The AFC South lead is on the line on Thursday Night Football when the 6-2 Tennessee Titans host the 5-3 Indianapolis Colts. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tenn. Here are five TNF prop bets for the Titans you can make, courtesy of BetMGM.
Tennessee Titans Week 10 prop bet predictions
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:25 p.m. ET.
RB Derrick Henry OVER 78.5 rushing yards (-121)
This is the headlining mano-a-mano matchup of the night as the league’s second-leading rusher (843 yards on a league-high 182 carries through eight games) faces the defense permitting the fewest rushing yards to running backs.
In Week 2, Indy held league rushing leader, Dalvin Cook of the Minnesota Vikings, to 63 yards. Cook carried the ball only 14 times and still averaged a healthy 4.5 yards per attempt. Henry, meanwhile, averages a league-leading 22.8 rushes per game and hasn’t had fewer than 18 in any contest this season or his last 17 games overall, dating back through Week 10 of last season.
Henry has rushed for at least 79 yards (average of 106.8) in the five contests in which he has received double-digit carries against the Colts. While the going won’t be as easy this time around against an improved Colts D, expect Henry to finish with at least 20 rushes and 80 yards.
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QB Ryan Tannehill UNDER 248.5 passing yards (-125)
Tannehill is averaging 247.6 yards per game and threw for at least 239 in four of his five outings to open the season.
He has cooled off of late, throwing for 220, 233 and 158 yards in his last three games as the Titans have encountered some tougher pass defenses in the Pittsburgh Steelers and Chicago Bears.
Indy, again, is right up there with the best, allowing the third-fewest average passing yards (221.8) to opposing quarterbacks. Keep in mind this is actual yardage, not the team total with sack yardage deducted.
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TE Jonnu Smith to score a touchdown (+180)
The Titans’ underrated tight end is tied with the Kansas City Chiefs’ Travis Kelce for the league lead at the position with six receiving touchdowns.
He’s done so on only 37 targets and 24 receptions. Eight of those targets and six of those catches have come in the red zone with all six resulting in scores.
Wouldn’t you know it, the Colts have been among the league’s best in defending tight ends and are the only team not to have allowed a tight end TD this season.
Still, at an enticing +180, we’re going to take a shot on Smith being the first.
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PK Stephen Gostkowski UNDER 1.5 field goals made (-110)
In eight games this season, Gostkowski has finished with two or more makes only twice. He has a league-worst 61.1% field-goal accuracy rate (11 of 18).
Indy, meanwhile, has surrendered the eighth-fewest opposing field goals with 10 in eight games.
Colts QB Philip Rivers OVER 0.5 interceptions (-125)
Another high-probability play here as the Colts’ new QB has tossed 27 interceptions in his last 24 games dating back to last season, including seven in eight outings this year. Rivers’ 2.6 interception percentage this season is the league’s sixth-highest rate.
The Titans, meanwhile, will tempt Rivers as they’re allowing the sixth-most passing yards (275.0) per game, but they also are tied for fifth with nine interceptions. Tennessee’s 2.8 interception percentage ranks eighth.
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