans are led by QB C.J. Stroud, who has 1,577 yards and 10 touchdowns through 6 games. They’re coming off a 41-21 road win over the New England Patriots Sunday, closing as a 6.5-point favorite. Houston has won 3 straight and has covered in 2 in a row. It is 2-1 on the road yet 1-2 against the spread (ATS) in away games. It is 2-3-1 ATS on the season.

The Packers have rattled off 2 straight wins and have won 4 of their last 5 as well. Green Bay has scored at least 24 points in 4 straight games. It is coming off a 34-13 home win over the Arizona Cardinals, closing as a 5.5-point favorite and covering with ease. The Packers are 4-2 ATS on the season and 2-0 ATS in true road games. They are led by QB Jordan Love, who has tallied 12 touchdowns in just 4 games.

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Texans at Packers odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Saturday at 2:45 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Texans +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Packers -155 (bet $155 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Texans +3 (-115) | Packers -3 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Texans at Packers key injuries

Texans

  • LB Azeez Al-Shaair (knee) out
  • WR Nico Collins (hamstring) out
  • CB Kamari Lassiter (shoulder) out
  • WR Steven Sims (back) questionable
  • LB Henry To’oTo’o (concussion) out
  • S Jimmie Ward (groin) out
  • WR Robert Woods (foot) out

Packers

  • WR Dontayvion Wicks (shoulder) questionable
  • DL Devonte Wyatt (ankle) out

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Texans at Packers picks and predictions

Prediction

Packers 31, Texans 27

Moneyline

PASS.

The Packers are playable on the moneyline, but their value is better served on the spread. The Texans are worthy of at least a glance, but they are too banged up to really consider to win on the road in Week 7.

Against the spread

BET PACKERS -3 (-105).

Simply put, the Texans are too injured to assume they’ll be able to keep pace here. They’ll be short at least four starting defenders and a couple of their top offensive weapons as well. The Packers are a less banged-up side and should be able to knife through an injured Houston secondary.

Green Bay has won and covered consistently as a favorite this season. It has won 2 in a row and covered both, closing as a favorite in each. The Texans have yet to be an underdog, but they are 0-1 straight up and ATS on the road against teams above .500.

Expect them to struggle short so many talented players. Take PACKERS -3 (-105).

Over/Under

BET OVER 48.5 (-110).

Both teams like to score, and neither defense has been on top of its game as of late. The Texans gave up 21 to QB Drake Maye and the Patriots in his first career start in Week 6. They have allowed at least 20 in 5 of 6 games and in 4 straight.

Houston has scored 23 or more in 3 straight as well. The Packers have gone 2-1-1 O/U in their last 4 and are 3-2-1 O/U on the season. They have scored at least 29 in 3 of their last 4. Considering those trends, back OVER 48.5 (-110).

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Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers odds and lines: Packers QB Jordan Love finally set to see field

Assessing the odds and lines for Saturday’s NFL preseason contest between the Houston Texans and Green Bay Packers.

The Green Bay Packers and Houston Texans finally begin their respective 2021 NFL preseason campaigns after a tumultuous offseason for both sides. Kickoff will be Saturday at 8 p.m. ET at Lambeau Field. Below, we look at the Texans at Packers odds and lines.

The Packers were able to retain QB Aaron Rodgers for at least the 2021 season, but it’s second-year QB Jordan Love who should be expected to see most of the playing time under center Saturday. The No. 26 overall pick of the 2020 NFL Draft didn’t see the field at all as a rookie as Rodgers put together his third MVP campaign in his age-36 season.

The Texans haven’t been able to come to anywhere near the same resolution as the Packers. QB Deshaun Watson remains mired in an off-field legal dispute and is also reportedly still seeking a trade. He participated in training camp Monday but is unlikely to play Saturday.

Texans at Packers: Odds, spread and line

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 6:03 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Texans +130 (bet $100 to win $130) | Packers -160 (bet $160 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Texans +2.5, +110 (bet $100 to win $110) | Packers -2.5, -133 (bet $133 to win $100)
  • Total: 33.5, Over -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Under -105 (bet $105 to win $100)

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2020 betting stats:

  • ATS: Texans 6-10 | Packers 11-7
  • O/U: Texans 8-8 | Packers 11-7

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New to NFL betting?

The Packers are modest favorites at home in what’s expected to be Love’s first taste of game action on an NFL field. Their implied win probability is 61.54% with the -160 money line odds. Those odds can be expressed as a fraction of 5/8 or decimal of 1.63. Green Bay will need to win by 3 or more points in order to cover the -2.5-point spread.

The Texans can cover the spread by losing by 2 or fewer points or by pulling off the upset victory. They have an implied win probability of just 43.48% with the +130 odds.

The teams will need to combine to score 34 or more points in order to cash Over 33.5 (-115) tickets. A point total of 33 or fewer points is a win for the Under.

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