The Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4) and Cleveland Browns (3-6) clash in an AFC North battle in Week 11’s Thursday Night Football matchup at First Energy Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:20 p.m. ET. We analyze the Steelers-Browns odds and sports betting lines within, while providing sports betting tips and advice on this matchup.
Steelers at Browns: Week 11 preview, betting trends and notes
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- The Steelers enter Week 11 as winners of four straight games, including a 17-12 upset of the Los Angeles Rams on home field in Week 10.
- The Browns snapped a four-game losing streak with a 19-16 home win over the Buffalo Bills.
- Cleveland ranks 26th in the NFL with 19.0 points per game. Pittsburgh is 19th with an average of 21.4 points per game.
- The Browns are 19th with 348.4 total yards of offense per game. The Steelers are 28th with 288.8 total yards. Cleveland averages 40 more rushing yards per game.
- The Browns allow 24.6 points per game while the Steelers hold the opposition to just 20.1. Pittsburgh allows an average of 332.2 yards of offense to Cleveland’s 356.0.
- The Steelers defense has not allowed a rushing touchdown on 84 carries since Week 6.
- Pittsburgh ranks second in the NFL with a plus-13 turnover differential. Cleveland is minus-8.
- The Steelers rank second with 33.0 sacks this season.
Steelers at Browns: Key injuries
Steelers RB James Conner (shoulder) sat out Week 10.
Browns DL Olivier Vernon (knee) missed Sunday’s game.
Steelers at Browns: Odds, betting lines and prediction
Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 10:45 a.m. ET.
Prediction
Browns 24, Steelers 20
Moneyline (?)
The Browns got their first home win of the season in Week 10 and are 1-3 at First Energy Stadium. Pittsburgh is 1-2 on the road. Back CLEVELAND (-149) as a conservative home favorite on the short week with no travel.
Against the Spread (?)
The BROWNS (-2.5, -120) are just 2-6-1 overall against the spread. They’ve lost by an average of 5.6 points per game and fall 4.9 points shy of the cover. Pittsburgh (+2.5, +100) is 6-3-0 and covers by an average of 1.6 points.
With the projection of a field goal, however, take the home side as they’ll need to win by just three points for a $10 bet to return a profit of $8.33. The same wager on the moneyline nets a $6.71 return.
Over/Under (?)
Both teams are coming off low-scoring games in Week 10, as Cleveland and Pittsburgh played to point totals of 35 and 29 points, respectively. It followed the season trend for both sides of playing below the projected total.
Thursday’s number of 40.5 seems like an over-correction for a divisional clash. Take the OVER (-120).
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Esten’s NFL betting record: 23-29
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