Stanford at Oregon odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Stanford at Oregon odds and lines, with college football expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The Stanford Cardinal (1-2, 0-2 Pac-12) and the Oregon Ducks (3-1, 1-0) meet Saturday at Autzen Stadium. Kickoff is scheduled for 11 p.m. ET (FS1). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook‘s lines around the Stanford vs. Oregon odds, and make our expert college football picks and predictions.

The Cardinal managed just a 41-10 win over Colgate of the FCS to open the season. Stanford has back-to-back losses to USC and Washington, averaging 25.0 PPG while allowing 40.5 PPG in two Pac-12 games while the Over has hit in all 3 outings.

The Ducks were annihilated 49-3 by Georgia in a neutral-site game in Atlanta to open the season. Oregon rebounded with 3 straight wins, including a 44-41 win at Washington State in its Pac-12 opener last weekend. UO has 41 or more points in 3 contests in a row, too, cashing the Over in all 3.

Oregon is No. 15 in the AFCA Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

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Stanford at Oregon odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 10:30 a.m. ET.

  • Money line (ML): Stanford +550 (bet $100 to win $550) | Oregon -800 (bet $800 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Stanford +17.5 (-120) | Oregon -17.5 (-105)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 62.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Stanford at Oregon picks and predictions

Prediction

Oregon 45, Stanford 24

Money line

Oregon (-800) should be able to push by Stanford and do so in a rather impressive fashion. However, under no circumstances should you ever make a standalone bet that risks 8 times your potential return. It’s risky behavior even tossing this into a parlay of 5 or more teams.

AVOID.

Against the spread

OREGON -17.5 (-105) is worth playing lightly here. The Ducks were obviously not equal to the task against Georgia in their opener, but this team has shown off solid offense in the 3 games since, including a nice win over BYU.

Stanford can score points and will be in this game well into the second half. Don’t expect a blowout. The Cardinal average 30.3 points per game on both sides of the ball.

Over/Under

The OVER 62.5 (-110) is the best play on the board in this Pac-12 battle. Oregon has hit the Over in each of its 3 wins, posting 41 or more points in all of the outings.

The Over has hit in both of Stanford’s games against FBS teams, albeit in losses, averaging 25.0 PPG in those two outings while yielding 40.5 PPG.

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Stanford at Oregon odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Saturday’s Stanford Cardinal at Oregon Ducks sports betting odds and lines, with college football betting picks, tips and predictions.

The Stanford Cardinal and Oregon Ducks start their 2020 campaigns in a Pac-12 showdown Saturday at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Ore. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. Below, we analyze the Stanford-Oregon college football betting odds and lines, with picks and predictions.

Stanford at Oregon: Betting odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:09 p.m. ET. 

  • Money line: Stanford +275 (bet $100 to win $275) | Oregon -358 (bet $358 to win $100)
  • Against the spread/ATS: Stanford +9.5 (-110) | Oregon -9.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under: 51.5 (O: -106 | U: -115)

Stanford at Oregon: Three things to know

  1. Last year was Stanford head coach David Shaw’s first losing season since taking the job in 2011. Shaw is a four-time Pac-12 Coach of the Year and has an 86-34 career record, with a 5-3 bowl game record, in his stint at Stanford.
  2. Oregon had its best season under third-year head coach Mario Cristobal last year. Cristobal and current Los Angeles Chargers QB Justin Herbert guided the Ducks to a 12-2 record in 2019, including a 28-27 win over Wisconsin in the Rose Bowl.
  3. Stanford-Oregon has split each of its previous two meetings (straight up and against the spread), which are the first two head-to-head games between Shaw and Cristobal.

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Stanford at Oregon: Odds, betting lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Oregon 27, Stanford 17

Money line (ML)

The loss of a potential NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year at quarterback would torpedo most program’s following season, but Oregon (-358) is a monster home favorite despite Herbert going pro. It’s kind of surprising seeing Stanford (+275) as such heavy underdogs given how awesome that program has been under Shaw.

I’ll side with the market’s read that Oregon is the vastly superior team but PASS ON THE MONEY LINE since it’s so expensive.

Against the spread (ATS)

Oregon -9.5 (-110) will be without its starting quarterback and all five of their starting linemen from last season, including projected first-round draft pick OT Penei Sewell. The Ducks will need to be led by their defense, and they should be up to that challenge since Oregon is ranked 18th in ESPN’s return of defensive production metric.

Also, look out for Oregon DE Kayvon Thibodeaux was one of the top recruits in the country and was the Pac-12 Defensive Freshman of the Year in 2019. He led the Ducks with nine sacks and 14 tackles for a loss last season.

Stanford’s +9.5 (-110) offense returns with its second-year starter, senior QB Davis Mills, who took over for an injured and now-transferred K.J. Costello. The Cardinal ranked second-to-last in the Pac-12 in yards per game and points per game in 2019. Oregon should stymie Stanford like it did last season when the Ducks held the Cardinal to just six points.

I “LEAN” OREGON -9.5 (-110) instead of like because its offense is a wild card heading into 2020.

Over/Under (O/U)

The Ducks are bringing in a new offensive coordinator (Joe Moorhead) and is ranked 124th in ESPN’s return of offensive production. Oregon’s defense should be nasty and Stanford’s offense is suspect. GIMME the UNDER 51.5 (-115) in Stanford-Oregon.

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