Suns Mavericks odds picks prediction spread over/under betting line

Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Monday’s Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Phoenix Suns (16-7) are set to square off against the Dallas Mavericks (11-11) Monday at American Airlines Center. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET (NBA TV). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Suns vs. Mavericks odds, and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.

The Suns cruised to a 133-95 victory Sunday against the San Antonio Spurs to cover as 10-point road favorites. Phoenix has won 8 of its last 10 games despite not having star G Chris Paul available.

The Mavericks secured a 121-100 win over the New York Knicks Saturday to cover as 1-point favorites on the road. Dallas has won 2 of its last 3 games following a 4-game losing streak.

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Suns at Mavericks odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:54 a.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Suns +125 (bet $100 to win $125) | Mavericks -145 (bet $145 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Suns +2.5 (-105) | Mavericks -2.5 (-115)
Over/Under (O/U): 221.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Suns at Mavericks key injuries

Suns

Not yet submitted

Mavericks

F Christian Wood (illness) questionable

For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.

Suns at Mavericks picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 112, Mavericks 106

Moneyline

It’s hard to ignore being able to get the SUNS (+125) at plus odds to win Monday. There aren’t many players in the NBA that are playing better than G Devin Booker right now.

Against the spread

Considering that I have Phoenix securing a road victory over Dallas, SUNS +2.5 (-105) is where I’m going in this game. Even though I expect G Luka Doncic to have a productive outing, F Mikal Bridges could make things more difficult than usual for the All-Star.

The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the tail end of back-to-back sets and are 9-4 ATS in its last 13 road meetings against the Mavericks.

Over/Under

UNDER 221.5 (-115) is where I’m leaning in this game as both teams play at a slow pace. The Suns are 20th in pace while the Mavericks are 29th.

The Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these squads and is 19-7 in the last 26 meetings between them in Dallas.

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Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks Game 6 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks Game 6 lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 4 seed Dallas Mavericks (2-3) try to keep their season alive when they host the No. 1 seed Phoenix Suns (3-2) for Game 6 of their Western Conference semifinals playoff series Thursday. Tip-off at the American Airlines Center is set for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we look at the Suns vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Phoenix took control of this series by blowing out Dallas 110-80 in Game 5 Tuesday. The Suns significantly outperformed the Mavs in 3 of the “four factors” in Game 5. Phoenix All-Star SG Devin Booker scored 28 points on 55.0% shooting and PG Chris Paul added 10 assists.

Dallas All-Star wing Luka Doncic has been the best player in this series, averaging a series-high in points (32.0), rebounds (9.6) and assists (7.4).

The home team has won and covered the first 5 games and the total is 2-3 Over/Under (O/U) in the series.

Mavericks at Suns odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 12:34 p.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Suns -135 (bet $135 to win $100) | Mavericks +110 (bet $100 to win $110)
Against the spread: Suns -2.5 (-108) | Mavericks +2.5 (-112)
Over/Under: 211.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Mavericks at Suns key injuries

Suns

None

Mavericks

None

[tipico]

Mavericks at Suns picks and predictions

Prediction

Mavericks 106, Suns 102

Money line

PASS even though I’m on Dallas’s spread because the Suns (-135) are the best “clutch” team in the NBA so I could see Phoenix stealing this one late from the Mavericks (+110).

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Against the spread

BET the MAVERICKS +2.5 (-112) because they are 4-1 ATS at home in these playoffs and Phoenix’s offense has no-showed in both of their road games in this series.

We can pretty much pencil in Luka’s production and Dallas’s role players have stepped up at home. The Mavs have an absurd 49.9% 3-point attempt rate in the postseason.

Dallas was 6th in defensive rating during the regular season so some of Phoenix’s offensive woes in Games 3 and 4 were caused by the Dallas defense, which should be locked in with its backs against the wall.

Lastly, we’ve seen officiating swing the tide in these playoff games and all 3 of the Mavs’ primary ball handlers (Luka, PG Jalen Brunson and SG Spencer Dinwiddie) attack the paint and get to the foul line.

BET the MAVERICKS +2.5 (-112).

Over/Under

BET a half-unit on the UNDER 211.5 (-115) because there’s a “Pros vs. Joe’s” scenario in the betting market for the total. According to Pregame.com, roughly two-thirds of the cash is on the Under whereas more than 70% of the bets placed are on the Over.

Since professional bettors put up more dough than your average Joe, the money column of the betting splits is the sharper side. Also, the oddsmakers are reacting to the money more than the action because the total has been lowered from the 212-point opener.

Furthermore, all 4 referees assigned to Game 6 have officiated more Unders and the officiating crew has a combined 104-140 O/U record this season. Both teams play at a snail’s pace and have elite defenses so if the refs swallow their whistles then this game might not hit 200 points.

However, the Mavs’ guards attacking the basket, Dallas’s 3-point volume and Phoenix’s offensive versatility make the UNDER 211.5 (-115) a tad risky.

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Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks Game 4 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Sunday’s Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks Game 4 lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 4 seed Dallas Mavericks (1-2) host the No. 1 seed Phoenix Suns (2-1) for Game 4 of their Western Conference semifinals playoff series. Sunday’s tip-off at the American Airlines Center is set for 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we look at the Suns vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Dallas got back into this series with a 103-94 win Friday in Game 3, despite being outperformed in 3 of the “4 factors”. Phoenix continuously shot itself in the foot and Dallas attempted 14 more field goals in the game.

The Suns had a 17.1% offensive turnover rate (TOV%) and allowed 22 second-chance points in Game 3, well off their regular-season marks of 12.9% offensive TOV% (4th) and 14.8 second-chance points per game allowed (4th).

Dallas combo guard Jalen Brunson had a bounce-back effort at home, scoring 28 points on 47.6% shooting (7 of 7 from the foul line) with 4 rebounds, 5 assists and no turnovers.

The Mavs’ Game 3 victory was their first vs. Phoenix since the Suns acquired future Hall-of-Fame PG Chris Paul prior to last season. Dallas is 1-8 straight up (SU) and 3-5 against the spread (ATS) vs. Phoenix in the last 2 seasons.

Mavericks at Suns odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:28 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Suns -140 (bet $140 to win $100) | Mavericks +115 (bet $100 to win $115)
Against the spread: Suns -2.5 (-110) | Mavericks +2.5 (-110)
Over/Under: 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Mavericks at Suns key injuries

Suns

None

Mavericks

None

[tipico]

Mavericks at Suns picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 109, Mavericks 103

Money line

BET the SUNS (-140) because they won’t repeat the mistakes that cost them Game 3. Phoenix outshot Dallas from everywhere on the floor and had a plus-9 rebound differential, but just kept giving the ball back to the Mavs.

Also, the Suns perform much better than the Mavs in close games. Phoenix is 6-2 SU in games decided by 3 points or less and 5-1 ATS as 1-to-2.5-point favorites. Dallas is 7-5 SU in games within a 3-point margin and 7-5 ATS as 1-to-2.5-point underdogs.

Phoenix had the best regular-season clutch record (33-9 SU) and net rating (plus-33.9) whereas Dallas was 25th in clutch net rating this season (minus-9.1). “Clutch” is defined by games within a 5-point margin inside of 5 minutes to play.

Suns coach Monty Williams should make the necessary adjustments and Phoenix’s All-Star backcourt of CP3 and Devin Booker will perform better Sunday after no-shows Friday.

BET the SUNS (-140).

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Against the spread

Slight LEAN to the SUNS -2.5 (-110) because they should win Game 4 by margin, but I’m confident enough to spend a little extra for Phoenix’s ML.

Also, we’d be getting the worst of the number since the Suns opened as 1.5-point favorites but market steam has made Phoenix more expensive.

Over/Under

LEAN to the UNDER 214.5 (-110) since there’s a line freeze in the betting market for the total, Dallas is 3-9 O/U as home underdogs with a minus-7.1 total margin and played at the slowest pace during the regular season.

According to VegasInsider.com, nearly three-fourths of the cash wagered is on the Over, but the total hasn’t budged off the opener and has even been lowered at some sportsbooks.

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If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks Game 3 odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Friday’s Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks Game 3 lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 1 seed Phoenix Suns (2-0) head to the American Airlines Center for Game 3 of their Western Conference semifinals series against the No. 4 seed Dallas Mavericks (0-2). Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we look at the Suns vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Phoenix rallied from a first-half deficit to crush Dallas 129-109 in Game 2 even though the Mavs won 3 of the “4 factors” because the Suns shot an insane 73.0% effective field goal rate (eFG%), which breaks down to 64.5% from the field and 52.0% from 3-point land.

Suns All-Star guards Chris Paul and Devin Booker are scorching the Mavs. They are scoring a combined 50 points per game (PPG) on 62.1% shooting (45.0% from behind the arc) with 24 rebounds and 23 assists in the series.

Dallas All-Star Luka Doncic has pulled his weight in this series, averaging 40.0 PPG on 66.3% true shooting (.538/.429/.789) with 8.5 rebounds and 7.5 assists. But Mavs’ first-round breakout star, PG Jalen Brunson, is adding just 11.0 PPG on 32.1% shooting (25.0% from 3) with a minus-50 net rating.

The Suns are 8-0 overall and 6-2 against the spread (ATS) vs. the Mavs since acquiring CP3 and the total is 4-4 Over/Under (O/U) in those meetings.

Also see: Bet Slippin’ Podcast: NBA conference semifinals Game 3 betting previews

Mavericks at Suns odds and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:58 a.m. ET.

Money line (ML): Suns -115 (bet $115 to win $100) | Mavericks -105 (bet $105 to win $100)
Against the spread: Suns -1.5 (-102) | Mavericks +1.5 (-122)
Over/Under: 219.5 (O: -107 | U: -115)

Mavericks at Suns key injuries

Suns

None

Mavericks

None

[tipico]

Mavericks at Suns picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 116, Mavericks 110

Money line

BET the SUNS (-115) because their backcourt is lighting up the Mavericks’ (-105) backcourt and because they are hurting Luka on defense in the second halves of these games.

Phoenix being able to exploit Luka puts Dallas in a tough spot because it needs Doncic on the floor for his offensive brilliance but has nowhere to hide him on defense.

On top of that, the Suns’ frontcourt is far superior to the Mavs’, which is the main reason Phoenix has nearly a 10% higher rebounding rate than Dallas in this series.

We saw the New Orleans Pelicans make up for an outmatched offense vs. Phoenix in the first round by crashing the offensive glass. But the Mavs were just 24th in offensive rebounding rate during the regular season.

Obviously, Dallas’s 3-point shooters can get hot Friday, or Luka and the Mavs can get some home-cooking from the referees in Game 3.

But the Suns (-115) have an implied win probability of 53.5% and Phoenix has beaten Dallas in 100% of their meetings since the Suns picked up CP3.

BET 1 UNIT on the SUNS (-115).

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Against the spread

PASS because Phoenix’s ML is only 13 cents on the dollar more expensive than the Suns -1.5 (-102) so there’s no reason to sweat a Phoenix cover here. I’d absolutely take the points instead of the ML if the Suns became an underdog but I’ll stick with Phoenix winning outright.

Over/Under

LEAN to the OVER 219.5 (-107) because Dallas has no answer for a Phoenix offense that is scoring 125.0 PPG in this series and because the Suns have 5 players who are shooting at least 40.0% from behind the arc.

Also, the Mavs role players should perform a little better now that the series is in Dallas and if the Mavs get down early in Game 3, they might speed up the pace in desperation mode.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and soon IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Thursday’s Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks odds and lines, with NBA expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Dallas Mavericks (26-19) host the Phoenix Suns (34-9) at American Airlines Center Thursday for a 7:30 p.m. ET tip-off. Below, we look at the Suns vs. Mavericks odds and lines, and make our expert NBA picks, predictions and bets.

Phoenix won its fourth consecutive game Tuesday by crushing the San Antonio Spurs 121-107 as a 4-point road favorite. The Suns are 7-1 straight-up (SU) and 6-2 ATS with the best net rating (plus-13.6) in January.

Dallas beat the Toronto Raptors 102-98 Wednesday but failed to cover as a 4.5-point home favorite. The Mavs are 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS with the second-best net rating (plus-11.1) in 2022.

The Suns beat the Mavs in both meetings last regular season but Dallas was 2-0 ATS and both sides of the total cashed.

Suns at Mavericks odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:49 p.m. ET.

Money line: Suns -150 (bet $150 to win $100) | Mavericks +122 (bet $100 to win $122)
Against the spread (ATS): Suns -2.5 (-120) | Mavericks +2.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 215.5 (O: -112 | U: -108)

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Suns at Mavericks key injuries

Suns

C Deandre Ayton (ankle) out

Mavericks

None.

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Suns at Mavericks odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Suns 109, Mavericks 102

Money line

PASS with a heavy “lean” towards the Suns (-150) because I’m confident enough in Phoenix that I prefer to just lay the points.

The Suns have the best net rating this month and the Mavs are right behind them, but Phoenix plays much better against strong competition.

The Suns are 7-4 straight-up (SU) versus teams in the top-10 of adjusted net rating while the Mavs are 3-8 SU versus top-10 teams, according to CleaningTheGlass.com (CTG).

Furthermore, the Suns are 7-1 SU when playing an opponent who’s on the second of a back-to-back with plus-11.7 points per 100 possessions (ranked sixth), per CTG.

PASS ON THE MONEY LINE.

Against the spread

BET the SUNS -2.5 (-120) for 1 unit because both of Phoenix’s All-Star guards have Dallas All-Star Luka Doncic‘s number when they’ve faced off and this is a better spot for the Suns.

Phoenix PG Chris Paul has played against Luka seven times and CP3’s teams are 6-1 SU while Luka is shooting just 41.8% (23.6% from behind the arc) in those games.

Suns SG Devin Booker also has a 6-1 SU record versus Luka and the Mavs, five of those games were without CP3.

Booker is averaging 26.9 points per game (PPG) on 52.7% shooting (40.0% from behind the arc) whereas Luka is shooting just 17.0% from 3-point land in those contests.

The Suns are 11-6 ATS as road favorites with the third-best ATS margin (plus-6.3) and 8-1 ATS in their last nine visits to Dallas.

BET the SUNS -2.5 (-120).

Over/Under

Slight “LEAN” to the UNDER 215.5 (-108) for a small wager because both teams are elite defensively and the sharp money is on the Under.

More money has been wagered on the Under whereas there are more bets placed on the Over. Typically, in sports betting, it’s profitable to follow the money when it’s counter to the public.

Finally, the Suns are 1-9-2 O/U in their last 12 road games versus teams with a 60.0% win rate or better and the Mavs are 0-3-1 O/U in their last four home games versus a team with a 60.0% win rate or better.

Bet legally online with a trusted partner: Tipico Sportsbook, Sportsbook Wire’s official sportsbook partner in CO, NJ and, soon, IA. Bet now!

If you’re looking for more sports betting picks and tips, access all of our content at SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Please gamble responsibly.

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Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Phoenix Suns (10-8) and Dallas Mavericks (8-12) face each other for the second game in a row and for the third time this season Monday night. Tip-off is at 8:35 p.m. ET at American Airlines Center. Below, we analyze the Suns-Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Suns at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Suns +105 (bet $100 to win $105) | Mavericks -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Suns +1.5 (-105) | Mavericks -1.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 218.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Suns at Mavericks: Key injuries

Suns

SG Devin Booker (hamstring) questionable
PG Cameron Payne (foot) out
PF Dario Saric (health and safety protocols) out

Mavericks

None affecting the betting lines.

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Suns at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Suns 110, Mavericks 105

Money line (ML)

The Suns won Saturday night’s matchup 111-105 with solid play from PG Chris Paul and C Deandre Ayton. Booker missed that game.

The Suns have won two in a row while the Mavs have lost five straight. Dallas is only 2-5 at home this season. With the potential of Booker returning, that will only help Phoenix.

Take the SUNS (+105).

Against the spread (ATS)

The spread is too small to consider going with Dallas and Phoenix has matched game-for-game the money line and spread. When they win, they cover; when they lose, they don’t.

The Mavericks have not covered the spread in their five-game losing skid. Take the SUNS +1.5 (-105).

Over/Under (O/U)

The two teams played to the Over Saturday but had a lower projected total of 215 and barely cleared it (216 points scored). 61.1% of the Suns’ games this season have gone Under and 60% of Dallas’ games have as well.

With an increased total over Saturday’s game, expect this to go UNDER 218.5 (-110).

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Also see:

Trade rumor rankings (Hoops Hype)

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Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Phoenix Suns at Dallas Mavericks NBA betting odds and lines, with basketball picks, tips and predictions.

The Phoenix Suns (9-8) tip off the first of a two-game miniseries with the Dallas Mavericks (8-11) Saturday in the American Airlines Center at 8:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Suns-Mavericks NBA odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Phoenix snapped a three-game losing skid by beating the brakes off of the Golden State Warriors 114-93 as 2-point home favorites. It was the Suns’ third game without leading-scorer SG Devin Booker. The Suns are just 2-5 overall (2-5 against the spread) in their previous seven games.

The Mavericks were pasted in back-to-back games by the Utah Jazz and are on a four-game losing streak coming into Saturday (0-4 ATS). Dallas has been struggling more than Phoenix and is just 2-7 overall and 3-6 ATS in its past nine games.

The Suns handled business at home vs. the Mavericks 106-102 as 1-point favorites in both teams’ first game of the season. In fact, Phoenix has won and covered four consecutive games against Dallas.

Suns at Mavericks: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 3:00 p.m. ET.

Money line: Suns -105 (bet $105 to win $100) | Mavericks -115 (bet $115 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: Suns +1.5 (-115) | Mavericks -1.5 (-105)
Over/Under: 214.5 (O: -110 | U: -100)

Suns at Mavericks: Key injuries

Suns

SG Devin Booker (hamstring) out
PG Cameron Payne (foot) out

Mavericks

PF Maxi Kleber (COVID-19) out

Special NBA Betting Promotion!

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Suns at Mavericks: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Suns 109, Mavericks 103

Money line (ML)

Both of these teams play a similar style—slow-paced led by ball-dominant guards—however, the Suns execute so much more efficiently. Phoenix is ninth in net rating while Dallas is 20th.

For Dallas, I know they’ve dealt with some bad injury and COVID-19 luck, but the Mavericks were the No. 1 ranked offense in the Association last season compared to their 19th-ranked offensive rating this season. Their defense is even worse this season. Five of Dallas’ previous six losses have been by at least 12 points and they are the worst 3-point shooting team in the NBA right now.

It’s hard to not overreact to how poorly Dallas has played through its first 19 games. I’m fading Dallas until further notice. TAKE SUNS (-105) for 1 unit.

Against the spread (ATS)

PASS on the spread since we aren’t even getting a full basket worth of insurance.

Over/Under (O/U)

PASS with a lean towards the Under 214.5 (-110). The previous three Suns-Mavericks games have fallen short of the total, and these teams have a combined 13-25 O/U record. My hesitation is this is a buy-low point for Dallas’s offense, and it’s the first Mavericks’ game projected below 217.5 points.

Want some action on this one? Place a bet at BetMGM now. For more sports betting picks and tips, visit SportsbookWire.com. Please gamble responsibly.

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Also see:

2021 NBA Mock Draft consensus 1.0: The complete first round (Rookie Wire)
Hoops Hype rumors: Suns | Mavericks

Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.

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