The Phoenix Suns (18-26) get a rematch of a game they had earlier in the week in Phoenix, as they take on the San Antonio Spurs (20-23) Friday night at AT&T Center in San Antonio. Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. ET. We analyze the Suns-Spurs odds and lines, with NBA betting advice and tips around the matchup.
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Suns at Spurs: Key injuries
Suns
- PF Frank Kaminsky (knee) out
- F Cam Johnson (quad) out
- C Aron Baynes (hip) doutbful
Suns at Spurs: Odds, lines, picks and betting tips
NBA odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated at 2 p.m. ET.
Prediction
Spurs 116, Suns 113
Moneyline (ML)
The SPURS (-189) have won three in a row, a streak which includes a 120-118 win over the Suns in Phoenix Monday. The Suns rallied back from 17 points down to take the lead only to have the Spurs hit a pair of threes in the final minutes to win the game.
The Suns (+155) have lost two in a row and are 5-5 in their last 10 games overall. They are 9-10 on the road this season and 12-13 when playing after a loss, which includes losses during an eight-game losing streak. Excluding that, they are 12-6 after a loss. The Spurs are 7-12 after a win and 8-7 when favored at home.
The smart money here is on the SPURS (-189) but the Suns have had a knack for winning games they shouldn’t this season.
New to sports betting? A $10 wager on the Spurs to win outright returns a profit of $5.29.
Line/Against the Spread (ATS)
The Spurs (-4.5, -106) are laying 4.5 points, meaning they’d need to win by at least 5 points to cover the spread. They have covered the spread in all three games during their current winning streak and in each of their last six wins.
Amazingly, though, they have covered the spread in three of the 15 home games this season in which they have been favored. They are 5-14 ATS after a win. The SUNS (+4.5, -115), meanwhile, are 13-11-1 ATS after a loss but have covered in only two of their last nine games. As a road dog, they are 9-4 ATS.
With the Suns’ knack for close losses and the Spurs’ trend of not covering, take the Suns with the points to stay within 4 points in a loss, or win outright.
Over/Under (O/U)
The total for Friday’s game is set at 228.5 points. The last game between the two went Over but the line is set just over their total of 228 from Monday’s game in Phoenix. Spurs games have gone Over in three of their last four, while Suns games have split the last four overall.
Both teams are strong overall for the Over, the Spurs going 27-16 O/U and the Suns going 24-20. At home, the Spurs are 14-8 O/U and the Suns are 9-10 O/U on the road.
It will be a close game and the total will be right around what the line is at. I’ll take the OVER 228.5 (+100) but it isn’t a strong play.
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