Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and predictions.

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The Detroit Lions (1-0) welcome the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-0) to Ford Field Sunday. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET (FOX). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds around the Buccaneers vs. Lions odds, and make our expert NFL picks and predictions.

The Buccaneers, who won and covered in 2 of 3 preseason games, beat the Washington Commanders at home 37-20 Sunday, covering as a 4-point favorite. QB Baker Mayfield went off for 4 TDs and 289 yards. Two of those TD passes went to WR Mike Evans. A similar Buccaneers team went 8-2 against the spread (ATS) last season.

The Lions, who were 6-4 ATS at home a season ago, also won and covered in 2 of 3 preseason games. In Week 1 action, Detroit won 26-20 in OT over the LA Rams, covering as a 5.5-point home favorite. QB Jared Goff ended with 217 yards, a TD and an INT. RB David Montgomery rushed for 91 yards and a TD.

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Buccaneers at Lions odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list of NFL odds. Lines last updated Friday at 6:37 p.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Buccaneers +290 (bet $100 to win $290) | Lions -375 (bet $375 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Buccaneers +7.5 (-110) | Lions -7.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 51.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Buccaneers at Lions key injuries

Buccaneers

  • DE Marcus Davenport (groin) doubtful
  • OT Penei Sewell (ankle) questionable
  • WR Jameson Williams (ankle) questionable

Lions

  • OT Luke Goedeke (concussion) out
  • DE Logan Hall (foot) questionable
  • DT Calijah Kancey (calf) out
  • CB Zyon McCollum (concussion) questionable
  • S Antoine Winfield Jr. (unknown) out
  • DB Tykee Smith (illness) questionable

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Buccaneers at Lions picks and predictions

Prediction

Lions 27, Buccaneers 21

Moneyline

PASS.

There’s no value here.

The Lions have been among the more consistent teams over the last few seasons and should come out on top. While the Bucs could be worth a play as a sizable underdog, that wager is better used on the spread.

Against the spread

BET BUCCANEERS +7.5 (-110).

The Buccaneers were very profitable on the spread when on the road last season (8-2), and they showed their lofty potential in Week 1, throttling the Commanders. Mayfield looked consistent and took just 1 sack. He didn’t have a turnover either. The Bucs defense allowed just 161 passing yards too. They should be able to limit Goff.

The Lions looked vulnerable despite winning at home in Week 1. They allowed 17 second-half points and gave up 304 passing yards, which Mayfield will look to exploit as well. Considering Detriot’s pass weakness and the Bucs’ strength on the spread last year, take BUCCANEERS +7.5 (-110).

Over/Under

BET UNDER  51.5 (-110).

The Lions have a starting offensive lineman questionable while the Bucs will be a starter short on the line. The defensive lines may be able to take control of those weaknesses and get in the backfield, potentially haunting drives with tackles for loss and sacks.

The Lions were Under in Week 1, but play a fast pace which often lifts the total. This would’ve been the highest total in any Bucs game last season. The Bucs scored 37 in Week 1, but scored that many just once last season, so that’s not expected to be repeated. They held the Commanders to 20 last week.

Take UNDER 51.5 (-110).

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions odds, picks and prediction

Previewing the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions Week 16 betting odds and lines, with NFL betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (9-5) visit the Detroit Lions (5-9) Saturday for a 1 p.m. ET kickoff at Ford Field. Below, we preview the Buccaneers-Lions betting odds and lines and make our NFL picks and predictions.

Buccaneers at Lions: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:54 a.m. ET.

  • Money line: Buccaneers -500 (bet $500 to win $100) | Lions +375 (bet $100 to win $375)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Buccaneers -10 (-110) | Lions +10 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 54.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Buccaneers at Lions: Game notes

  • The Buccaneers picked up a road victory last Sunday at the Atlanta Falcons 31-27, although they failed to cover. Tampa is on a roll away from home, winning four straight on the road, covering in two of those outings. The Over has cashed in all four of those games, too.
  • Tampa Bay has posted a 2-6-1 ATS record in the past nine seasons in Week 16 games. However, the Bucs are an impressive 10-3-2 ATS in the previous 15 in the month of December. They’re also 5-2 ATS in the past seven games following a non-cover in the previous week.
  • The Lions are on a two-game skid after winning 34-30 at the Chicago Bears in Week 13. It was their first game under interim head coach Darrell Bevell. Detroit lost at the Tennessee Titans 46-25 last weekend with the Over cashing.
  • The Over is 3-1 in the past four games for the Lions, and 6-2 across their past eight. Their defense, or lack thereof, is a big reason for the Overs. They have allowed 33.8 PPG across the past eight outings, while the offense has scored 20 or more points in seven of those games.
  • The Bucs defense ranks first in rushing yards per game allowed (77.8) and sixth in total YPG allowed (333.1).

Buccaneers at Lions: Key injuries

Buccaneers

  • CB Carlton Davis (groin) doubtful

Lions

  • OL Tyrell Crosby (ankle) out
  • LB Jamie Collins (neck) questionable
  • T Taylor Decker (groin) questionable
  • WR Kenny Golladay (hip) out
  • S Jayron Kearse (hip) questionable
  • PK Matt Prater (back) questionable
  • C Frank Ragnow (throat) questionable
  • QB Matthew Stafford (rib, thumb) questionable
  • CB Darryl Roberts (hip) questionable
  • OT Halapoulivaati Vaitai (concussion) questionable

Buccaneers at Lions: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Buccaneers 40, Lions 20

Money line (?)

The Buccaneers (-500) have been money on the road, but risking five times your potential return on an away team is just not a good strategy. AVOID.

Against the spread (?)

The BUCCANEERS -10 (-110) might have an issue in their secondary, as Davis is unlikely to play. But Stafford, if he even plays for Lions, will again be without his top weapon in WR Golladay. The Lions defense has been toasted repeatedly over the past couple of months, and that’s a huge reason why Matt Patricia is no longer the coach of this team. Make some bucks on the BUCS (-10)!

Over/Under (?)

OVER 54.5 (-115) is the play, as the Lions defense has been awful lately. Things do not appear likely to get better with the Bucs rolling in ranked sixth in the league with 268.4 passing YPG with three stud wideouts in Antonio Brown, Chris Godwin and Mike Evans. Tampa Bay will do plenty of damage against the Detroit defense in the Motor City.

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