The Birmingham Stallions (4-2) face the New Orleans Breakers (4-2) Saturday for a Week 7 USFL game at Protective Field in Birmingham. Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET (FOX). Below, we analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Stallions vs. Breakers odds, and make our expert USFL picks, predictions and bets.
Technically, this is considered a road game for the Stallions, despite the fact they’re playing this game in Birmingham.
At Protective Stadium this season, the Stallions have posted a 2-2 straight-up (SU) record, while also going 2-2 against the spread (ATS). That includes a 45-31 setback in Week 3 as 6-point favorites against the Breakers, when the Stallions were a true home team. The Over (48.5) easily connected in that game.
In that Week 3 matchup, New Orleans had 483 total yards, to just 253 for Birmingham. It started well for the Stallions, as WR/KR Deon Cain took the opening kickoff 82 yards for a score. Breakers QB McLeod Bethel-Thompson was too much for the Stallions, though, completing 20 of 28 passes for 283 yards, 3 TDs and 1 INT. RB Wes Hills also gouged the Stallions for 191 rushing yards and 3 TDs.
Birmingham QB Alex McGough tossed a pair of TDs, but RB CJ Marable was bottled up for just 24 rushing yards, although he did score once. WR Davion Davis shined with 5 grabs for 123 yards and a score.
Birmingham snapped an 0-3 ATS skid last weekend with a 27-13 victory in Michigan as 5.5-point favorites, while cashing the Under (44.5). The defense had allowed 30.7 points per game (PPG) in the previous 3 contests before the 13 points allowed in the win.
The Breakers opened the season 4-0 SU/ATS, but the offense has gone silent the past 2 weekends. New Orleans lost 17-10 to Memphis in Birmingham in Week 5, and lost 16-10 last weekend in Week 6 to Philadelphia in Detroit. The Breakers were favorites in both games — 7 points vs. Memphis and 7.5 points vs. Philly.
The Under is on a 3-0 run for the Breakers, as the defense has yielded just 16.7 PPG across the previous 3 contests.
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Stallions vs. Breakers odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 4:31 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Stallions -125 (bet $125 to win $100) | Breakers +105 (bet $100 to win $105)
- Against the spread: Stallions -1.5 (-110) | Breakers +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under (O/U): 45.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)
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Stallions vs. Breakers key injuries
(From official team Twitter pages)
Stallions
- DE Joe Jackson (ankle) questionable
- LB Elijah Sullivan (foot) questionable
- DE Jordan Thompson (hamstring) questionable
Breakers
- WR Dee Anderson (groin) out
- LB Jordan Brailford (back) out
- S Greg Eisworth (head) questionable
- S Jamar Johnson (hamstring) out
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Stallions vs. Breakers picks and predictions
Prediction
Stallions 24, Breakers 17
Moneyline
BIRMINGHAM (-125) is worth playing in this neutral-site game, especially if you believe it’s going to be a super close game and you don’t want to worry about the points.
The Stallions have posted 20 or more points in all 6 of their games this season, and the defense looked good last week against the Panthers, reverting back to its form from the first 2 weekends when Birmingham was 2-0 SU/ATS, allowing just 12 total points.
New Orleans (+105) has struggled offensively in the past 2 outings, and facing a confident Stallions team in Birmingham, even if this is technically a “home” game, won’t serve the Breakers well.
Against the spread
BIRMINGHAM -1.5 (-110) is a little cheaper laying the really small amount of points.
Unless you’re hellbent on the Stallions winning this game by just a single point, or obviously if you like New Orleans +1.5 (-110), back Birmingham to win by 2 or more points.
Over/Under
UNDER 45.5 (-110) is a play in this key Week 7 South Division battle.
The Breakers have allowed 17 or fewer points in each of the previous 3 outings, cashing the Under in all of those games. The Stallions cashed the Under last weekend, yielding just 13 points to the Panthers. We won’t get a shootout between these teams like we saw back in Week 3.
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For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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