In the last match of the Round of 16, Sweden takes on Ukraine Tuesday at Euro 2020, with the winner playing the victor of Germany and England. Kickoff is slated for 3 p.m. ET at Hampden Park in Glasglow, Scotland. Below, we preview the Sweden vs. Ukraine odds and lines and make our best Euro 2020 bets, picks and predictions.
Sweden is coming in with the momentum after winning a group including Round of 8 participant Spain. Sweden drew Spain 0-0, beat Slovakia 1-0, and beat Poland 3-2.
Sweden is 18th in the FIFA World Rankings and will be taking on 24th-ranked Ukraine, which finished third in Group C.
Both the Netherlands and Austria have been eliminated, so Ukraine is all that’s left of its group. It lost 3-2 to the Netherlands and 1-0 to Austria, while defeating North Macedonia 2-1.
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Also see: England vs. Germany odds, picks and prediction
Sweden vs. Ukraine: Odds, picks and predictions
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated on Monday at 6:05 p.m. ET.
- Money line: Sweden +140 (bet $100 to win $140) | Ukraine +220 (bet $100 to win $220) | Draw +210
- Over/Under: 2.5 (O: +140 | U: -190)
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Prediction
Sweden 1, Ukraine 0
Money line (ML)
BET on SWEDEN (+140). While it hasn’t been the drastically better team historically, it has proven to be better over the past week. Neither country has ever made it to a Euro Final.
Sweden will look to change that as it comes in with two wins and a draw this tournament. With just 4 goals in the group stage, it’s the Swedish defense that’s taken its level of play to the next level in allowing just 2 goals through three games.
As for Ukraine, it has struggled to score. West Ham F Andriy Yarmolenko and Gent F Roman Yaremchuk have scored all 4 Ukraine goals. Sweden should be able to shut them down.
Leipzig MF Emil Forsberg has been the most lethal Swedish player. It’s more about the defensive strength as only four teams allowed fewer goals in the group stage.
Sweden will be able to lock up Ukraine and win this game. With a plus-money bet, this one should end in regulation. Sweden to advance at -150 isn’t quite as good of a value.
Over/Under (O/U)
PASS on the total as the Under 2.5 (-190) is the far better bet but just too pricey. Sweden has given up 2 goals and scored just 4. Ukraine has given up 5 and scored just 4.
Those numbers don’t bode well for the Over. Neither team has big-name strikers that will carry its attack while both have proven to have relatively formidable defenses.
The Under 1.5 at +150 is a reasonable value, but even then, it’s a pass with a lean to the Under 2.5.
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