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Birmingham Stallions at Memphis Showboats odds, picks and predictions

Beat the sportsbook: Analyzing Saturday’s Birmingham Stallions at Memphis Showboats odds and lines, with expert UFL picks and predictions.

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The Birmingham Stallions (5-0) travel to meet the Memphis Showboats (1-4) Saturday at the Simmons Bank Liberty Bowl. Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET (ABC). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stallions vs. Showboats odds and make our expert UFL picks and predictions.

The defending USFL champion Stallions picked up a 32-9 win in Houston last week to easily cover an 8.5-point spread as the Under (41.5) hung on at most shops. Birmingham improved to 4-1 against the spread (ATS) while cashing the Under in 4 of 5 games to date.

The Showboats suffered a 4th straight loss last week at home against the Michigan Panthers, falling 35-18. Memphis has failed to cover the past 3 outings, while the Over has hit in each game. The Showboats defense has been abysmal in the past 3 outings, allowing 32 or more points, and 33.4 points per game (PPG).

These teams met in Week 3 in Birmingham, with the Stallions dominating the Showboats 33-14 to cover a 7-point number as the Over (40.5) cashed.

The 2 sides also met during the USFL season twice last season, too. Birmingham won 42-2 in Week 2 at home to easily cover a 7-point spread as the Under (44.5) just connected, while the Stallions won in Memphis in Week 10 by a 27-20 count, also covering as a 4.5-point favorite as the Over (44) hit.

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Stallions at Showboats odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Stallions -800 (bet $800 to win $100) | Showboats +550 (bet $100 to win $550)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Stallions -12.5 (-110) | Showboats +12.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 42.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Stallions at Showboats key injuries

Stallions

  • RB Larry Roundtree (undisclosed) out
  • QB J’Mar Smith (undisclosed) out
  • WR Isaiah Zuber (undisclosed) out

Showboats

  • QB Josh Love (undisclosed) out
  • WR Diondre Overton (undisclosed) out

Stallions at Showboats picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 33, Showboats 18

Moneyline

The Stallions (-800) remain the top teams in the UFL, and we saw what they can do against the Showboats (+550) once already this season. Birmingham paddled Memphis 33-14 at home back in Week 3, and there is no reason to believe things will be any different. The Showboats just cannot stop anybody on defense.

However, you can’t risk 8 times your potential return on the road team.

PASS.

Against the spread

The STALLIONS -12.5 (-110) are laying the biggest number of the season in UFL play. In fact, Birmingham is just the 2nd double-digit favorite in the 2024 campaign.

There is little reason to like the Showboats +12.5 (-110), as the offense has scored 19 or fewer points in all 5 games this season while allowing at least 32 points in each of the past 3 outings, including Week 3 in Birmingham.

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Over/Under

OVER 42.5 (-110) is a strong play, and Birmingham figures to do most of the heavy lifting to get this one across the finish line.

The Stallions have racked up 20 or more points in all 5 games while going for 26.3 points per game (PPG) in 3 outings on the road.

The concern with betting the Over is Birmingham’s stout defense, which has allowed just 13.6 PPG, including 14 to Memphis in Week 3. The concern is also the struggling offense of the Showboats, which hasn’t been able to crack the 20-point mark all season.

Still, the Stallions should do enough to get the job mostly done, even if the Showboats lay another egg.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

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Birmingham Stallions at Memphis Showboats odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Birmingham Stallions at Memphis Showboats odds and lines, with expert USFL picks, predictions and best bets.

The Birmingham Stallions (7-2) meet the Memphis Showboats (5-4) Saturday in a key Week 10 USFL South Division game at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis. Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stallions vs. Showboats odds, and make our expert USFL picks, predictions and bets.

The Stallions were the first USFL team to clinch a playoff spot last weekend, but Birmingham is still playing to secure the South Division title. It can do so with a victory, or a loss and a setback by the New Orleans Breakers against the Houston Gamblers Sunday, also in Memphis.

Birmingham has rattled off 4 consecutive victories, while going 3-1 against the spread (ATS) during the span. During the win streak, the Stallions have scored 24 or more points, averaging 29.0 PPG. On the flip side, B-Ham has allowed just 18.0 PPG during the stretch.

The Showboats had won 5 in a row, while covering 6 straight outings before Week 9. However, the Boats were humbled 31-3 by the aforementioned Breakers, taking the possibility of a division title off the table. However, Memphis is still alive for a postseason spot, albeit now a very, very unlikely situation due to tiebreakers, point differential, etc.

These teams met back in Week 2, and the Stallions roughed up the Showboats 42-2 in the most lopsided game of the season at Protective Stadium in Alabama.

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Stallions at Showboats odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 7:20 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Stallions -190 (bet $190 to win $100) | Showboats +155 (bet $100 to win $155)
  • Against the spread: Stallions -4.5 (-110) | Showboats +4.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 44 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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Stallions at Showboats key injuries

(From official team Twitter pages)

Stallions

  • OL Jahmir Johnson (shoulder) out
  • DL Jonathan Newsome (knee) out

Showboats

  • LB Aaron Hansford (ribs) questionable
  • LB Jeff McCulloch (foot) questionable
  • OL Jordan McCray (leg) out
  • OL Lukayus McNeil (knee) out
  • DB Quenton Meeks (ankle) out
  • S Antonio Reed (wrist) out
  • RB Kerrith Whyte (ankle) out
  • S Kyree Woods (concussion) out

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Stallions at Showboats picks and predictions

Prediction

Stallions 29, Showboats 18

Moneyline

Birmingham (-190) is a little too expensive at this price, costing you 2 times your potential return. My personal limit for a singular moneyline wager is -180.

It’s probably a good bet, as the Stallions will saddle up and give it their all with a division title on the line. But the Boats are also desperate to keep their faint playoff hopes alive, and it’s a certainty they’ll have a better showing than Week 2.

PASS.

Against the spread

BIRMINGHAM -4.5 (-110) has the best record in the USFL, and with 260 points this is easily the best scoring offense, with the Breakers a distant 2nd with 220.

Memphis +4.5 (-110) is trying to keep its flickering postseason hopes alive, but after a 28-point beatdown at the hands of the Breakers, it was also desperate in a key South Division game last week and Memphis failed to show up.

Look for the Stallions to roll to a victory, even playing on the road on the banks of the Mississippi River in Memphis.

Over/Under

OVER 44 (-110) looks like a good bet based upon Birmingham’s high-octane offense. The Over is 5-2 in the past 7 games for the Stallions, too, and B-Ham has posted 20 or points in all 9 outings, with 27 or more points in 6 of the contests.

However, the Under cashed in the Week 2 meeting, and the Under has been the rule for the Showboats. The Under has cashed in 6 straight games for Memphis, which is the longest Under run of the entire season, too.

Still, I think Birmingham has tremendous offense, and it dropped 42 on Memphis earlier in the season. While the Boats defense is much better than that first showing, the offense will also do a lot more than Week 2. Memphis has scored 22 or more points in 6 of 9 games this season. A total in the high 40’s or 50’s is expected.

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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.

Follow Kevin J. Erickson on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and us on Facebook.

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