St. Mary’s Gaels betting odds line spread pick predictions best bets

Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds, picks and predictions

Analyzing Saturday’s Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 14 Gonzaga Bulldogs (19-4, 8-1 WCC) will look to topple the No. 18 Saint Mary’s Gaels (20-4, 9-0) in Moraga, Calif., Saturday at 10:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Below, we analyze Tipico Sportsbook’s lines around the Gonzaga vs. Saint Mary’s game odds, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

Despite the perception that Gonzaga is struggling this season, the Bulldogs are still No. 14 in the nation and have only lost 1 conference game. It was a home loss to Loyola Marymount that ended the nation’s longest home-winning streak at more than 65.

After the 68-67 loss as 16.5-point favorites, the Bulldogs have 3-straight wins and remain just 1 game back of Saint Mary’s in the conference heading into the game Saturday.

Saint Mary’s will come into this game on an 11-game winning streak face a Bulldogs team that knocked them out of the conference tournament last year.

If Saint Mary’s is going to get the Bulldogs, this is the year to do so as Gonzaga seems to be weaker this season compared to the Gaels, who seemingly have everything they need for the victory.

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Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s odds

Provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1:15 p.m. ET.

Moneyline (ML): Gonzaga +135 (bet $100 to win $135) | Saint Mary’s -170 (bet $170 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Gonzaga +3.5 (-115) | Saint Mary’s -3.5 (-105)
Over/Under (O/U): 137.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)

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Gonzaga at Saint Mary’s picks and predictions

Prediction

Gonzaga 70, Saint Mary’s 60

Moneyline

Gonzaga leads the nation in scoring offense at 86.4 points while Saint Mary’s ranks 4th in defense at 57.2 points per game. My feeling is that Gonzaga’s offense is too much in this game as the Bulldogs rank 1st in FG % at 52.1% and 16th in 3-point percentage at 38.6%.

F Drew Timme will dominate in the paint, and this will allow Gonzaga to move the ball up and down the floor and score against the Gaels.

Take GONZAGA +135.

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Against the spread

PASS on the spread and stick to the ML.

This should be a Gonzaga victory on Saturday. With Gonzaga being the underdog, I will take the risk on their moneyline for the higher payout.

Over/Under

UNDER 137.5 (-115) is the total to play.

Despite Gonzaga leading the country in scoring, it has not shown in the total plays for the Bulldogs lately.

Following a win, the Bulldogs have gone Under the total in 6 of its last 7 games. The Bulldogs have also gone Under the total in 4 straight on the road against teams with winning records at home and 5 in a row against any team with a straight up win percentage above .600.

Gonzaga will score enough to win but not enough to drag this game to the Over.

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West Coast Conference Tournament: St. Mary’s vs. Gonzaga odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Tuesday’s St. Mary’s vs. Gonzaga odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

The No. 2-seed St. Mary’s (Calif.) Gaels (25-6) and No. 1 Gonzaga Bulldogs (25-3) clash in a familiar setting Monday night. For the 12th time in the last 19 years, the Gaels and Bulldogs will square off in the championship game of the West Coast Conference Tournament. Tip-off at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas is slated for 9 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the San Francisco vs. Gonzaga odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

St. Mary’s battled its way to a tense 75-72 win over Santa Clara Monday, with SMC holding the Broncos to a 40.6% mark from the floor. The WCC’s top defense (59.8 points per game) has held foes to a 40.0% mark while winning each of its last five games.

The Gaels went 12-3 across 15 regular-season WCC games; they are ranked No. 17 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Gonzaga went 13-1 in league play to win the WCC regular-season title and a bye into its Monday semifinal slot where it beat San Francisco 81-71. The top-ranked team in the nation split two games with St. Mary’s during the regular season. In their previous 11 title-game tilts, the Bulldogs lead 7-4.

St. Mary’s vs. Gonzaga odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Tuesday at 1:20 p.m. ET.

Money line: St. Mary’s +600 (bet $100 to win $600) | Gonzaga -1000 (bet $1000 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): St. Mary’s +12.5 (-108) | Gonzaga -12.5 (-112)
Over/Under (O/U): 140.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

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St. Mary’s vs. Gonzaga odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Gonzaga 75, St. Mary’s 64

Money line

Figure on some pure fun in this one, with neither side needing a win to advance to the big dance next week. Still, the Gaels have the most to gain in the eyes of the selection committee.

St. Mary’s has had some exceptional defensive performances of late, and the Gaels have a better chance of winning this bracket battle than is offered by the odds.

BACK ST. MARY’S (+600).

Against the spread

St. Mary’s plays at one of the slower paces in Division I and Gonzaga one of the quickest. During the regular season against the three fastest teams in the WCC (GU, Santa Clara, Pepperdine), SMC went a combined 4-1-1 ATS.

Consider a partial-unit play on ST. MARY’S +12.5 (-108).

Over/Under

Across the last five GU-SMC meetings, the Under has gone 4-1.

This total is a low one (4 points lower than in their last meeting), but with the solid ballhandling and defensive rebounding in this match-up, there is a sliver of value in the UNDER 140.5 (-110) in Tuesday’s title game.

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Saint Mary’s at Gonzaga odds, picks and prediction

Analyzing Saturday’s Saint Mary’s at Gonzaga odds and lines, with college basketball expert picks, predictions and best bets.

On Saturday, the No. 22 Saint Mary’s Gaels (20-5, 8-2 WCC) visit the Gonzaga Bulldogs (20-2, 9-0). Tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. Below, we look at the Saint Mary’s vs. Gonzaga odds and lines, and make our expert college basketball picks, predictions and bets.

The Bulldogs’ are 14-0 at home this season.

Oddly enough, they’re also 3-0 on the road and just 3-2 on a neutral court, losing to both Alabama and Duke. While they rank atop the NCAA, they are just 12-10 against the spread (ATS) this season.

Gonzaga is 7-2-1 ATS over their last 10, though, failing to cover as 32.5 and 34-point favorites. Saint Mary’s will pose a challenge and have been the best covering team in the conference this season. It has a 16-8 ATS record.

Saint Mary’s has played well this season behind a balanced offensive attack (four players average double figures) and a dominant defense that ranks 10th in opponents’ points per game in the nation, allowing just 59.1.

Rankings courtesy of the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports.

Saint Mary’s at Gonzaga odds, spread and lines

Odds provided by Tipico Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 11:30 a.m. ET.

Money line: Saint Mary’s +800 (bet $100 to win $800) | Gonzaga -1600 (bet $1600 to win $100)
Against the spread (ATS): Saint Mary’s +15.5 (-105) | Gonzaga -15.5 (-120)
Over/Under (O/U): 147.5 (O: -108 | U: -112)

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Saint Mary’s at Gonzaga odds, lines, picks and predictions

Prediction

Gonzaga 74, Saint Mary’s 65

Money line

PASS.

It’s tempting to put Gonzaga in a parlay, but even at -1600, there’s little it’ll do to enhance those odds. Upsets happen. Stay away on this one as the risk isn’t worth the reward.

Against the spread

“LEAN” to SAINT MARY’S +15.5 (-105).

Gonzaga is a formidable foe, but they’ve shown weaknesses this season. The Bulldogs are just 3-2 ATS against ranked opponents.

While Gonzaga should come out on top, it’ll be taking on a team that has one of the best defenses in the nation. So the game may struggle to open up more than 16 points.

Both teams have covered 7 of their last 10. Gonzaga has only beaten 1 of the 5 ranked teams it has played by 15-plus. Given the Zags’ dominance, this is certainly just a lean with the best play being on the total.

Over/Under

BET the UNDER 147.5 (-110).

The Bulldogs Under has hit in 4 of their last 6 games; however, it’s far from Gonzaga’s fault as they have scored over 85 in its last 5.

Playing a competent defense, the Zags’ high-paced offense should get slowed down. Despite averaging the most points per game in the nation (90.8), the Zags are just 12-10 O/U.

The Bulldogs defense ranks third in opponents’ field goal percentage, holding their challengers to 37%. They’re a swarming bunch and will meet another top-tier defense.

Saint Mary’s is 12-11-1 O/U and have helped 3 of its last 4 opponents to 60 or less. Both defenses are among the best in the nation, and I’d bank on fewer points in this battle.

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St. Mary’s vs. Gonzaga odds, picks and prediction

Previewing Monday’s St. Mary’s vs. Gonzaga odds and lines, with college basketball betting picks, tips and predictions.

The St. Mary’s Gaels (14-8) battle the Gonzaga Bulldogs (24-0) in a Monday night (9 p.m. ET) West Coast Conference Tournament game at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, Nev. Below, we analyze the St. Mary’s-Gonzaga odds and lines, with NCAA college basketball picks and predictions.

Gonzaga is No. 1 in the Ferris Mowers Coaches Poll powered by USA TODAY Sports. The Bulldogs are the No. 1 seed in the WCC Tournament; St. Mary’s is the No. 4 seed.

St. Mary’s at Gonzaga: Odds, spread and lines

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated at 8:10 a.m. ET.

Money line: St. Mary’s +1300 (bet $100 to win $1,300) | Gonzaga -3000 (bet $3,000 to win $100)
Against the spread/ATS: St. Mary’s +17.5 (-105) | Gonzaga -17.5 (-115)
Over/Under: 142.5 (O: -110 | U: -110)

St. Mary’s at Gonzaga: Three things to know

Gonzaga is undefeated this season and hasn’t lost since Feb. 22, 2020. With the format of this year’s WCC tournament, the Bulldogs haven’t played a game since Feb. 27. During the regular season, Gonzaga’s longest layoff was a 16-day, COVID-related hiatus from Dec. 3-18. GU came out of that stretch with an impressive 99-88 win over Iowa Dec. 19.
St. Mary’s advanced to Monday’s contest with a Saturday win over Loyola Marymount. The Gaels won that game, 52-47, marking their third straight under-60 outing. For the season, St. Mary’s is averaging 64.5 points per game (10th WCC, 319th NCAA-I).
Senior F Corey Kispert scored a combined 37 points in two earlier SMC-GU meetings this season (Gonzaga wins by 14 and 22 points). Kispert leads the Bulldogs in scoring (19.5 PPG) and is a dangerous 3-point threat (46.3%).

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St. Mary’s at Gonzaga: Odds, lines, predictions and picks

Prediction

Gonzaga 79, St. Mary’s 60

Money line (ML)

STEER CLEAR of a juice-filled proposition here.

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Against the spread (ATS)

The in-season spreads in this series were Gonzaga by 16 on the road and 20 at home. Each side claimed an ATS win by a 2-point margin. Gonzaga is a likeable side here at -17.5 points or better, but that still inherits a lot of risk. PASS.

Over/Under (O/U)

This game features an ultra-fast pace (Gonzaga) against an ultra-slow one (St. Mary’s) in a league that definitely leans high-tempo in general.

The Over has hit in five straight Bulldogs’ games; the Under has prevailed in four straight Gaels’ contests. When Gonzaga has played three WCC teams on the slow side (SMC, Loyola Marymount, Pacific) this season, the Under has gone 3-2. And that’s the lean here, with a neutral-site venue and a conference championship game looming Tuesday.

TAKE THE UNDER 142.5 (-110). Consider holding out for a higher point total.

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