super bowl prop bets – Page 4 – Syndication Server

2022 Super Bowl prop bets: Cooper Kupp receptions, receiving yards and TDs

Looking at Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp’s Super Bowl prop bets, with 2022 Super Bowl odds, picks and predictions.

Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp turned in one of the best seasons we’ve ever seen by a wide receiver, putting up incredible numbers in his first year with Matthew Stafford as his quarterback.

Below, we look at Cooper Kupp’s Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.

During the regular season, Kupp caught 145 passes for 1,947 yards and 16 touchdowns, leading the league in all three categories.

He’s continued to dominate in the postseason, too, catching 25 passes for 386 yards and four touchdowns in only three games. He’s the first player in NFL history with 2,000-plus receiving yards in a single season, including the playoffs, and has scored 20 total touchdowns.

This is Kupp’s first Super Bowl appearance after missing the Rams’ last trip three years ago due to a knee injury, and he’s become more important than ever to Los Angeles’ offense. His connection with Stafford has been strong from the start, combining for at least 92 yards in all but two of his 20 games played this season.

Cooper Kupp 2022 Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 3:33 p.m. ET.

Receptions: UNDER 8.5 (-125)

Kupp has had at least nine receptions in each of his last two games, but in the three games prior to that, he never topped seven catches. This is a steep number, even for a guy who’s caught 170 passes in his 20 games this season, including the playoffs.

I’m happy to bet his yardage total because he’s typically good for a player or two of at least 25 yards, but with the Rams likely to run the ball a fair amount and WR Odell Beckham Jr. eating into Kupp’s targets, I’ll take the UNDER 8.5 (-125) here.

See also: 2022 Super Bowl odds

Receiving yards: OVER 107.5 (-114)

At first glance, this is a lofty number. Betting any player to go over 100 yards receiving in a game is difficult, and yet Kupp’s number comes in at 107.5. When you look at his stats this season, you’ll realize just how reliable he’s been when betting the Over on his yardage total. In the 20 games he’s played, Kupp has had at least 108 yards receiving 13 times.

The Bengals allowed the seventh-most passing yards in the NFL and were 15th in yards allowed to wide receivers this season. Kansas City WR Tyreek Hill had seven catches for 78 yards against the Bengals in the AFC title game, all of which came in the first half.

I would bet OVER 107.5 (-114) on Kupp’s yardage total because unless the Rams go run-heavy all night, he’s going to get plenty of opportunities to catch passes.

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Anytime touchdown (-180)

Another preposterous line on the surface: -180 for Kupp to score a touchdown? There isn’t much upside with this wager, but Kupp is good for at least one score 70% of the time, finding the end zone in 14 of his 20 games.

If you like the Rams to win, there’s an even greater reason to bet Kupp to score a touchdown. When he finds the end zone, the Rams are 13-1. They’re 2-4 when he doesn’t.

I would rather make a bet on Kupp to score two-plus touchdowns if you can find that line, but I still feel comfortable betting on him to SCORE A TD for -180.

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2022 Super Bowl prop bets: Joe Burrow passing completions, yards and TDs

Looking at Bengals QB Joe Burrow Super Bowl prop bets, with 2022 Super Bowl odds, picks and predictions.

In just his second NFL season, Cincinnati Bengals QB Joe Burrow has led his team to the Super Bowl. The big games and all eyes are on him to see if he can keep up his play and win a Super Bowl championship just two years after winning the national championship in college at LSU. Because he is the quarterback and has the ball in his hands every single snap, he is a particularly interesting player to consider for prop bets.

Below, we look at Joe Burrow’s Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.

Joe Burrow 2022 Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 11:06 a.m. ET.

Passing completions: UNDER 24.5 (-119)

Burrow led the NFL in completion percentage at 70.9%. To get to 25 pass completions he would need 36 pass attempts, completing 70%. He completed 25 or more passes six times in the regular season and once in the postseason.

The Rams, though, have only allowed 25 pass completions or more twice in their last six games.

Take UNDER 24.5 (-119).

See also: 2022 Super Bowl odds

Passing yards: UNDER 277.5 (-114)

The Rams allowed an average of only 220.7 passing yards per game this playoffs.

Burrow has had 278 or more passing yards only once in three postseason games. Overall, he did have 278 or more passing yards in nine of 19 games.

TAKE UNDER 277.5 (-114).

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Passing TDs: UNDER 1.5 (+135)

Burrow has had multiple touchdown passes in two of his three postseason games and 13 games with at least two TD passes. He has done so in four of his last five games.

However, the Rams have only allowed a quarterback to throw multiple touchdown passes in a game once in the last eight weeks. That was the Bucs’ Tom Brady in the playoffs. The Rams only allowed 17 touchdown passes during the regular season.

As I anticipate the Rams to win the championship, I expect their pass defense to be on point. Take UNDER 1.5 (+135).

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2022 Super Bowl prop bets: Ja’Marr Chase receptions, receiving yards and TDs

Looking at Bengals’ Ja’Marr Chase Super Bowl prop bets, with 2022 Super Bowl odds, picks and predictions.

The Cincinnati Bengals will be in their first Super Bowl since 1989. A huge reason they’re in this position is because of rookie wide WR Ja’Marr Chase.

The No. 5 overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, Chase had more than 200 receiving yards twice in the regular season, quickly rekindling a relationship with his collegiate quarterback at LSU in Joe Burrow.

Chase had two 100-yard receiving performances in the Bengals’ three postseason victories. He comes into this Super Bowl as Cincinnati’s No. 1 offensive threat.

Below, we look at Ja’Marr Chase’s Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.

Ja’Marr Chase 2022 Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 8:44 a.m. ET.

Receptions: Under 5.5 (+120)

The Bengals have five elite threats that can act as receivers. Against a formidable Rams defense, they’re going to need all the help they can get.

Considering the Rams could also opt to have Chase shadowed by All-Pro CB Jalen Ramsey, Chase’s opportunities could be limited. The Rams ranked 14th in opponents’ passing completion percentage this season.

The rookie wideout has topped 5.5 receptions 8 times this season, playoffs included. That means he’s gone under it 12 times.

Given the odds here, the value is in the UNDER.

See also: 2022 Super Bowl odds

Receiving yards: Over 80.5 (-114)

Cincinnati has been able to move the ball this postseason through the air, and Chase has been a focal point of the team’s offense. Chase went over 100 yards twice in the last 3 games.

Given that Chase is averaging 18.0 yards per catch, it’s entirely possible that he goes Under 6 receptions and Over 80 yards. In fact, he’s done that 3 times this season.

More convincing for this play, Chase averaged 85.6 receiving yards a game.

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Odell Beckham Jr. vs. Ja’Marr Chase: Who will have more receiving yards? Chase (-130)

My favorite Chase-centric prop is that he’ll have a longer reception than Rams WR Odell Beckham Jr. (+110).

In the last 6 games, Beckham had just 2 games in which he’s had a reception of over 20 yards. Chase, in that same timeframe, had a reception for over 20 yards in all 6 games.

Chase is the premier deep threat for Cincinnati and will likely draw at least a few deep bombs during the Super Bowl.

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these 6 prop bets to cash

Looking at six Super Bowl 55 prop bets with odds, picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Chiefs square off with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55 in Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Florida at 6:30 p.m. ET. One of the most decorated Super Bowl traditions is the extensive and exquisite Super Bowl prop bet menu, which ranges from coin flip results to who will score the last touchdown and everything else in between.

The stage is set, the Super Bowl odds are moving around and our Super Bowl prediction is set; now its time to focus on some profitable Super Bowl 55 prop bets to consider to add some extra excitement to Sunday’s game.

6 top Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Friday at 6:55 p.m. ET.

Tom Brady OVER 0.5 rushing yards (+145)

Obviously, Tom Brady brings a lot to the table but one of the things he’s mastered is the Art of the QB Sneak.

What generally happens when Brady shows off his sneaker-y is he hits a wide receiver on 3rd and long who gets stopped right at the sticks then Brady rushes to the line in order to catch the defense before it can get its heavy personnel on the field. If there was some crazy prop or derivative market on BetMGM where I could bet on this specific outcome, I’d place that bet at +10000 or greater.

Another factor in this bet is my personal Chiefs-Buccaneers handicap, which says Kansas City wins Super Bowl 55. If the Buccaneers aren’t winning at the end of this game, then Brady isn’t taking knees that could affect his rushing yardage. That would be a crappy way to lose this bet. But, Brady has rushed for one or more yards in six of his 11 career playoff losses.

Whether it be the way stated earlier or some other GOAT–scamper, Brady is going Over 0.5 rushing yards.

Chiefs to call first timeout (-110)

Brady is the GOAT and as prepared for championship moments as any American athlete ever. Essentially that greatly reduces a mental lapse from Tampa Bay’s offense and Brady having to use an early timeout.

Chiefs head coach Andy Reid is notoriously terrible at play clock management. Like, Reid was comically bad and everyone clowned on him. But, since he got the heir apparent to the QB GOAT, Patrick Mahomes, and won a Super Bowl, apparently all is forgotten.

Finally, the Chiefs have some injuries along the offensive line and Mahomes didn’t lock in until the second half of last year’s Super Bowl. Maybe this is far too much for a random prop but that’s what we are here for.

LISTEN: Hear Esten McLaren and myself on the latest Bet Slippin’ Podcast, the Super Bowl edition.

Chiefs S Tyrann Mathieu OVER 4.5 combined tackles (-115)

This was my best bet in last year’s Super Bowl (it might have been Mathieu Over 5.5 combined tackles), and he covered. Do you know why that is? It’s because the Honey Badger is great at football.

Mathieu has been one of the best defensive backs in the sport since he played college ball at LSU. And he’s always been a big-time player. For instance, Mathieu has six or more combined tackles in five of his seven career playoff games and in each of his bowl games in college.

Furthermore, the Honey Badger had five or more combined tackles in 10 of his 17 regular-season and playoff games this year, including against the Buccaneers in Week 12. Mathieu is a defensive Swiss Army knife who shows up in big games and he’ll be all over the field in the Big Game.

Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill OVER 5.5 rushing yards (-105)

Simple napkin and smartphone math gives this prop some value: Hill averages 8.4 rushing yards per game and 7.4 yards per attempt over his 74 career games. Granted, it’s not like BetMGM‘s team didn’t factor that into their prop pricing, just saying.

There’s additional value in my opinion due to the fact that Tampa Bay’s rush defense was one of the top units this season and Kansas City’s running back production has waned in recent weeks due in large part to the aforementioned injuries to the offensive line and to the running backs.

Reid has a track record of dialing up gadget plays and end-arounds, heck he called one in the AFC Championship for WR Mecole Hardman, who ripped off a 50-yard run. Also, Reid didn’t use a Hill end-around in the Week 12 game vs. the Buccaneers so he could pull that trick in the Super Bowl.

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Buccaneers WR Antonio Brown OVER 18.5 yards longest reception (-120)

We have to visit Narrative-Ville for this prop handicap because the recent numbers don’t really support Brown’s Over chances here.

So, TB and AB are bros, everyone knows that. TB allowed AB to stay with him when AB played for the New England Patriots for one game last season and they roomed together again earlier this season at Derek Jeter’s Tampa mansion.

And regardless of what anyone thinks of AB the person, AB the football player is an all-time wide receiver. He’s only played in one Super Bowl for the Pittsburgh Steelers in his rookie season, which Pittsburgh lost and AB had only one catch for three yards.

Reports indicate that AB “looked good” in practice this week and you know if he’s out there, his buddy TB is going to try to get him involved. Tampa Bay has two elite wide receivers and slot WR Scotty Miller has proven to be a weapon for the Bucs.

Finally, the prop market is generally sharper than sides and totals even though that’s not always the case in the Super Bowl since everyone bets the Super Bowl in a variety of ways. However, AB’s Over in his longest reception prop being more expensive does give me a little confidence the House wants Under action.

Also see:

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes OVER 329.5 passing yards (-120)

This one is at the bottom of my little props sheet here because it’s by far the squarest prop of them all. In fact, you know what I just wrote above about everyone betting the Super Bowl?

Well, most of Joe Public is going to take Mahomes Over his passing yards prop. Even people who like the Bucs to win the Super Bowl might hedge with Mahomes Over passing yards or just like the prop in general.

Although, I got a few reasons why I’m willing to head into Square-Ville for this prop. First, the Chiefs rushing offense is mediocre entering this game and Tampa’s rushing defense is elite. If that’s the case, why wouldn’t Reid spread out the offense and rely on Mahomes to sling it?

Second, which adds to my first point, in Week 12 against the Bucs, Mahomes passed for the second-most yards for a game in his career with the seventh-highest completion percentage.

Lastly, during the Bet Slippin’ Podcast episode handicapping the NFL Week 6 slate (1:13:06-1:14:50), when discussing the Chiefs-Bills game, I mentioned my theory that the Chiefs “saves their good plays for quality teams”.

The Super Bowl is the ultimate kitchen-sink game and I’m looking forward to Reid and Mahomes putting on a show.

Want action on NFL bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

NFL Wire:

Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill says Patrick Mahomes is ‘throwing crazy dots’ in practice (Chiefs Wire)
Tom Brady’s list of Super Bowl records is just ridiculous (Bucs Wire)

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Antonio Brown prop bet predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Tampa Buccaneers WR Antonio Brown, with odds, picks and predictions.

Four-time All-Pro WR Antonio Brown played in just one NFL game in the 2019 season and missed the first half of the 2020 campaign due to a myriad of off-field issues. He’s now set to play in his first Super Bowl since his 2010 rookie season with the Pittsburgh Steelers. Below, we look at Tampa Bay Buccaneers WR Antonio Brown’s Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.

Antonio Brown Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 5:14 a.m. ET.

Buccaneers’ first touchdown: +700

I followed similar reasoning when backing Bucs TE Rob Gronkowski in this prop as well. Brown is one of the Buccaneers’ most-experienced players in the postseason. Brady could lean on that intangible if the Bucs get into scoring position early in the game and some other players are dealing with big-game jitters.

Also see:

Brown to score and Buccaneers to lose: +290

Along those same lines, who will Brady be looking for late in the game if the Bucs are down by a couple of scores and need some big, quick gains? Brown’s longest catch of the season was a 46-yarder, and he averaged a quality 10.7 yards per reception. Additionally, he caught 45 of his 62 targets and has a 65.9% catch rate for his career.

The sure-handed receiver will be an option late in the game if the Bucs need to work the ball down the sidelines or take a shot at the end zone from outside the Chiefs’ 20-yard line.

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Receiving yards: UNDER 43.5 yards (-115)

Brown had at least 44 receiving yards in six of his 10 games this season, including one of two playoff contests. He missed the NFC Championship against the Green Bay Packers due to a knee injury and could still be hindered in Super Bowl 55.

The Bucs are likely to try leaning on the run game early on, and that’ll limit the looks Brown and the other receivers get on the first couple of drives.

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Bucs Wire:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Mecole Hardman prop bet predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Kansas City Chiefs WR Mecole Hardman, with odds, picks and predictions.

Kansas City Chiefs WR Mecole Hardman is one of the most intriguing players from a betting perspective heading into Super Bowl 55 against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The second-round pick of the 2019 NFL Draft has flashed his big-play abilities on several primetime occasions in his career, and Super Bowl LV brings with it plenty of interesting betting opportunities for his skillet. Below, we look at Mecole Hardman’s Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.

Mecole Hardman Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 4:51 a.m. ET.

First reception OVER 8.5 yards: -130

If Hardman is to catch a pass in Super Bowl 55, there’s a very good chance it’ll be longer than 9 yards. The second-year pro had an average depth of target of 10.6 yards in 16 games this season, and he averaged 7.0 yards after catch per reception.

Of his 41 receptions in the regular season, 7 went for 20 or more yards. If he gets a look early, it’ll likely be in an attempt to catch the Bucs defense napping. Expect Hardman to make a big play when called upon.

Also see:

Hardman to record 100+ receiving yards: +1200

This is a long shot, but that’s what Super Bowl prop bets should be about. With Hardman’s speed and QB Patrick Mahomes‘ right arm, it could take the wideout just a pair of catches to top this number, even though he hasn’t yet this season.

Hardman had a long catch of 49 yards in the regular season. He also had a long of 83 in his rookie season. He had just one two-yard catch in Super Bowl LIV, but the sophomore is now a bigger piece of the offense after catching 15 more passes in his second season.

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Hardman to have the game’s longest reception: +700

Hardman is fifth by the odds for this prop including players from both teams. His skillset should at least have him above Chiefs TE Travis Kelce (+600) and Bucs WR Mike Evans (+450). From there, it’s a toss-up with fellow speed demons in Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (+150) and Bucs WR Chris Godwin (+450).

Take the value on a prop that will be decided on just a single play.

Want action on NFL bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Chiefs Wire:

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Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Rob Gronkowski prop bet predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Tampa Bay Buccaneers TE Rob Gronkowski, with odds, picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs clash in Super Bowl 55 Sunday evening at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. Bucs TE Rob Gronkowski, who came out of retirement to reunite with QB Tom Brady in Tampa, will look to put the feather in the cap of an excellent comeback season. Below, we look at Rob Gronkowski’s Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.

Rob Gronkowski Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 6:15 p.m. ET.

Bucs’ first touchdown scorer: +900

Gronkowski is priced at +1800 to score the first touchdown of Super Bowl 55 and +225 for an anytime touchdown, but I like the sweet spot of the value with the Bucs’ first 6-point score.

The future Hall of Famer has three career touchdown catches in the Super Bowl, all from Brady during their dynastic run with the New England Patriots. Gronk also shared the Bucs’ team lead with 21 red-zone targets this season. Should the Patriots get into the red zone Sunday evening, expect Brady to look for his biggest, most-trustworthy option with most of his other targets playing in their first Super Bowl.

Also see:

Receiving yards: OVER 29.5 (-105)

Sometimes you have to trust the line set by the books, but that’s not the case here. Gronkowski caught 6 of 7 targets for 106 yards in the Week 12 meeting with the Chiefs at Raymond James Stadium. Sure, the Chiefs defense will be tightened up in the Big Game, but Gronk is a big-game player and has the full trust of his legendary quarterback.

It’ll likely take a few catches for him to get to 30 yards Sunday, but that’ll suit the Bucs just fine.

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Receptions made: OVER 2.5 (-105)

Gronkowski has just 2 catches on 7 targets through three playoff games thus far. The Bucs will look to move slowly down the field in order to keep the Chiefs offense off the field in Super Bowl LV, so look for Brady to target Gronk in the center of the field more often to keep the clock running.

First reception: UNDER 9.5 yards (-110)

This follows suit of the above pick as Gronkowski should be used to pick up first downs and control the pace of play. His one catch against the Packers in the NFC Championship went for 29 yards, but he had just 10 catches of 20-plus yards in the regular season.

He, and all Bucs pass-catchers, will likely be asked to play conservatively in the center of the field rather than risk going out of bounds and stopping the clock on sideline runs.

Want action on NFL bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Bucs Wire:

Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Tyreek Hill prop bet predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Kansas City Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill, with odds, picks and predictions.

When the Kansas City Chiefs play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the 2021 Super Bowl Sunday evening, at least one player will be hoping for a carbon copy of the Week 12 meeting between the two teams in Tampa, Fla. Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill went for 269 yards and 3 touchdowns in that game as Kansas City won 27-24. Below, we look at Tyreek Hill’s Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.

Tyreek Hill Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Wednesday at 5:50 p.m. ET.

First touchdown scorer – 2nd half: +375

Hill is +320 to score the Chiefs’ first touchdown of the game and +600 for Super Bowl 55’s first touchdown. The odds rise for him to score the first TD of the second half, when the game tends to open up a little bit. He’s just -165 for an anytime touchdown, and his +225 odds for 2 or more TDs are the lowest of any player. Play the odds, and take the value.

He was the only player to find the end zone in the third quarter of the Chiefs-Bucs’ Week 12 meeting, doing so on a 20-yard pass from QB Patrick Mahomes.

Also see:

First reception: OVER 11.5 yards (+100)

Hill had an average depth of target of 12.9 yards in the regular season. He also averaged 5.0 yards after the catch per reception and broke 8 tackles.

He averaged 14.7 yards per reception and 9.5 yards per target over 15 games, and he gashed the Bucs for 17.93 yards per target in their Week 12 meeting. Mahomes has other options for conservative check-downs. If he’s using Hill, it’s for a gain of 12 or more yards.

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Receptions made: UNDER 6.5 (+115)

This is one where the averages work against Hill. He had 7 or more receptions in just three of 15 regular-season games, but he had 8 in the divisional round against the Cleveland Browns and 9 against the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Championship. Of course, he also had 13 on 15 targets against the Bucs in Week 12.

Hill’s playmaking and big-play abilities mean he doesn’t need the ball too often to make an impact.

Player with most receiving yards: +190

Hill is the second option on this prop behind teammate TE Travis Kelce (+175). Take the value with Hill, who can achieve this task with just a few receptions.

Both offenses are loaded with pass-catching threats. Both Mahomes and Bucs QB Tom Brady will likely distribute the wealth and could make this a more manageable accomplishment for each individual option.

Want action on NFL bets? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

Chiefs Wire:

Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook.

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Patrick Mahomes prop bets

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes prop bets, with odds, picks and predictions.

The Kansas City Chiefs are one win away from repeating as Super Bowl champions, once again led by QB Patrick Mahomes. With Super Bowl prop bets such a fun side-game to the actual Super Bowl odds, we’re focusing this one specifically on the top Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.

Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 8 p.m. ET.

Patrick Mahomes passing yards: OVER 329.5 (-120)

Mahomes is going to throw it a ton Sunday night. He hasn’t attempted fewer than 30 passes since Week 7 and has topped 318 yards passing in seven of his last 10 games. His passing totals have been lower in the postseason, throwing for at least 300 yards only twice in seven games, but this is a good matchup for him.

In Week 12 against the Bucs, Mahomes threw for 462 yards and three touchdowns. He’s going to eclipse 330 yards in the Super Bowl. Bang the Over (-120)

Patrick Mahomes passing TDs: UNDER 2.5 (+110)

It seems foolish to bet that Mahomes will finish with fewer than three touchdown passes against a team that he shredded earlier this season. However, he only had three-plus touchdown passes in seven of his 17 games played this season.

I like the value that comes with betting the Under here at +110 because, although Mahomes will put up big yardage numbers, he could have touchdowns poached by the Chiefs’ running game … or he could rush one in himself.

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Patrick Mahomes interceptions: OVER 0.5 (+145)

Mahomes only has two career interceptions in the postseason, both of which were in last year’s Super Bowl. His interception rate the last two seasons was 1.0%, leading the NFL in 2020. But the Buccaneers’ cornerbacks have good hands and Mahomes could make a mistake or two in this one. It’s just a matter of the Bucs capitalizing on those errors.

Take the Over because the Bucs’ defense will be aggressive and, after all, no one is perfect – not even Mahomes.

Also see:

Patrick Mahomes longest completion: OVER 39.5 (-115)

The Chiefs are as good as any team at creating big plays. Since November, Mahomes has seven passes that went for at least 39 yards. The 39.5 projection is a big number, but never underestimate the speed and explosiveness of WR Tyreek Hill, TE Travis Kelce and WR Mecole Hardman.

Bet the Over. The Bucs will be good for one busted coverage in this one.

Patrick Mahomes rushing yards: OVER 19.5 (-105)

In nine of his 17 games played this season, Mahomes rushed for at least 20 yards. He’s usually a solid bet to have at least one run of 10-plus yards and with the way the Bucs rush the passer, he’ll be forced out of the pocket often.

When he does escape the pressure, he’ll use his legs to create plays on the ground. The turf toe didn’t seem to bother him against the Bills, even though he only rushed for 5 yards, but he’ll go Over 20 yards rushing.

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Also see:

Patrick Mahomes, Sammy Watkins provide injury updates (Chiefs Wire)
Admiration between Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady apparent (Chiefs Wire)

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Super Bowl prop bets: Bank on these Tom Brady prop predictions

Looking at Super Bowl prop bets centered around Tampa Bay Buccaneers QB Tom Brady, with odds, picks and predictions.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are in the Super Bowl for the first time since winning Super Bowl XXXVII at the end of the 2002 NFL season. A large part of the credit goes to QB Tom Brady, who led the Bucs to an 11-5 regular-season record and three straight road playoff wins in his first season in Tampa, Fla. Below, we look at Tom Brady’s Super Bowl prop bets with NFL picks and predictions.

Tom Brady Super Bowl prop bets

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 4:30 p.m. ET.

Passing yards: UNDER 300.5 (-112)

Brady averaged 289.6 passing yards per game in the regular season. It was his highest per game average since the 2016 season when he threw for 296.2 yards per game with the New England Patriots.

The key for the Buccaneers to win Super Bowl 55 will be to keep the Kansas City Chiefs and QB Patrick Mahomes off the field. Doing this will require extended drives, which would also limit trips up and down the field for the Bucs offense. Back the UNDER 300.5 (-112) as it’s likely the result the Bucs want to see themselves.

Also see: Chiefs vs. Buccaneers odds, picks and prediction

Longest passing completion: UNDER 38.5 (+100)

The Bucs offense is full of big-play pass-catchers, including WRs Mike Evans, Chris Godwin and Antonio Brown. Brady also connected with little-used WR Scotty Miller for a 39-yard touchdown in the NFC Championship.

Still, the Bucs will be hesitant to attempt these types of quick-strike scores against the Chiefs as part of their aforementioned strategy. Take the UNDER 38.5 (+100) at even-money. It’ll likely be late in the game before they’re tempted to try.

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Player to throw first touchdown pass: +105

This should essentially be a coin flip between Brady and Mahomes, but Mahomes is favored at -120 with many other players also listed.

Take the plus-money of BRADY (+105).

Passing touchdowns: 3 (+260)

The Over/Under for Super Bowl LV is set at 56.5, with the Buccaneers having an implied point total of 26.5.

The Bucs had 42 team passing touchdowns and just 16 rushing touchdowns in the regular season. Brady has thrown for another 7 scores in the postseason with RB Leonard Fournette running for 2 scores and Brady adding a touchdown on the ground. Points will need to come via the passing attack against the Chiefs, especially if Kansas City builds an early lead.

Anytime touchdown: +550

Brady rushed for 3 touchdowns in the regular season and has already added a rushing score in the postseason.

The 43-year-old has looked rejuvenated in his first season with Tampa Bay, and he’s a good bet to keep it himself near the goal line instead of risking a handoff to Fournette or RB Ronald Jones II.

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Bucs Wire:

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