The North Carolina Tar Heels (10-15, 3-11 ACC) travel north to meet the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (15-10, 6-8 ACC) in a Monday night ACC clash at Purcell Pavillion at the Joyce Center for a 7 p.m. ET tip-off. We analyze the North Carolina-Notre Dame odds and betting lines, with college basketball betting advice and tips around this matchup.
North Carolina at Notre Dame: Three things you need to know
1. The Fighting Irish are coming off back to back losses to Duke (94-60) and Virginia (50-49 in overtime) and look to right the ship on their home hardwood where they average 79.9 points per game. The Tar Heels head into this game on a five-game losing skid. UNC has trailed throughout four of those five losses.
2. Seniors G Brandon Robinson being out with an ankle injury hurts North Carolina. Robinson has been UNC’s primary threat from 3-point range where he’s a 35% shooter. The fourth-year letterman has averaged a career-high 13.1 PPG in 16 starts this season. The Tar Heels have shot just 26.2% from 3-point-land over their last 11 games.
3. UND is coming off its worst two back-to-back shooting games this season. The Irish shot a combined 34.7% from the field over losses to Duke and Virginia. Over three home games from Jan. 29-Feb. 5, Notre Dame shot 45.6% from the floor and a robust 37.7% from distance.
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North Carolina at Notre Dame: Odds, betting lines and picks
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Notre Dame 76, North Carolina 71
Moneyline (ML)
Notre Dame (-175) is expected to win this Monday home game over North Carolina (+145). We’ll PASS on the moneyline with better value available on the spread.
Against the Spread (ATS)
The Fighting Irish are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they are 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine home games. The home teams is 7-2 ATS over the last nine games of the UNC-UND series.
Look for the Fighting Irish to take good care of the basketball. A low-turnover game will mitigate a UNC edge on the boards, making UND a solid play to win by a couple scores. BACK NOTRE DAME (-2.5, -129) to win by at least 3 points.
Over/Under (O/U)
The Over is 7-2-1 across Notre Dame’s last 10 games. The Under is 3-13 over North Carolina’s last 16 road tilts.
The number here is a respectable one, and we’ll PASS on the projected total of 147.5 (Over: -110, Under: -110).
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