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The surprising Houston Texans (2-2) face the Atlanta Falcons (2-2) in a Week 5 matchup Sunday. Kickoff from Mercedes-Benz Stadium is at 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Texans vs. Falcons odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.
The Texans have won 2 straight and are coming off a 30-6 beatdown of the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 4 as 3-point underdogs last Sunday. The Under (41) cashed in. They beat the Jacksonville Jaguars 37-17 the previous week as 7.5-point underdogs Sep. 24.
The Falcons started 2-0 but have lost 2 straight. They lost to the Jaguars 23-7 in London last Sunday, failing to cover the 3-point spread as underdogs. The Under (42) hit in the loss.
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Texans at Falcons odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Saturday at 11:36 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Tex +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Falcons -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
- Against the spread (ATS): Texans +1.5 (-105) | Falcons -1.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 41.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Texans at Falcons key injuries
Texans
- LB Christian Harris (concussion) out
- DT Maliek Collins (abdomen) questionable
- CB Shaquill Griffin (calf) questionable
- LB Jake Hansen (neck) questionable
- OL Josh Jones (hand) out
- WR Jon Metchie (illness) questionable
- OL Laremy Tunsil (knee) questionable
Falcons
- None
Texans at Falcons picks and predictions
Prediction
Texans 27, Falcons 16
Moneyline
The Texans have scored at least 30 points in 2 straight games. They have allowed a total of 23 points.
The Falcons have scored only 13 total points over their last 2 weeks.
Texans QB C.J. Stroud has 6 TD passes in 4 games and averages over 300 passing yards per game.
BET TEXANS (+105)
Against the spread
PASS
The 1.5-point spread is small enough that if you think the Texans will cover, you should bet the plus odds on the moneyline.
The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in 3 straight. They do have a 1-point victory.
Over/Under
The Texans are humming offensively, hitting the 30-point mark in 2 consecutive weeks, while the Falcons have allowed 20 or more in 3 straight.
Will Atlanta fail to get to double digits? That seems unlikely.
With a projected total of only 41.5, expect the Texans to score a little less than the last 2 weeks and for Atlanta to approach 20 points.
BET OVER 41.5 (-110).
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